Baptist Health Arena · at E Kentucky · Conference game
Closing line
EKU -5.5✓ EKU covered by 14.5
EKU -5.5✓ EKU covered by 14.5Closing total156.5Over by 1.5
 BELL | This season | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| 4-11 | Record | 4-12 |
| 10-5 | ATS | 7-9 |
| 10-5 | O/U | 8-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BELL 78–81 EKU · ✓ EKU (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BELL | 24 | 45 | 69 |
| EKU | 40 | 49 | 89 |
1st half: BELL 24, EKU 40 (EKU by 16). The model had EKU by 1.8 and a total of 74.4 (actual 64).
Team stats
| BELL | EKU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-50 40% | Field goals | 28-53 53% |
| 6-23 26% | 3-pointers | 17-34 50% |
| 23-29 79% | Free throws | 16-21 76% |
| 24 9 off | Rebounds | 37 12 off |
| 14 | Assists | 22 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 0 | Blocks | 4 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 18 | Fouls | 22 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| BELL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Waddell F | 32 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Kenyon Goodin G | 32 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Tyler Doyle G | 31 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2-10 | 0-3 |
| Jack Karasinski F | 22 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-4 |
| Sam Donald F | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Darrius Bolden G | 19 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Donovan Hunter F | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Jacob Wassler F | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Grant Whitaker G | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Myles Watkins G | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Michael Wilson Jr. G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tommy Clark G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Grant Neal G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Ant McAfee, Dominique Murphy, Luke Anderson
| EKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montavious Myrick F | 33 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Turner Buttry G | 32 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Juan Cranford Jr. G | 25 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 3-10 | 2-7 |
| Jackson Holt G | 18 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Yvens Paul F | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Cooper F | 24 | 13 | 14 | 2 | 5-7 | 1-1 |
| Austin Ball F | 22 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| MJ Williams G | 21 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 5-8 | 4-6 |
| Asa White C | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Harris F | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Tyler Jackson, Trey Coles, Mason Miles
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketEKU -5.5
ModelEKU -3.2
Model edgeBELL +2.3
L EKU covered
Total
Market156.5
Model158.8
Model edgeOver 2.3
W Over
Projected score
BELL 77.8 · EKU 81
BELL 69 · EKU 89
Win probability
EKU 61%
1st half
Spread
EKU -1.8
EKU -16.0
Total
74.4
64 points
Projected score
BELL 36.3 · EKU 38.1
BELL 24 · EKU 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenEKU -4.5
1 → EKU
CloseEKU -5.5
1 pt toward EKU
Total
Open155.5
▲ 1
Close156.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
BELL +200 · EKU -245
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened EKU -4.5 · closed EKU -5.5 · moved 1 toward EKUmodel EKU -3
model EKU -3
Opened 155.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 1 upmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BELL | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| EKU | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
BELL 3–5 EKUEKU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · BELL 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | EKU 74 @ BELL 80 | BELL +8.5 | BELL W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | BELL 69 @ EKU 72 | EKU -14.5 | BELL W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | EKU 75 @ BELL 65 | BELL +6.5 | EKU W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | BELL 70 @ EKU 82 | EKU -10.5 | EKU W |
| Jan 28, 2022-23 | BELL 63 @ EKU 73 | EKU -6.5 | EKU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bellarmine
15 games played
Straight up
4-11
27% wins
Against the spread
10-5
67% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-5
