Jack Stephens Center · at Little Rock · Conference game
Closing line
LIN -1.5✓ LIN covered by 3.5
LIN -1.5✓ LIN covered by 3.5Closing total149.5Over by 3.5
| LIN | This season | LR |
|---|---|---|
| 11-10 | Record | 7-14 |
| 9-12 | ATS | 9-12 |
| 13-8 | O/U | 11-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LIN 75–74 LR · ✓ LIN (55%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIN | 31 | 48 | 79 |
| LR | 30 | 44 | 74 |
1st half: LIN 31, LR 30 (LIN by 1). The model had LIN by 0.9 and a total of 69.6 (actual 61).
Team stats
| LIN | LR | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-63 44% | Field goals | 28-64 44% |
| 9-17 53% | 3-pointers | 5-24 21% |
| 14-21 67% | Free throws | 13-18 72% |
| 41 16 off | Rebounds | 37 14 off |
| 17 | Assists | 12 |
| 4 | Steals | 9 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| LIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anias Futrell G | 39 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 8-18 | 6-9 |
| Milos Nenadic C | 36 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 6-14 | 0-0 |
| Dontrez Williams G | 36 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 6-10 | 1-3 |
| Mekhi Cooper G | 34 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Jadis Jones G | 33 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 3-12 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Robert Lewis F | 15 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Clayton Jackson G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Todd Bieg, Kevin Anthony, Daniel Kwon, William Campbell, Tidiane d'Almeida, Jeremiah Talton, Jaylon McDaniel, Jalen Bouknight
| LR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Lawson G | 40 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 9-20 | 2-11 |
| Kachi Nzeh F | 36 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 7-13 | 3-7 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek F | 35 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Wallace F | 30 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Braxton Bayless G | 29 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-14 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caleb Pennyfeather F | 19 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Tracy Steele Jr. G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Khasen Robinson, Truman Claytor IV, Christian Hughes, Travonne Jackson, Joseph Thomas, Kellen Robinson, Terrion Burgess, KK Robinson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLIN -1.5
ModelLIN -1.3
Model edgeLR +0.2
L LIN covered
Total
Market149.5
Model148.7
Model edgeUnder 0.8
L Over
Projected score
LIN 75 · LR 73.7
LIN 79 · LR 74
Win probability
LIN 55%
1st half
Spread
LIN -0.9
LIN -1.0
Total
69.6
61 points
Projected score
LIN 35.2 · LR 34.3
LIN 31 · LR 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIN -1.5
no move
CloseLIN -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open152.5
▼ 3
Close149.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
LIN -118 · LR -102
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIN -1.5 · unchangedmodel LIN -1.5 matches the line
model LIN -1.5 = line ✓
Opened 152.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 3 downmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIN | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
| LR | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
LIN 3–4 LRLR leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · LIN 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | LR 82 @ LIN 74 | LIN -6.5 | LR W |
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | LIN 93 @ LR 92 | LR -8.5 | LIN W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | LR 78 @ LIN 46 | LIN +2.5 | LR W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | LR 82 @ LIN 73 | LIN +11.5 | LIN W |
| Jan 25, 2023-24 | LIN 66 @ LR 80 | LR -9.5 | LR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Lindenwood Lions
21 games played
Straight up
11-10
52% wins
Against the spread
9-12
43% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-8
62% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ TTU | L 60-98 | +29.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 10 | @ SLU | L 66-109 | +24.5 | L −18.5 | 165.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 14 | vs CHSO | W 83-77 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 16 | @ AAMU | L 65-74 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 20 | @ IU | L 53-73 | +32.5 | W +12.5 | 155.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 24 | vs KC | W 80-67 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 2 | @ NIU | W 99-64 | +3.5 | W +38.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | @ EIU | W 82-74 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 18 | vs WIU | W 92-76 | -12.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 23 | @ MOST | L 65-70 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 1 | vs MORE | W 77-64 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 3 | vs USI | W 83-80 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 6 | @ SIUE | L 62-66 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | vsLR | L 74-82 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | @ SEMO | W 88-76 | +6.5 | W +18.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 17 | @ UTM | L 55-69 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 22 | vs TNTC | W 89-68 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 24 | vs TNST | L 86-96 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 29 | @USI | W 73-60 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 31 | @MORE | W 79-78 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 3 | vsSIUE | L 72-78 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@TTU
