Thomas Assembly Center · at Louisiana Tech · Conference game
Closing line
LT -2.5✓ LT covered by 3.5
LT -2.5✓ LT covered by 3.5Closing total132.5Over by 15.5
 JXST | This season | LT |
|---|---|---|
| 10-12 | Record | 11-11 |
| 8-14 | ATS | 11-11 |
| 12-10 | O/U | 10-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JXST 64–66 LT · ✓ LT (58%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JXST | 20 | 51 | 71 |
| LT | 39 | 38 | 77 |
1st half: JXST 20, LT 39 (LT by 19). The model had LT by 1.2 and a total of 60.6 (actual 59).
Team stats
| JXST | LT | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-57 40% | Field goals | 29-53 55% |
| 11-24 46% | 3-pointers | 8-20 40% |
| 14-22 64% | Free throws | 11-19 58% |
| 29 9 off | Rebounds | 36 7 off |
| 13 | Assists | 23 |
| 10 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 7 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| JXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Bryant G | 36 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 6-12 | 5-10 |
| Mostapha El Moutaouakkil G | 31 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 9-15 | 4-7 |
| Marcus Fitzgerald Jr. G | 28 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-5 |
| Jacoby Hill G | 21 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Iaroslav Niagu F | 15 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Emondrek Erkins-Ford F | 28 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Jaye Nash G | 26 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Toby Nnadozie G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jamar Franklin G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Aitor Anabitarte F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Connor Loy, Jordan Vick, Aidan Driggers, Ben Vungo, Thomas Tut
| LT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Bates G | 39 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 5-11 | 0-2 |
| DJ Dudley G | 35 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 7-12 | 4-7 |
| Avery Thomas II F | 27 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 4-10 | 3-6 |
| Melian Martinez C | 25 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Fenner G | 23 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kaden Cooper F | 30 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Will Allen F | 21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Kylan Howze, Keegan Rowell, Jermaurhiyun Anderson, Will Jeffress, A'Meir Williams, Lachlan Thompson, Scooter Williams, Sir Issac Herron
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLT -2.5
ModelLT -2.2
Model edgeJXST +0.3
L LT covered
Total
Market132.5
Model129.3
Model edgeUnder 3.3
L Over
Projected score
JXST 63.5 · LT 65.7
JXST 71 · LT 77
Win probability
LT 58%
1st half
Spread
LT -1.2
LT -19.0
Total
60.6
59 points
Projected score
JXST 29.7 · LT 30.9
JXST 20 · LT 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLT -3.5
1 → JXST
CloseLT -2.5
1 pt toward JXST
Total
Open132.5
no move
Close132.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
JXST +120 · LT -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LT -3.5 · closed LT -2.5 · moved 1 toward JXSTmodel LT -2
model LT -2
Opened 132.5 · unchangedmodel 129.5
model 129.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JXST | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| LT | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
JXST 3–2 LTJXST leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · JXST has won the last 3 meetings · JXST 3-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | LT 60 @ JXST 64 | JXST -4.5 | LT W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | JXST 70 @ LT 68 | LT -3.5 | JXST W |
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | LT 61 @ JXST 63 | JXST +2.5 | JXST W |
| Feb 15, 2023-24 | JXST 58 @ LT 63 | LT -10.5 | JXST W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | LT 74 @ JXST 57 | JXST +3.5 | LT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Jax State
22 games played
Straight up
10-12
45% wins
Against the spread
8-14
36% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg −1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14 | vs CCU | W 74-67 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs USA | L 65-71 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ ARST | L 63-74 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs NDSU | L 43-56 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 99 |
| Dec 1 | vs UNA | L 66-73 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 13 | @ GAST | L 73-77 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 17 | vs EKU | L 59-62 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 20 | @ ETSU | W 81-75 | +9.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 29 | vs WKU | W 78-67 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 2 | @ DEL | W 67-64 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 126.5 | O 131 |
| Jan 4 | @ LIB | L 69-78 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 7 | vs FIU | W 71-64 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 10 | @ KENN | L 82-88 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 14 | vs SHSU | L 62-77 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 17 | vsLT | W 64-60 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 23 | vs MTSU | W 75-58 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 28 | @FIU | W 78-74 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 31 | @ MOST | L 67-74 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 5 | @WKU | W 71-66 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 7 | vsKENN | W 77-58 | +1.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 11 | vs UTEP | L 64-69 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 134.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 14 | vs NMSU | L 70-79 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
