McDermott Center · at Incarnate Word · Conference game
Closing line
RGV -1.5✓ RGV covered by 11.5
RGV -1.5✓ RGV covered by 11.5Closing total140.5Over by 58.5
| RGV | This season | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| 8-11 | Record | 6-12 |
| 9-10 | ATS | 7-11 |
| 7-12 | O/U | 10-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RGV 71–71 UIW · ✗ UIW (51%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RGV | 44 | 62 | 106 |
| UIW | 42 | 51 | 93 |
1st half: RGV 44, UIW 42 (RGV by 2). The model had UIW by 0.1 and a total of 66.6 (actual 86).
Team stats
| RGV | UIW | |
|---|---|---|
| 38-61 62% | Field goals | 33-59 56% |
| 12-25 48% | 3-pointers | 10-22 45% |
| 18-22 82% | Free throws | 17-22 77% |
| 23 6 off | Rebounds | 31 11 off |
| 17 | Assists | 14 |
| 7 | Steals | 1 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 17 | Fouls | 20 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| RGV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Washington Jr. G | 35 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 7-12 | 1-4 |
| Marvin McGhee III G | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-4 | 2-2 |
| Koree Cotton G | 30 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 8-9 | 2-2 |
| Julien Gomez G | 28 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 7-11 | 4-5 |
| Filip Brankovic F | 20 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marshal Destremau F | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Demarris Winters G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Zae Blake G | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Always Wright G | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kwo Agwa F | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Ricks G | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Dane Christensen F | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Luis Ramirez, Mustafo Vanjov, Kye Dickson
| UIW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahj Staveskie G | 38 | 24 | 0 | 7 | 10-17 | 3-7 |
| Davion Bailey G | 34 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 5-11 | 2-4 |
| Jordan Pyke G | 33 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 11-16 | 3-5 |
| Marcus Glover F | 25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Harrison Reede G | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Harold Woods G | 26 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Williams C | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Amani Drummond G | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Love Bettis G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Lewis Rowe C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mihael Tomic G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Esteban Mann F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tyler Simon, Isaiah Kortas, Drew Barbee
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketRGV -1.5
ModelUIW -0.3
Model edgeUIW +1.8
L RGV covered
Total
Market140.5
Model142.2
Model edgeOver 1.7
W Over
Projected score
RGV 70.9 · UIW 71.3
RGV 106 · UIW 93
Win probability
UIW 51%
1st half
Spread
UIW -0.1
RGV -2.0
Total
66.6
86 points
Projected score
RGV 33.3 · UIW 33.3
RGV 44 · UIW 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUIW -1.5
3 → RGV
CloseRGV -1.5
3 pts toward RGV
Total
Open141.5
▼ 1
Close140.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
RGV -105 · UIW -115
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UIW -1.5 · closed RGV -1.5 · moved 3 toward RGVmodel UIW -0.5
model UIW -0.5
Opened 141.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 1 downmodel 142
model 142
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RGV | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| UIW | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
RGV 3–1 UIWRGV leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · RGV 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025-26 | UIW 67 @ RGV 80 | RGV -1.5 | RGV W |
| Feb 17, 2024-25 | UIW 66 @ RGV 60 | RGV -4.5 | UIW W |
| Jan 20, 2024-25 | RGV 85 @ UIW 78 | UIW -3.5 | RGV W |
| Dec 30, 2023-24 | UIW 74 @ RGV 77 | RGV -5.5 | UIW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UT Rio Grande
19 games played
Straight up
8-11
42% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-12
37% overs · avg −7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BAY | L 81-96 | +24.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 8 | @ SUU | W 95-72 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 11 | @ BOIS | L 65-85 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 22 | @ MOST | L 67-74 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | @ ILL | L 73-87 | +33.5 | W +19.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Dec 3 | @ SFA | L 60-73 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 7 | vs APSU | W 63-50 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 11 | vs UTA | L 50-58 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 108 |
