Atlantic Union Bank Center · at James Madison · Conference game
Closing line
JMU -5.5✓ GAST covered by 3.5
JMU -5.5✓ GAST covered by 3.5Closing total144.5Over by 15.5
 GAST | This season | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-16 | Record | 11-13 |
| 11-12 | ATS | 8-16 |
| 9-14 | O/U | 11-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GAST 70–76 JMU · ✓ JMU (69%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAST | 33 | 37 | 9 | 79 |
| JMU | 41 | 29 | 11 | 81 |
1st half: GAST 33, JMU 41 (JMU by 8). The model had JMU by 3.3 and a total of 68.3 (actual 74).
Team stats
| GAST | JMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-61 44% | Field goals | 29-61 48% |
| 10-23 43% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 15-22 68% | Free throws | 14-20 70% |
| 34 9 off | Rebounds | 40 11 off |
| 11 | Assists | 12 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 20 | Fouls | 19 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| GAST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jelani Hamilton G | 41 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 9-21 | 4-7 |
| Micah Tucker G | 39 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 7-15 | 1-2 |
| Christian Beam C | 30 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Malachi Brown G | 25 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-4 |
| Joah Chappelle F | 17 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ayouba Berthe G | 30 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Trey Scott F | 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-4 |
| Anthony Enoh F | 21 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Chris Jones, Clash Peters, Kwame Tanic, Manos Koveos, Isaiah Sherrard, James Cooper, Jakai Newton
| JMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliff Davis G | 40 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 8-16 | 6-10 |
| Justin McBride F | 36 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 10-18 | 0-4 |
| Preston Fowler F | 35 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Kose Egbule G | 32 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Gabe Newhof F | 22 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bradley Douglas G | 18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Eddie Ricks III F | 18 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Wilborn F | 13 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Christian Brown F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chance Lundy, Josh Stephen, Paul Jones III, Ike Cornish, Paul Lewis, Justin Taylor
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketJMU -5.5
ModelJMU -5.8
Model edgeJMU +0.3
L GAST covered
Total
Market144.5
Model145.9
Model edgeOver 1.4
W Over
Projected score
GAST 70 · JMU 75.9
GAST 79 · JMU 81
Win probability
JMU 69%
1st half
Spread
JMU -3.3
JMU -8.0
Total
68.3
74 points
Projected score
GAST 32.5 · JMU 35.8
GAST 33 · JMU 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenJMU -6.5
1 → GAST
CloseJMU -5.5
1 pt toward GAST
Total
Open143.5
▲ 1
Close144.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
GAST +215 · JMU -265
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened JMU -6.5 · closed JMU -5.5 · moved 1 toward GASTmodel JMU -6
model JMU -6
Opened 143.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 1 upmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GAST | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| JMU | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
GAST 0–6 JMUJMU leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · JMU has won the last 6 meetings · GAST 2-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | GAST 63 @ JMU 83 | JMU -11.5 | JMU W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | JMU 86 @ GAST 79 | GAST +8.5 | GAST W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | JMU 84 @ GAST 78 | GAST +8.5 | GAST W |
| Feb 15, 2023-24 | GAST 63 @ JMU 83 | JMU -14.5 | JMU W |
| Feb 24, 2022-23 | GAST 69 @ JMU 90 | JMU -15.5 | JMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Georgia St
23 games played
Straight up
7-16
30% wins
Against the spread
11-12
48% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-14
39% overs · avg −3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ EMU | L 49-71 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 149.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 7 | @ CIN | L 64-74 | +29.5 | W +19.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 10 | vs PRES | L 61-63 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 17 | @ ASU | L 62-75 | +18.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 21 | @ SDST | L 58-105 | +12.5 | L −34.5 | 143.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 25 | vs SAM | L 63-78 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs NMSU | L 58-77 | +12.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 2 | @ MER | L 67-78 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 6 | @ KENN | L 69-92 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 13 | vs JXST | W 77-73 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 18 | @ GASO | L 67-90 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 20 | @ APP | W 70-63 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ MRSH | L 80-84 | +13.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @ CCU | W 89-71 | +6.5 | W +24.5 | 148.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 8 | vsAPP | L 50-52 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 10 | vsMRSH | W 81-73 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ ULM | W 77-57 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 22 | vs USM | W 69-62 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 24 | vs ARST | W 82-81 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 29 | @ UL | L 72-82 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 129.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 31 | @ USA | L 67-69 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 4 | vs TROY | L 63-74 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 7 | vs NIU | L 74-75 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@EMU