67% overs · avg +5.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UGA | L 59-104 | +23.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 8 | @ KSU | L 71-98 | +28.5 | W +1.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 15 | vs WOF | L 86-94 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 19 | @ ND | L 79-86 | +24.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 24 | @ CIT | W 70-58 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 25 | vs HCU | W 74-69 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 6 | @ MUR | L 68-81 | +16.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs NKU | L 76-80 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 17 | vs UTC | W 79-64 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 23 | @ UK | L 85-99 | +34.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 1 | @ WGA | L 85-87 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 3 | @ QUC | L 76-98 | +7.5 | L −14.5 | 169.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 8 | vs CARK | W 84-78 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 10 | vs UNA | L 73-82 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 15 | @ LIP | L 71-81 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UGA
UGAL 59-104
−21.5
8
@KSU
KSUL 71-98
+1.5
15
vsWOF
WOFL 86-94
−4.5
19
@ND
NDL 79-86
+17.5
24
@CIT
CITW 70-58
+8.5
25
vsHCU
HCUW 74-69
+7.5
6
@MUR
MURL 68-81
+3.5
13
vsNKU
NKUL 76-80
+0.5
17
vsUTC
UTCW 79-64
+16.5
23
@UK
UKL 85-99
+20.5
1
@WGA
WGAL 85-87
−3.5
3
@QUC
QUCL 76-98
−14.5
8
vsCARK
CARKW 84-78
+8.5
10
vsUNA
UNAL 73-82
−13.5
15
@LIP
LIPL 71-81
+1.5
covered 10didn’t cover 5avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UGA
UGAL 59-104
+12.5
8
@KSU
KSUL 71-98
+0.5
15
vsWOF
WOFL 86-94
+23.5
19
@ND
NDL 79-86
+14.5
24
@CIT
CITW 70-58
−28.5
25
vsHCU
HCUW 74-69
−1.5
6
@MUR
MURL 68-81
−8.5
13
vsNKU
NKUL 76-80
+9.5
17
vsUTC
UTCW 79-64
−3.5
23
@UK
UKL 85-99
+31.5
1
@WGA
WGAL 85-87
+20.5
3
@QUC
QUCL 76-98
+4.5
8
vsCARK
CARKW 84-78
+7.5
10
vsUNA
UNAL 73-82
+8.5
15
@LIP
LIPL 71-81
−2.5
over 10under 5avg +5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
E Kentucky
16 games played
Straight up
4-12
25% wins
Against the spread
7-9
44% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-8
50% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | vs WKU | L 79-87 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 12 | @ VAN | L 62-92 | +28.5 | L −1.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | @ KENT | L 78-93 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 22 | vs MER | L 83-95 | -4.5 | L −16.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | @NKU | L 71-82 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vsWOF | L 77-83 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 3 | @ ILST | L 78-89 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 10 | @ EIU | W 68-59 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 13 | vs M-OH | L 69-79 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 17 | @ JXST | W 62-59 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 21 | @ WICH | L 57-88 | +14.5 | L −16.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 1 | @QUC | L 89-91 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @WGA | L 76-88 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 8 | vsUNA | W 88-80 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 10 | vsCARK | W 79-75 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 15 | @ APSU | L 72-74 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
vsWKU
WKUL 79-87
−6.5
12
@VAN
VANL 62-92
−1.5
18
@KENT
KENTL 78-93
−4.5
22
vsMER
MERL 83-95
−16.5
24
@NKU
NKUL 71-82
−6.5
29
vsWOF
WOFL 77-83
−4.5
3
@ILST
ILSTL 78-89
+1.5
10
@EIU
EIUW 68-59
+2.5
13
vsM-OH
M-OHL 69-79
−4.5
17
@JXST
JXSTW 62-59
+5.5
21
@WICH
WICHL 57-88
−16.5
1
@QUC
QUCL 89-91
+2.5
3
@WGA
WGAL 76-88
−13.5
8
vsUNA
UNAW 88-80
+2.5
10
vsCARK
CARKW 79-75
+5.5
15
@APSU
APSUL 72-74
+5.5
covered 7didn’t cover 9avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
vsWKU
WKUL 79-87
+3.5
12
@VAN
VANL 62-92
−14.5
18
@KENT
KENTL 78-93
+9.5
22
vsMER
MERL 83-95
+14.5
24
@NKU
NKUL 71-82
−3.5
29
vsWOF
WOFL 77-83
+6.5
3
@ILST
ILSTL 78-89
+12.5
10
@EIU
EIUW 68-59
−22.5
13
vsM-OH
M-OHL 69-79
−10.5
17
@JXST
JXSTW 62-59
−21.5
21
@WICH
WICHL 57-88
−3.5
1
@QUC
QUCL 89-91
+15.5
3
@WGA
WGAL 76-88
+7.5
8
vsUNA
UNAW 88-80
+19.5
10
vsCARK
CARKW 79-75
−2.5
15
@APSU
APSUL 72-74
−7.5
over 8under 8avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bellarmine
4-11 overall · 1-4 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Lipscomb71–81
- Lvs North Alabama73–82
- Wvs C Arkansas84–78
- L@ Queens University Royals76–98
- L@ West Georgia85–87
2 days since their last game.
E Kentucky
4-12 overall · 2-3 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Austin Peay72–74
- Wvs C Arkansas79–75
- Wvs North Alabama88–80
- L@ West Georgia76–88
- L@ Queens University Royals89–91
2 days since their last game.