| Dec 16 | @ LAM | W 83-72 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 29 | vs NOLA | L 69-85 | -6.5 | L −22.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 31 | vs NICH | L 69-71 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vs AMCC | L 59-63 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 5 | vsUIW | W 80-67 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 10 | @ ETAM | L 69-77 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 12 | @ NWST | L 63-64 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 17 | vs MCN | W 79-76 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 19 | vs SELA | W 68-65 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @ HCU | W 68-51 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 140.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 26 | @AMCC | W 64-55 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 135.5 | U 119 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BAY
BAYL 81-96
+9.5
8
@SUU
SUUW 95-72
+21.5
11
@BOIS
BOISL 65-85
−3.5
22
@MOST
MOSTL 67-74
−3.5
24
@ILL
ILLL 73-87
+19.5
3
@SFA
SFAL 60-73
−6.5
7
vsAPSU
APSUW 63-50
+10.5
11
vsUTA
UTAL 50-58
−12.5
16
@LAM
LAMW 83-72
+14.5
29
vsNOLA
NOLAL 69-85
−22.5
31
vsNICH
NICHL 69-71
−5.5
3
vsAMCC
AMCCL 59-63
−6.5
5
vsUIW
UIWW 80-67
+11.5
10
@ETAM
ETAML 69-77
−11.5
12
@NWST
NWSTL 63-64
−3.5
17
vsMCN
MCNW 79-76
+12.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 68-65
−2.5
24
@HCU
HCUW 68-51
+14.5
26
@AMCC
AMCCW 64-55
+11.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BAY
BAYL 81-96
+22.5
8
@SUU
SUUW 95-72
+6.5
11
@BOIS
BOISL 65-85
−11.5
22
@MOST
MOSTL 67-74
−8.5
24
@ILL
ILLL 73-87
−4.5
3
@SFA
SFAL 60-73
−10.5
7
vsAPSU
APSUW 63-50
−38.5
11
vsUTA
UTAL 50-58
−37.5
16
@LAM
LAMW 83-72
+15.5
29
vsNOLA
NOLAL 69-85
+1.5
31
vsNICH
NICHL 69-71
−5.5
3
vsAMCC
AMCCL 59-63
−15.5
5
vsUIW
UIWW 80-67
+0.5
10
@ETAM
ETAML 69-77
+0.5
12
@NWST
NWSTL 63-64
−16.5
17
vsMCN
MCNW 79-76
+8.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 68-65
−2.5
24
@HCU
HCUW 68-51
−21.5
26
@AMCC
AMCCW 64-55
−16.5
over 7under 12avg −7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Incarnate Word
18 games played
Straight up
6-12
33% wins
Against the spread
7-11
39% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CSU | L 64-98 | +10.5 | L −23.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 16 | @ IU | L 61-69 | +28.5 | W +20.5 | 157.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs USI | W 87-81 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 22 | vs HPU | L 80-91 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 1 | vsMCN | W 71-67 | +10.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | @NICH | L 67-74 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 8 | @NOLA | L 83-84 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 15 | @ TCU | L 65-69 | +19.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 21 | vs NAU | W 90-66 | -6.5 | W +17.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 30 | vsSELA | W 79-70 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | vsHCU | W 73-56 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 5 | @RGV | L 67-80 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 10 | @LAM | L 51-63 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 12 | @SFA | L 46-56 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 140.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 17 | vsNWST | W 76-74 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 19 | vsETAM | L 58-80 | -6.5 | L −28.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 24 | vsAMCC | L 71-79 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 27 | @HCU | L 75-81 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CSU
CSUL 64-98
−23.5
16
@IU
IUL 61-69
+20.5
20
vsUSI
USIW 87-81
−3.5
22
vsHPU
HPUL 80-91
+1.5
1
vsMCN
MCNW 71-67
+14.5
6
@NICH
NICHL 67-74
−8.5
8
@NOLA
NOLAL 83-84
−2.5
15
@TCU
TCUL 65-69
+15.5
21
vsNAU
NAUW 90-66
+17.5
30
vsSELA
SELAW 79-70
+2.5
3
vsHCU
HCUW 73-56
+10.5
5
@RGV
RGVL 67-80
−11.5
10
@LAM
LAML 51-63
−10.5
12
@SFA
SFAL 46-56
−2.5
17
vsNWST
NWSTW 76-74
−6.5
19
vsETAM
ETAML 58-80
−28.5
24
vsAMCC
AMCCL 71-79
−9.5
27
@HCU
HCUL 75-81
−7.5
covered 7didn’t cover 11avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CSU
CSUL 64-98
+14.5
16
@IU
IUL 61-69
−27.5
20
vsUSI
USIW 87-81
+22.5
22
vsHPU
HPUL 80-91
+10.5
1
vsMCN
MCNW 71-67
−7.5
6
@NICH
NICHL 67-74
−4.5
8
@NOLA
NOLAL 83-84
+18.5
15
@TCU
TCUL 65-69
−9.5
21
vsNAU
NAUW 90-66
+15.5
30
vsSELA
SELAW 79-70
+13.5
3
vsHCU
HCUW 73-56
−12.5
5
@RGV
RGVL 67-80
+0.5
10
@LAM
LAML 51-63
−26.5
12
@SFA
SFAL 46-56
−38.5
17
vsNWST
NWSTW 76-74
+8.5
19
vsETAM
ETAML 58-80
−4.5
24
vsAMCC
AMCCL 71-79
+13.5
27
@HCU
HCUL 75-81
+15.5
over 10under 8avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UT Rio Grande
8-11 overall · 6-6 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Texas A&M-CC64–55
- W@ Hou Christian68–51
- Wvs SE Louisiana68–65
- Wvs McNeese79–76
- L@ N'Western St63–64
5 days since their last game.
Incarnate Word
6-12 overall · 4-8 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Hou Christian75–81
- Lvs Texas A&M-CC71–79
- Lvs East Texas A&M58–80
- Wvs N'Western St76–74
- L@ SF Austin46–56
4 days since their last game.