Hornet Pavilion · at Sacramento St · Conference game
Closing line
SAC -1.5✓ SAC covered by 12.5
SAC -1.5✓ SAC covered by 12.5Closing total162.5Over by 31.5
 WEB | This season | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| 9-11 | Record | 5-13 |
| 11-9 | ATS | 9-9 |
| 10-10 | O/U | 11-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WEB 81–81 SAC · ✗ WEB (51%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WEB | 32 | 58 | 90 |
| SAC | 53 | 51 | 104 |
1st half: WEB 32, SAC 53 (SAC by 21). The model had WEB by 0.3 and a total of 76.0 (actual 85).
Team stats
| WEB | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-70 47% | Field goals | 32-52 62% |
| 8-26 31% | 3-pointers | 12-19 63% |
| 16-21 76% | Free throws | 28-36 78% |
| 30 12 off | Rebounds | 34 6 off |
| 17 | Assists | 21 |
| 10 | Steals | 10 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 22 | Fouls | 18 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 26 |
Players
| WEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tijan Saine Jr. G | 40 | 22 | 1 | 6 | 8-13 | 2-5 |
| Viljami Vartiainen G | 32 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3-10 | 2-8 |
| Nigel Burris F | 30 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 5-12 | 2-4 |
| Malek Gomma C | 29 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Duce Paschal G | 21 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| ArDarius Grayson G | 21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Edwin Suarez Jr. F | 17 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Declan Cutler C | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| David Hansen F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Anthony Moore, Bourgeois Tshilobo, Tyler Christensen, Trevor Hennig, Brady Smith, Jace Whiting
| SAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prophet Johnson G | 39 | 35 | 7 | 3 | 11-16 | 3-5 |
| Mikey Williams G | 36 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Jahni Summers G | 33 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 8-9 | 5-6 |
| Mark Lavrenov F | 32 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Shaqir O'Neal F | 18 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Arman Madi G | 28 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Taj Glover G | 13 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Romari Robinson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaiah Bronson, Zach Anderson, Bear Cherry, Jayden Teat, Davis Ambuehl, Jeremiah Nyarko, Brandon Gardner
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSAC -1.5
ModelWEB -0.3
Model edgeWEB +1.8
L SAC covered
Total
Market162.5
Model162.5
Model edge—
Over
Projected score
WEB 81.4 · SAC 81.1
WEB 90 · SAC 104
Win probability
WEB 51%
1st half
Spread
WEB -0.3
SAC -21.0
Total
76.0
85 points
Projected score
WEB 38.2 · SAC 37.9
WEB 32 · SAC 53
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWEB -1.5
3 → SAC
CloseSAC -1.5
3 pts toward SAC
Total
Open162.5
no move
Close162.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
WEB +102 · SAC -122
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WEB -1.5 · closed SAC -1.5 · moved 3 toward SACmodel WEB -0.5
model WEB -0.5
Opened 162.5 · unchangedmodel 162.5 matches the line
model 162.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WEB | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| SAC | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
WEB 9–2 SACWEB leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · WEB has won the last 2 meetings · WEB 6-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | SAC 82 @ WEB 95 | WEB -6.5 | WEB W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | SAC 70 vs WEB 83 | WEB -3.5 | WEB W |
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | SAC 80 @ WEB 77 | WEB -7.5 | SAC W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | WEB 87 @ SAC 81 | SAC +3.5 | WEB W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | SAC 53 @ WEB 58 | WEB -13.5 | SAC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Weber St
20 games played
Straight up
9-11
45% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ UTAH | L 89-92 | +15.5 | W +12.5 | 148.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 12 | @ USU | L 73-83 | +22.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 15 | @ UCI | L 70-79 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | vs CAM | W 91-85 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 22 | vs UTA | L 73-74 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 29 | vs KC | W 82-61 | -10.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs ORU | W 92-66 | -7.5 | W +18.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 7 | @ STMN | L 65-88 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 10 | @KC | W 64-60 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 17 | @ UVU | L 74-90 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 20 | vs UTU | L 80-82 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 1 | vs PRST | L 90-95 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 3 | vsSAC | W 95-82 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 168.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 8 | @ NAU | W 78-65 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 10 | @ UNCO | W 76-71 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 162.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 15 | vs EWU | W 91-80 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | vs IDHO | L 67-75 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 158.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 22 | @ MONT | L 65-81 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 24 | @ MTST | L 88-91 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 31 | vs IDST | W 81-79 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@UTAH