TTUL 60-98
−8.5
10
@SLU
SLUL 66-109
−18.5
14
vsCHSO
CHSOW 83-77
+3.5
16
@AAMU
AAMUL 65-74
−5.5
20
@IU
IUL 53-73
+12.5
24
vsKC
KCW 80-67
+8.5
2
@NIU
NIUW 99-64
+38.5
6
@EIU
EIUW 82-74
−0.5
18
vsWIU
WIUW 92-76
+3.5
23
@MOST
MOSTL 65-70
−1.5
1
vsMORE
MOREW 77-64
+6.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 83-80
−6.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEL 62-66
−2.5
10
vsLR
LRL 74-82
−14.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 88-76
+18.5
17
@UTM
UTML 55-69
−11.5
22
vsTNTC
TNTCW 89-68
+12.5
24
vsTNST
TNSTL 86-96
−14.5
29
@USI
USIW 73-60
+8.5
31
@MORE
MOREW 79-78
−0.5
3
vsSIUE
SIUEL 72-78
−10.5
covered 9didn’t cover 12avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@TTU
TTUL 60-98
+11.5
10
@SLU
SLUL 66-109
+9.5
14
vsCHSO
CHSOW 83-77
+4.5
16
@AAMU
AAMUL 65-74
−10.5
20
@IU
IUL 53-73
−29.5
24
vsKC
KCW 80-67
−5.5
2
@NIU
NIUW 99-64
+15.5
6
@EIU
EIUW 82-74
+10.5
18
vsWIU
WIUW 92-76
+21.5
23
@MOST
MOSTL 65-70
−10.5
1
vsMORE
MOREW 77-64
−6.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 83-80
+15.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEL 62-66
−14.5
10
vsLR
LRL 74-82
+6.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 88-76
+9.5
17
@UTM
UTML 55-69
−23.5
22
vsTNTC
TNTCW 89-68
+5.5
24
vsTNST
TNSTL 86-96
+21.5
29
@USI
USIW 73-60
−17.5
31
@MORE
MOREW 79-78
+8.5
3
vsSIUE
SIUEL 72-78
+9.5
over 13under 8avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Little Rock
21 games played
Straight up
7-14
33% wins
Against the spread
9-12
43% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-10
52% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ MILW | L 72-92 | +3.5 | L −16.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ MARQ | L 49-89 | +21.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ BALL | W 68-62 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | @ MUR | L 68-89 | +13.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ TXST | L 56-65 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 131.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | @ SIU | L 65-74 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | @ CARK | L 47-85 | +3.5 | L −34.5 | 138.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 6 | vs ARST | L 78-90 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 9 | @ WVU | L 58-90 | +27.5 | L −4.5 | 132.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 16 | @MORE | L 64-78 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 18 | @USI | W 77-62 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 1 | vsTNTC | W 77-58 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vsTNST | L 79-84 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @SIUE | W 73-70 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 131.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @LIN | W 82-74 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vsEIU | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 133.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 17 | vsWIU | W 86-79 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 22 | @SEMO | L 65-70 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | @TNST | L 63-70 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 31 | @TNTC | L 77-87 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 141.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 3 | @UTM | L 52-55 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | U 107 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@MILW
MILWL 72-92
−16.5
12
@MARQ
MARQL 49-89
−18.5
15
@BALL
BALLW 68-62
+8.5
18
@MUR
MURL 68-89
−7.5
21
@TXST
TXSTL 56-65
−3.5
29
@SIU
SIUL 65-74
+4.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 47-85
−34.5
6
vsARST
ARSTL 78-90
−2.5
9
@WVU
WVUL 58-90
−4.5
16
@MORE
MOREL 64-78
−11.5
18
@USI
USIW 77-62
+12.5
1
vsTNTC
TNTCW 77-58
+17.5
3
vsTNST
TNSTL 79-84
−3.5
8
@SIUE
SIUEW 73-70
+6.5
10
@LIN
LINW 82-74
+14.5
15
vsEIU
EIUW 74-63
+4.5
17
vsWIU
WIUW 86-79
−3.5
22
@SEMO
SEMOL 65-70
+0.5
29
@TNST
TNSTL 63-70
−2.5
31
@TNTC
TNTCL 77-87
−11.5
3
@UTM
UTML 52-55
+3.5
covered 9didn’t cover 12avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@MILW
MILWL 72-92
+7.5
12
@MARQ
MARQL 49-89
−17.5
15
@BALL
BALLW 68-62
−16.5
18
@MUR
MURL 68-89
+3.5
21
@TXST
TXSTL 56-65
−10.5
29
@SIU
SIUL 65-74
−2.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 47-85
−6.5
6
vsARST
ARSTL 78-90
+20.5
9
@WVU
WVUL 58-90
+15.5
16
@MORE
MOREL 64-78
+5.5
18
@USI
USIW 77-62
−1.5
1
vsTNTC
TNTCW 77-58
−9.5
3
vsTNST
TNSTL 79-84
+18.5
8
@SIUE
SIUEW 73-70
+11.5
10
@LIN
LINW 82-74
+6.5
15
vsEIU
EIUW 74-63
+3.5
17
vsWIU
WIUW 86-79
+29.5
22
@SEMO
SEMOL 65-70
−10.5
29
@TNST
TNSTL 63-70
−17.5
31
@TNTC
TNTCL 77-87
+22.5
3
@UTM
UTML 52-55
−32.5
over 11under 10avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Lindenwood Lions
11-10 overall · 8-5 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs SIUE72–78
- W@ Morehead St79–78
- W@ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles73–60
- Lvs Tennessee St86–96
- Wvs Tennessee Tech89–68
2 days since their last game.
Little Rock
7-14 overall · 6-6 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UT Martin52–55
- L@ Tennessee Tech77–87
- L@ Tennessee St63–70
- L@ SE Missouri65–70
- Wvs W Illinois86–79
2 days since their last game.