Farris Center · at C Arkansas · Conference game
Closing line
CARK -7.5✓ JAX covered by 5.5
CARK -7.5✓ JAX covered by 5.5Closing total136.5Under by 14.5
 JAX | This season | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| 4-11 | Record | 5-10 |
| 5-10 | ATS | 7-8 |
| 4-11 | O/U | 7-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JAX 68–74 CARK · ✓ CARK (69%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAX | 35 | 25 | 60 |
| CARK | 25 | 37 | 62 |
1st half: JAX 35, CARK 25 (JAX by 10). The model had CARK by 3.2 and a total of 66.3 (actual 60).
Team stats
| JAX | CARK | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-63 32% | Field goals | 21-48 44% |
| 7-34 21% | 3-pointers | 5-17 29% |
| 13-17 76% | Free throws | 15-21 71% |
| 39 17 off | Rebounds | 37 10 off |
| 11 | Assists | 15 |
| 8 | Steals | 3 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| JAX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Sterck G | 36 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 5-12 | 2-7 |
| Jason Thirdkill Jr. F | 33 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Hayden Wood G | 31 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 6-15 | 4-11 |
| Jaylen Jones G | 21 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-8 | 0-4 |
| Donovan Rivers F | 20 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chris Lockett Jr. G | 25 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2-14 | 1-9 |
| Charles Caporaso C | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Jordon F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chris Arias G | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Allen Udemadu F | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Roman Loux G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Anakin Brown, Michael Harper Jr., Enrico Borio, Simon Wheeler, Lamont Jackson, Tito Deng
| CARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Moore G | 36 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 6-11 | 3-3 |
| Camren Hunter G | 32 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 6-13 | 0-3 |
| Ty Robinson G | 31 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2-9 | 1-6 |
| Cole McCormick G | 25 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Malchiah Marable F | 24 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Truman Byrne F | 17 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Harry Beauchamp G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Lee G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Parker Applegate G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Chris Mason, R.J. Newton, J.C. Shulman, Ethan Thomas, Owen Dehrmann, Rylie Marshall, Rashad Bolden, Javion Guy-King
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCARK -8.5
1 → JAX
CloseCARK -7.5
1 pt toward JAX
Total
Open136.5
no move
Close136.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
JAX +300 · CARK -380
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CARK -8.5 · closed CARK -7.5 · moved 1 toward JAXmodel CARK -5.5
model CARK -5.5
Opened 136.5 · unchangedmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CARK -7.5 | CARK -5.6 | JAX +1.9 | W JAX covered |
| Total | 136.5 | 141.4 | Over 4.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | JAX 67.9 · CARK 73.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CARK -3.2 | JAX -10.0 |
| 1H total | 66.3 | 60 |
| 1H projected score | JAX 31.5 · CARK 34.7 | JAX 35 · CARK 25 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAX | 2-8 20% | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% |
| CARK | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
JAX 6–0 CARKJAX leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · JAX has won the last 6 meetings · JAX 3-2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | JAX 77 @ CARK 62 | CARK +11.5 | JAX W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | CARK 62 @ JAX 72 | JAX -13.5 | CARK W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | CARK 55 @ JAX 59 | JAX -6.5 | CARK W |
| Jan 28, 2022-23 | JAX 74 @ CARK 64 | CARK +4.5 | JAX W |
| Mar 3, 2021-22 | CARK 69 @ JAX 79 | JAX -10 | P |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Jacksonville
15 games played
Straight up
4-11
27% wins
Against the spread
5-10
33% covers · avg −3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-11
27% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MIA | L 69-86 | +18.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ HPU | L 64-85 | +17.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 15 | @ VMI | W 69-67 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 18 | @ GMU | L 57-79 | +16.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs BCU | W 69-64 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs PAC | L 53-68 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 2 | vs FAMU | W 85-82 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | @ FIU | L 65-88 | +5.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 14 | @ TA&M | L 75-112 | +26.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 17 | @FAMU | L 65-72 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 22 | @ FSU | L 63-87 | +23.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 1 | @ LIP | L 57-76 | +12.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | @ APSU | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vs QUC | L 51-77 | +4.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | vs WGA | W 75-43 | -1.5 | W +30.5 | 141.5 | U 118 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MIA
MIAL 69-86
+1.5
11
@HPU
HPUL 64-85
−3.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 69-67
+0.5
18
@GMU
GMUL 57-79
−5.5
24
vsBCU
BCUW 69-64
+8.5
25
vsPAC
PACL 53-68
−12.5
2
vsFAMU
FAMUW 85-82
−7.5
6
@FIU
FIUL 65-88
−17.5
14
@TA&M
TA&ML 75-112
−10.5
17
@FAMU
FAMUL 65-72
−10.5
22
@FSU
FSUL 63-87
−0.5
1
@LIP
LIPL 57-76
−6.5
3
@APSU
APSUL 68-71
+7.5
8
vsQUC
QUCL 51-77
−21.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 75-43
+30.5
covered 5didn’t cover 10avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MIA
MIAL 69-86
+12.5
11
@HPU
HPUL 64-85
−7.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 69-67
−15.5
18
@GMU
GMUL 57-79
−0.5
24
vsBCU
BCUW 69-64
−10.5
25
vsPAC
PACL 53-68
−14.5
2
vsFAMU
FAMUW 85-82
+28.5
6
@FIU
FIUL 65-88
+7.5
14
@TA&M
TA&ML 75-112
+39.5
17
@FAMU
FAMUL 65-72
−2.5
22
@FSU
FSUL 63-87
−9.5
1
@LIP
LIPL 57-76
−14.5
3
@APSU
APSUL 68-71
−1.5
8
vsQUC
QUCL 51-77
−26.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 75-43
−23.5
over 4under 11avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
C Arkansas
15 games played
Straight up
5-10
33% wins
Against the spread
7-8
47% covers · avg +5.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-8
47% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UNC | L 54-94 | +31.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ ARK | L 56-93 | +35.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 16 | vs SAM | L 77-84 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ UNT | L 56-74 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 23 | vs EWU | W 92-65 | +4.5 | W +31.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs EIU | W 81-60 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 29 | @ ETSU | L 57-80 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs LR | W 85-47 | -3.5 | W +34.5 | 138.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 7 | @ ETAM | L 68-75 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 13 | @ VAN | L 72-83 | +36.5 | W +25.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 21 | @ SMU | L 82-99 | +24.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 1 | vs FGCU | W 85-83 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 3 | vs STET | W 93-73 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 8 | @ BELL | L 78-84 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 10 | @ EKU | L 75-79 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UNC
UNCL 54-94
−8.5
11
@ARK
ARKL 56-93
−1.5
16
vsSAM
SAML 77-84
−0.5
20
@UNT
UNTL 56-74
−1.5
23
vsEWU
EWUW 92-65
+31.5
25
vsEIU
EIUW 81-60
+15.5
29
@ETSU
ETSUL 57-80
−10.5
3
vsLR
LRW 85-47
+34.5
7
@ETAM
ETAML 68-75
−4.5
13
@VAN
VANL 72-83
+25.5
21
@SMU
SMUL 82-99
+7.5
1
vsFGCU
FGCUW 85-83
+4.5
3
vsSTET
STETW 93-73
+8.5
8
@BELL
BELLL 78-84
−8.5
10
@EKU
EKUL 75-79
−5.5
covered 7didn’t cover 8avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UNC
UNCL 54-94
−9.5
11
@ARK
ARKL 56-93
−9.5
16
vsSAM
SAML 77-84
+9.5
20
@UNT
UNTL 56-74
−4.5
23
vsEWU
EWUW 92-65
+2.5
25
vsEIU
EIUW 81-60
+1.5
29
@ETSU
ETSUL 57-80
−7.5
3
vsLR
LRW 85-47
−6.5
7
@ETAM
ETAML 68-75
−2.5
13
@VAN
VANL 72-83
−3.5
21
@SMU
SMUL 82-99
+24.5
1
vsFGCU
FGCUW 85-83
+11.5
3
vsSTET
STETW 93-73
+18.5
8
@BELL
BELLL 78-84
+7.5
10
@EKU
EKUL 75-79
−2.5
over 7under 8avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Jacksonville
4-11 overall · 1-3 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs West Georgia75–43
- Lvs Queens University Royals51–77
- L@ Austin Peay68–71
- L@ Lipscomb57–76
- L@ Florida St63–87
5 days since their last game.
C Arkansas
5-10 overall · 2-2 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ E Kentucky75–79
- L@ Bellarmine78–84
- Wvs Stetson93–73
- Wvs FGCU85–83
- L@ SMU82–99
5 days since their last game.