Mitchell Center · at South Alabama · Conference game
Closing line
USA -2.5✓ USA covered by 13.5
USA -2.5✓ USA covered by 13.5Closing total148.5Over by 9.5
 GASO | This season | USA |
|---|---|---|
| 10-5 | Record | 9-5 |
| 10-5 | ATS | 6-8 |
| 9-6 | O/U | 7-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GASO 76–80 USA · ✓ USA (62%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GASO | 32 | 39 | 71 |
| USA | 44 | 43 | 87 |
1st half: GASO 32, USA 44 (USA by 12). The model had USA by 2.0 and a total of 72.8 (actual 76).
Team stats
| GASO | USA | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-64 34% | Field goals | 32-54 59% |
| 12-45 27% | 3-pointers | 7-11 64% |
| 15-22 68% | Free throws | 16-25 64% |
| 30 11 off | Rebounds | 43 8 off |
| 12 | Assists | 18 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 23 | Fouls | 16 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| GASO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spudd Webb G | 30 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6-10 | 1-5 |
| Tyren Moore G | 26 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3-13 | 3-13 |
| Alden Applewhite F | 24 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Shainen Carter F | 14 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Williams G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nakavieon White F | 25 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4-12 | 2-5 |
| Khayri Dunn G | 20 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3-10 | 3-10 |
| Dwayne Williams Jr. G | 17 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-7 |
| Tsvet Sotirov F | 17 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jefferson Koulibaly G | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Andres Burney F | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Pavle Ridesic, Sean Van Dorn Jr., Cullen Schreiner, Amare Neal, Cade Lomas, Dallas Gardner
| USA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Olsen F | 37 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 8-17 | 6-10 |
| Chaze Harris G | 35 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 9-16 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Cooper G | 18 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Hantz Louis-Jeune G | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Randy Brady F | 11 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Stephen Williams F | 30 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 8-9 | 0-0 |
| John Broom G | 28 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| JJ Wheat G | 25 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Brian Hawthorne G | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Maxwell Land, Peyton Law, Desmond Williams, Samuel Shoptaw
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSA -2.5
no move
CloseUSA -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open149.5
▼ 1
Close148.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
GASO +110 · USA -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USA -2.5 · unchangedmodel USA -3.5
model USA -3.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 1 downmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USA -2.5 | USA -3.5 | USA +1.0 | W USA covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 155.5 | Over 7.0 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | GASO 76 · USA 79.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USA -2.0 | USA -12.0 |
| 1H total | 72.8 | 76 |
| 1H projected score | GASO 35.4 · USA 37.4 | GASO 32 · USA 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GASO | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| USA | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
GASO 3–3 USASeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · GASO 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | USA 76 @ GASO 47 | GASO +5.5 | USA W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | GASO 76 vs USA 71 | USA -3.5 | GASO W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | GASO 65 @ USA 78 | USA -4.5 | USA W |
| Dec 29, 2022-23 | USA 50 @ GASO 64 | GASO +3.5 | GASO W |
| Feb 3, 2021-22 | USA 57 @ GASO 58 | GASO +2.5 | GASO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
GA Southern
15 games played
Straight up
10-5
67% wins
Against the spread
10-5
67% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ ECU | L 89-92 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 8 | vs UNCA | W 93-90 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | @ FGCU | W 95-94 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 189 |
| Nov 18 | @ GT | L 66-68 | +10.5 | W +8.5 | 164.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 21 | @ FSU | L 72-98 | +18.5 | L −7.5 | 175.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 24 | vs YSU | L 61-67 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 25 | vs UTSA | L 64-77 | -3.5 | L −16.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs HCU | W 80-62 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 3 | vs LT | W 77-69 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ GWEB | W 88-84 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ WGA | W 91-85 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 18 | vs GAST | W 90-67 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs JMU | W 96-92 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 1 | @ CCU | W 82-81 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @ ODU | W 93-86 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@ECU
ECUL 89-92
+2.5
8
vsUNCA
UNCAW 93-90
−2.5
11
@FGCU
FGCUW 95-94
+4.5
18
@GT
GTL 66-68
+8.5
21
@FSU
FSUL 72-98
−7.5
24
vsYSU
YSUL 61-67
−4.5
25
vsUTSA
UTSAL 64-77
−16.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 80-62
+10.5
3
vsLT
LTW 77-69
+6.5
6
@GWEB
GWEBW 88-84
−6.5
13
@WGA
WGAW 91-85
+2.5
18
vsGAST
GASTW 90-67
+13.5
20
vsJMU
JMUW 96-92
+1.5
1
@CCU
CCUW 82-81
+2.5
3
@ODU
ODUW 93-86
+5.5
covered 10didn’t cover 5avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@ECU
ECUL 89-92
+29.5
8
vsUNCA
UNCAW 93-90
+20.5
11
@FGCU
FGCUW 95-94
+25.5
18
@GT
GTL 66-68
−30.5
21
@FSU
FSUL 72-98
−5.5
24
vsYSU
YSUL 61-67
−35.5
25
vsUTSA
UTSAL 64-77
−19.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 80-62
−6.5
3
vsLT
LTW 77-69
+0.5
6
@GWEB
GWEBW 88-84
+9.5
13
@WGA
WGAW 91-85
+21.5
18
vsGAST
GASTW 90-67
−2.5
20
vsJMU
JMUW 96-92
+34.5
1
@CCU
CCUW 82-81
+5.5
3
@ODU
ODUW 93-86
+17.5
over 9under 6avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
South Alabama
14 games played
Straight up
9-5
64% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TOL | W 76-74 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 6 | vs ALCN | W 76-70 | -18.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 13 | vs CMU | W 66-64 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs COPP | W 72-62 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | O 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ JXST | W 71-65 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 21 | @ UAB | L 72-80 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 30 | @UTSA | W 82-58 | -1.5 | W +22.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 2 | vs NMSU | W 77-75 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 5 | @ ETSU | L 65-91 | +7.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 14 | vs UNT | L 57-58 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 17 | @ ULM | W 96-92 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | @ TXST | L 65-67 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 31 | @ UL | W 63-58 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 127.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 3 | @ TROY | L 49-59 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 108 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
+4.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
−12.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−3.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
−8.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+8.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
−0.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
+22.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+4.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
−18.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−2.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
−5.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
+1.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
+1.5
3
@TROY
TROYL 49-59
−0.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
−0.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
+4.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−12.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
+0.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+0.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
+2.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
−1.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+16.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
+12.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−20.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
+39.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
−4.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
−6.5
3
@TROY
TROYL 49-59
−40.5
over 7under 7avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
GA Southern
10-5 overall · 4-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Old Dominion93–86
- W@ Coastal82–81
- Wvs James Madison96–92
- Wvs Georgia St90–67
- W@ West Georgia91–85
A week or more of rest.
South Alabama
9-5 overall · 2-2 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Troy49–59
- W@ Louisiana63–58
- L@ Texas St65–67
- W@ UL Monroe96–92
- Lvs North Texas57–58
A week or more of rest.