UTAHL 89-92
+12.5
12
@USU
USUL 73-83
+12.5
15
@UCI
UCIL 70-79
+2.5
19
vsCAM
CAMW 91-85
+4.5
22
vsUTA
UTAL 73-74
−3.5
29
vsKC
KCW 82-61
+10.5
3
vsORU
ORUW 92-66
+18.5
7
@STMN
STMNL 65-88
−15.5
10
@KC
KCW 64-60
−3.5
17
@UVU
UVUL 74-90
−0.5
20
vsUTU
UTUL 80-82
−7.5
1
vsPRST
PRSTL 90-95
−3.5
3
vsSAC
SACW 95-82
+6.5
8
@NAU
NAUW 78-65
+10.5
10
@UNCO
UNCOW 76-71
+11.5
15
vsEWU
EWUW 91-80
+7.5
17
vsIDHO
IDHOL 67-75
−6.5
22
@MONT
MONTL 65-81
−11.5
24
@MTST
MTSTL 88-91
+3.5
31
vsIDST
IDSTW 81-79
−0.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@UTAH
UTAHL 89-92
+32.5
12
@USU
USUL 73-83
−0.5
15
@UCI
UCIL 70-79
−2.5
19
vsCAM
CAMW 91-85
+16.5
22
vsUTA
UTAL 73-74
−2.5
29
vsKC
KCW 82-61
−12.5
3
vsORU
ORUW 92-66
+0.5
7
@STMN
STMNL 65-88
−1.5
10
@KC
KCW 64-60
−26.5
17
@UVU
UVUL 74-90
+15.5
20
vsUTU
UTUL 80-82
+9.5
1
vsPRST
PRSTL 90-95
+36.5
3
vsSAC
SACW 95-82
+8.5
8
@NAU
NAUW 78-65
−6.5
10
@UNCO
UNCOW 76-71
−15.5
15
vsEWU
EWUW 91-80
+12.5
17
vsIDHO
IDHOL 67-75
−16.5
22
@MONT
MONTL 65-81
−11.5
24
@MTST
MTSTL 88-91
+31.5
31
vsIDST
IDSTW 81-79
+8.5
over 10under 10avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Sacramento St
18 games played
Straight up
5-13
28% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-7
61% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs UCSB | L 87-92 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 14 | @ UCD | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 16 | vs PRES | W 64-62 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 18 | @ UCLA | L 48-79 | +27.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | @ CAL | L 67-91 | +21.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 29 | @ PAC | L 54-68 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 2 | @ BAY | L 88-110 | +29.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 20 | @ CBU | L 67-74 | +14.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 22 | @ CSUN | L 88-100 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 1 | @IDST | L 84-97 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 3 | @WEB | L 82-95 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 168.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @PRST | L 69-96 | +9.5 | L −17.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 15 | vsNAU | W 83-69 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 17 | vsUNCO | W 93-89 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 22 | @IDHO | L 76-86 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 161.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 24 | @EWU | L 67-75 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 163.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 29 | vsMTST | W 83-80 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 31 | vsMONT | W 86-79 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsUCSB
UCSBL 87-92
+2.5
14
@UCD
UCDL 73-77
+0.5
16
vsPRES
PRESW 64-62
−4.5
18
@UCLA
UCLAL 48-79
−3.5
21
@CAL
CALL 67-91
−2.5
29
@PAC
PACL 54-68
−3.5
2
@BAY
BAYL 88-110
+7.5
20
@CBU
CBUL 67-74
+7.5
22
@CSUN
CSUNL 88-100
−3.5
1
@IDST
IDSTL 84-97
−4.5
3
@WEB
WEBL 82-95
−6.5
10
@PRST
PRSTL 69-96
−17.5
15
vsNAU
NAUW 83-69
+12.5
17
vsUNCO
UNCOW 93-89
+10.5
22
@IDHO
IDHOL 76-86
+0.5
24
@EWU
EWUL 67-75
−2.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 83-80
+7.5
31
vsMONT
MONTW 86-79
+10.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsUCSB
UCSBL 87-92
+17.5
14
@UCD
UCDL 73-77
−1.5
16
vsPRES
PRESW 64-62
−24.5
18
@UCLA
UCLAL 48-79
−19.5
21
@CAL
CALL 67-91
+3.5
29
@PAC
PACL 54-68
−24.5
2
@BAY
BAYL 88-110
+39.5
20
@CBU
CBUL 67-74
−17.5
22
@CSUN
CSUNL 88-100
+23.5
1
@IDST
IDSTL 84-97
+27.5
3
@WEB
WEBL 82-95
+8.5
10
@PRST
PRSTL 69-96
+4.5
15
vsNAU
NAUW 83-69
−1.5
17
vsUNCO
UNCOW 93-89
+18.5
22
@IDHO
IDHOL 76-86
+0.5
24
@EWU
EWUL 67-75
−21.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 83-80
+9.5
31
vsMONT
MONTW 86-79
+9.5
over 11under 7avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Weber St
9-11 overall · 5-4 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Idaho St81–79
- L@ Montana St88–91
- L@ Montana65–81
- Lvs Idaho67–75
- Wvs E Washington91–80
2 days since their last game.
Sacramento St
5-13 overall · 4-5 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Montana86–79
- Wvs Montana St83–80
- L@ E Washington67–75
- L@ Idaho76–86
- Wvs N Colorado93–89
2 days since their last game.