14
vsCCU
CCUW 74-67
−0.5
19
vsUSA
USAL 65-71
−8.5
24
@ARST
ARSTL 63-74
−6.5
26
vsNDSU
NDSUL 43-56
−9.5
1
vsUNA
UNAL 66-73
−13.5
13
@GAST
GASTL 73-77
−7.5
17
vsEKU
EKUL 59-62
−5.5
20
@ETSU
ETSUW 81-75
+15.5
29
vsWKU
WKUW 78-67
+13.5
2
@DEL
DELW 67-64
−1.5
4
@LIB
LIBL 69-78
+0.5
7
vsFIU
FIUW 71-64
+5.5
10
@KENN
KENNL 82-88
−0.5
14
vsSHSU
SHSUL 62-77
−16.5
17
vsLT
LTW 64-60
−0.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUW 75-58
+18.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 78-74
+7.5
31
@MOST
MOSTL 67-74
−2.5
5
@WKU
WKUW 71-66
+9.5
7
vsKENN
KENNW 77-58
+20.5
11
vsUTEP
UTEPL 64-69
−11.5
14
vsNMSU
NMSUL 70-79
−10.5
covered 8didn’t cover 14avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
14
vsCCU
CCUW 74-67
+1.5
19
vsUSA
USAL 65-71
+0.5
24
@ARST
ARSTL 63-74
−18.5
26
vsNDSU
NDSUL 43-56
−43.5
1
vsUNA
UNAL 66-73
+4.5
13
@GAST
GASTL 73-77
+10.5
17
vsEKU
EKUL 59-62
−21.5
20
@ETSU
ETSUW 81-75
+21.5
29
vsWKU
WKUW 78-67
+2.5
2
@DEL
DELW 67-64
+4.5
4
@LIB
LIBL 69-78
+12.5
7
vsFIU
FIUW 71-64
−15.5
10
@KENN
KENNL 82-88
+20.5
14
vsSHSU
SHSUL 62-77
−11.5
17
vsLT
LTW 64-60
−3.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUW 75-58
−0.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 78-74
+3.5
31
@MOST
MOSTL 67-74
+5.5
5
@WKU
WKUW 71-66
−3.5
7
vsKENN
KENNW 77-58
−14.5
11
vsUTEP
UTEPL 64-69
−1.5
14
vsNMSU
NMSUL 70-79
+9.5
over 12under 10avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Louisiana Tech
22 games played
Straight up
11-11
50% wins
Against the spread
11-11
50% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ NEV | L 50-77 | +9.5 | L −17.5 | 136.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 15 | vs JKST | W 68-51 | -8.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 19 | @ INST | L 51-60 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 26 | vsINST | W 75-73 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 29 | vs ALCN | W 83-58 | -16.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 3 | @ GASO | L 69-77 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 13 | vs UL | W 65-44 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 126.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 17 | @ TULN | L 53-61 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 29 | vsUTEP | W 75-63 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Jan 2 | @MTSU | L 51-88 | +6.5 | L −30.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 4 | @WKU | L 61-66 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 8 | vsLIB | L 56-72 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | vsDEL | W 70-68 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 123.5 | O 138 |
| Jan 14 | vsMTSU | W 59-58 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 131.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 17 | @JXST | L 60-64 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 23 | vsKENN | W 82-76 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 28 | @UTEP | W 69-59 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 130.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 31 | @SHSU | L 67-83 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 4 | vsNMSU | L 63-72 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 7 | vsSHSU | W 87-78 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 12 | @MOST | W 79-78 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | @FIU | L 64-77 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@NEV
NEVL 50-77
−17.5
15
vsJKST
JKSTW 68-51
+8.5
19
@INST
INSTL 51-60
−5.5
26
vsINST
INSTW 75-73
−0.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 83-58
+8.5
3
@GASO
GASOL 69-77
−6.5
13
vsUL
ULW 65-44
+11.5
17
@TULN
TULNL 53-61
−3.5
29
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-63
+9.5
2
@MTSU
MTSUL 51-88
−30.5
4
@WKU
WKUL 61-66
+4.5
8
vsLIB
LIBL 56-72
−11.5
10
vsDEL
DELW 70-68
−4.5
14
vsMTSU
MTSUW 59-58
+4.5
17
@JXST
JXSTL 60-64
+0.5
23
vsKENN
KENNW 82-76
+7.5
28
@UTEP
UTEPW 69-59
+12.5
31
@SHSU
SHSUL 67-83
−8.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUL 63-72
−10.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 87-78
+12.5
12
@MOST
MOSTW 79-78
+4.5
14
@FIU
FIUL 64-77
−9.5
covered 11didn’t cover 11avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@NEV
NEVL 50-77
−9.5
15
vsJKST
JKSTW 68-51
−27.5
19
@INST
INSTL 51-60
−36.5
26
vsINST
INSTW 75-73
+6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 83-58
+3.5
3
@GASO
GASOL 69-77
+0.5
13
vsUL
ULW 65-44
−17.5
17
@TULN
TULNL 53-61
−26.5
29
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-63
+7.5
2
@MTSU
MTSUL 51-88
+4.5
4
@WKU
WKUL 61-66
−18.5
8
vsLIB
LIBL 56-72
−7.5
10
vsDEL
DELW 70-68
+14.5
14
vsMTSU
MTSUW 59-58
−14.5
17
@JXST
JXSTL 60-64
−3.5
23
vsKENN
KENNW 82-76
+13.5
28
@UTEP
UTEPW 69-59
−2.5
31
@SHSU
SHSUL 67-83
+8.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUL 63-72
−0.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 87-78
+21.5
12
@MOST
MOSTW 79-78
+20.5
14
@FIU
FIUL 64-77
−5.5
over 10under 12avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Jax State
10-12 overall · 8-6 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs New Mexico St70–79
- Lvs UTEP64–69
- Wvs Kennesaw St77–58
- W@ Western KY71–66
- L@ Missouri St67–74
4 days since their last game.
Louisiana Tech
11-11 overall · 7-7 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ FIU64–77
- W@ Missouri St79–78
- Wvs Sam Houston87–78
- Lvs New Mexico St63–72
- L@ Sam Houston67–83
4 days since their last game.