EMUL 49-71
−18.5
7
@CIN
CINL 64-74
+19.5
10
vsPRES
PRESL 61-63
−5.5
17
@ASU
ASUL 62-75
+5.5
21
@SDST
SDSTL 58-105
−34.5
25
vsSAM
SAML 63-78
−9.5
26
vsNMSU
NMSUL 58-77
−6.5
2
@MER
MERL 67-78
−0.5
6
@KENN
KENNL 69-92
−8.5
13
vsJXST
JXSTW 77-73
+7.5
18
@GASO
GASOL 67-90
−13.5
20
@APP
APPW 70-63
+14.5
31
@MRSH
MRSHL 80-84
+9.5
3
@CCU
CCUW 89-71
+24.5
8
vsAPP
APPL 50-52
−0.5
10
vsMRSH
MRSHW 81-73
+12.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 77-57
+13.5
22
vsUSM
USMW 69-62
+5.5
24
vsARST
ARSTW 82-81
+5.5
29
@UL
ULL 72-82
−11.5
31
@USA
USAL 67-69
+3.5
4
vsTROY
TROYL 63-74
−4.5
7
vsNIU
NIUL 74-75
−5.5
covered 11didn’t cover 12avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@EMU
EMUL 49-71
−29.5
7
@CIN
CINL 64-74
−13.5
10
vsPRES
PRESL 61-63
−17.5
17
@ASU
ASUL 62-75
−8.5
21
@SDST
SDSTL 58-105
+19.5
25
vsSAM
SAML 63-78
−5.5
26
vsNMSU
NMSUL 58-77
−1.5
2
@MER
MERL 67-78
−10.5
6
@KENN
KENNL 69-92
+2.5
13
vsJXST
JXSTW 77-73
+10.5
18
@GASO
GASOL 67-90
−2.5
20
@APP
APPW 70-63
−4.5
31
@MRSH
MRSHL 80-84
+12.5
3
@CCU
CCUW 89-71
+11.5
8
vsAPP
APPL 50-52
−38.5
10
vsMRSH
MRSHW 81-73
+0.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 77-57
−21.5
22
vsUSM
USMW 69-62
−13.5
24
vsARST
ARSTW 82-81
+5.5
29
@UL
ULL 72-82
+24.5
31
@USA
USAL 67-69
−4.5
4
vsTROY
TROYL 63-74
−7.5
7
vsNIU
NIUL 74-75
+5.5
over 9under 14avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
James Madison
24 games played
Straight up
11-13
46% wins
Against the spread
8-16
33% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-13
46% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ AKR | L 71-85 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 9 | vs COPP | W 84-70 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 12 | @ LONG | L 72-82 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 15 | @ LIU | L 79-88 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 18 | vs TOW | W 81-75 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | @ FIU | W 80-72 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs OMA | W 88-77 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 29 | @ GMU | L 66-82 | +12.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCCU | W 67-62 | -14.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 6 | vs NORF | W 68-67 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 138.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 17 | @ ODU | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | @GASO | L 92-96 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 29 | @ ARK | L 74-103 | +23.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 3 | @ARST | W 78-74 | +10.5 | W +14.5 | 158.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | vsMRSH | L 64-66 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vsODU | W 70-69 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 15 | @APP | L 65-80 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 133.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | @MRSH | L 72-77 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 22 | vsUSA | L 83-90 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 138.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 24 | vs TXST | W 82-57 | -5.5 | W +19.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 29 | @TROY | W 73-64 | +9.5 | W +18.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 31 | @USM | L 65-73 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 4 | vsUL | L 61-64 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 132.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 7 | vs TOL | W 73-71 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@AKR
AKRL 71-85
−5.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 84-70
−4.5
12
@LONG
LONGL 72-82
−11.5
15
@LIU
LIUL 79-88
−5.5
18
vsTOW
TOWW 81-75
+9.5
24
@FIU
FIUW 80-72
+10.5
25
vsOMA
OMAW 88-77
+9.5
29
@GMU
GMUL 66-82
−3.5
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 67-62
−9.5
6
vsNORF
NORFW 68-67
−9.5
17
@ODU
ODUL 68-77
−11.5
20
@GASO
GASOL 92-96
−1.5
29
@ARK
ARKL 74-103
−5.5
3
@ARST
ARSTW 78-74
+14.5
7
vsMRSH
MRSHL 64-66
−3.5
10
vsODU
ODUW 70-69
−5.5
15
@APP
APPL 65-80
−12.5
17
@MRSH
MRSHL 72-77
+1.5
22
vsUSA
USAL 83-90
−11.5
24
vsTXST
TXSTW 82-57
+19.5
29
@TROY
TROYW 73-64
+18.5
31
@USM
USML 65-73
−6.5
4
vsUL
ULL 61-64
−12.5
7
vsTOL
TOLW 73-71
+3.5
covered 8didn’t cover 16avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@AKR
AKRL 71-85
+2.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 84-70
+12.5
12
@LONG
LONGL 72-82
+4.5
15
@LIU
LIUL 79-88
+19.5
18
vsTOW
TOWW 81-75
+15.5
24
@FIU
FIUW 80-72
−3.5
25
vsOMA
OMAW 88-77
+12.5
29
@GMU
GMUL 66-82
+6.5
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 67-62
−14.5
6
vsNORF
NORFW 68-67
−3.5
17
@ODU
ODUL 68-77
−3.5
20
@GASO
GASOL 92-96
+34.5
29
@ARK
ARKL 74-103
+17.5
3
@ARST
ARSTW 78-74
−6.5
7
vsMRSH
MRSHL 64-66
−22.5
10
vsODU
ODUW 70-69
−8.5
15
@APP
APPL 65-80
+11.5
17
@MRSH
MRSHL 72-77
−0.5
22
vsUSA
USAL 83-90
+34.5
24
vsTXST
TXSTW 82-57
−4.5
29
@TROY
TROYW 73-64
−10.5
31
@USM
USML 65-73
−5.5
4
vsUL
ULL 61-64
−7.5
7
vsTOL
TOLW 73-71
−9.5
over 11under 13avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Georgia St
7-16 overall · 6-6 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs N Illinois74–75
- Lvs Troy63–74
- L@ South Alabama67–69
- L@ Louisiana72–82
- Wvs Arkansas St82–81
5 days since their last game.
James Madison
11-13 overall · 4-8 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Toledo73–71
- Lvs Louisiana61–64
- L@ Southern Miss65–73
- W@ Troy73–64
- Wvs Texas St82–57
5 days since their last game.