E.A. Diddle Arena · at Western KY · Conference game
Closing line
WKU -3.5✓ MTSU covered by 1.5
WKU -3.5✓ MTSU covered by 1.5Closing total145.5Over by 16.5
 MTSU | This season | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| 9-12 | Record | 11-11 |
| 8-13 | ATS | 12-10 |
| 10-11 | O/U | 8-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MTSU 73–75 WKU · ✓ WKU (59%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | 37 | 43 | 80 |
| WKU | 42 | 40 | 82 |
1st half: MTSU 37, WKU 42 (WKU by 5). The model had WKU by 1.4 and a total of 69.2 (actual 79).
Team stats
| MTSU | WKU | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-66 48% | Field goals | 23-47 49% |
| 7-27 26% | 3-pointers | 8-22 36% |
| 9-13 69% | Free throws | 28-32 88% |
| 35 13 off | Rebounds | 29 6 off |
| 14 | Assists | 13 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 23 | Fouls | 17 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MTSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamari Lands G | 34 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 8-16 | 4-9 |
| Alec Oglesby G | 21 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Torey Alston F | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Chris Loofe F | 17 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-2 |
| Jahvin Carter G | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tre Green G | 29 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Sean Smith G | 28 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 8-17 | 2-5 |
| Luka Jovanovic C | 23 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Whitlock Jr. G | 16 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: James Dent Jr., Jarred Hall, Charvez Ambrose, Jax Howard, Brandon Oloumou, Savon Wykle
| WKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrion Murdix G | 32 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Grant Newell F | 30 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 7-11 | 4-7 |
| LJ Hackman G | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Kade Unseld G | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Blaise Keita F | 18 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Teagan Moore G | 26 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 6-10 | 3-4 |
| Ryan Myers G | 24 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-6 |
| Leeroy Odiahi F | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Cam Haffner G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jack Edelen G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Noah Boyde, Louie Semona III, Cade Stinnett, Bryant Selebangue, Armelo Boone, Lawson Rice
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWKU -3.5
ModelWKU -2.6
Model edgeMTSU +0.9
W MTSU covered
Total
Market145.5
Model147.9
Model edgeOver 2.4
W Over
Projected score
MTSU 72.6 · WKU 75.2
MTSU 80 · WKU 82
Win probability
WKU 59%
1st half
Spread
WKU -1.4
WKU -5.0
Total
69.2
79 points
Projected score
MTSU 33.9 · WKU 35.3
MTSU 37 · WKU 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWKU -3.5
no move
CloseWKU -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open141.5
▲ 4
Close145.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
MTSU +142 · WKU -170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WKU -3.5 · unchangedmodel WKU -2.5
model WKU -2.5
Opened 141.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 4 upmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% |
| WKU | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 1-9 10% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
MTSU 6–4 WKUMTSU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · MTSU 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025-26 | WKU 65 @ MTSU 60 | MTSU -6.5 | WKU W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | MTSU 87 @ WKU 77 | WKU -2.5 | MTSU W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | WKU 57 @ MTSU 71 | MTSU -5.5 | MTSU W |
| Mar 15, 2023-24 | MTSU 54 vs WKU 85 | WKU -5.5 | WKU W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | WKU 72 @ MTSU 74 | MTSU +3.5 | MTSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
MTSU
21 games played
Straight up
9-12
43% wins
Against the spread
8-13
38% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-11
48% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | @ EVAN | W 77-72 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ MICH | L 61-86 | +27.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs MUR | W 90-87 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | vs GW | L 79-92 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs MCN | L 62-72 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 1 | vs UAB | W 76-61 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 7 | vs BEL | L 62-83 | +3.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 17 | vs KENN | W 68-67 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 29 | @ HOU | L 60-69 | +25.5 | W +16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 2 | vs LT | W 88-51 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 4 | vs SHSU | W 68-67 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 8 | @ UTEP | L 80-83 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | @ NMSU | W 59-55 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 14 | @LT | L 58-59 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 131.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 17 | vs MOST | W 90-87 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 23 | @ JXST | L 58-75 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 29 | vs LIB | L 65-81 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 136.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 31 | vsWKU | L 60-65 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 4 | vs FIU | L 84-88 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 7 | @ DEL | L 88-89 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 12 | @KENN | W 90-87 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 177 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+7.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
+2.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+9.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
−3.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−0.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
+16.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 62-83
−17.5
17
vsKENN
KENNW 68-67
−2.5
29
@HOU
HOUL 60-69
+16.5
2
vsLT
LTW 88-51
+30.5
4
vsSHSU
SHSUW 68-67
−3.5
8
@UTEP
UTEPL 80-83
−6.5
10
@NMSU
NMSUW 59-55
+7.5
14
@LT
LTL 58-59
−4.5
17
vsMOST
MOSTW 90-87
−2.5
23
@JXST
JXSTL 58-75
−18.5
29
vsLIB
LIBL 65-81
−14.5
31
vsWKU
WKUL 60-65
−11.5
4
vsFIU
FIUL 84-88
−9.5
7
@DEL
DELL 88-89
−6.5
12
@KENN
KENNW 90-87
+6.5
covered 8didn’t cover 13avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+8.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
−12.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+15.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
+12.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−13.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
−16.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 62-83
−8.5
17
vsKENN
KENNW 68-67
−25.5
29
@HOU
HOUL 60-69
−9.5
2
vsLT
LTW 88-51
+4.5
4
vsSHSU
SHSUW 68-67
−21.5
8
@UTEP
UTEPL 80-83
+25.5
10
@NMSU
NMSUW 59-55
−30.5
14
@LT
LTL 58-59
−14.5
17
vsMOST
MOSTW 90-87
+39.5
23
@JXST
JXSTL 58-75
−0.5
29
vsLIB
LIBL 65-81
+9.5
31
vsWKU
WKUL 60-65
−15.5
4
vsFIU
FIUL 84-88
+17.5
7
@DEL
DELL 88-89
+43.5
12
@KENN
KENNW 90-87
+28.5
over 10under 11avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Western KY
22 games played
Straight up
11-11
50% wins
Against the spread
12-10
55% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-14
36% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TNTC | W 82-70 | -14.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 10 | @ EKU | W 87-79 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 16 | vs TNST | W 95-82 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs VAN | L 78-83 | +18.5 | W +13.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 27 | vs USF | L 91-97 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 167.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 28 | vs WICH | W 75-70 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 6 | vsEVAN | W 80-79 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 10 | @ MRSH | L 61-77 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 19 | vs TLSA | L 81-82 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 29 | @JXST | L 67-78 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 2 | vsSHSU | W 102-91 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 168.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 4 | vsLT | W 66-61 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 8 | @NMSU | L 64-80 | +2.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @UTEP | W 68-56 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 14 | vsMOST | W 87-72 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 17 | vsKENN | L 65-81 | -7.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 21 | vsLIB | L 69-76 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 24 | @SHSU | L 58-73 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 156.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 28 | @KENN | L 69-72 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 31 | @MTSU | W 65-60 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 5 | vsJXST | L 66-71 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 7 | vsFIU | W 80-70 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 82-70
−2.5
10
@EKU
EKUW 87-79
+6.5
16
vsTNST
TNSTW 95-82
+0.5
26
vsVAN
VANL 78-83
+13.5
27
vsUSF
USFL 91-97
+1.5
28
vsWICH
WICHW 75-70
+9.5
6
vsEVAN
EVANW 80-79
−10.5
10
@MRSH
MRSHL 61-77
−14.5
19
vsTLSA
TLSAL 81-82
+1.5
29
@JXST
JXSTL 67-78
−13.5
2
vsSHSU
SHSUW 102-91
+5.5
4
vsLT
LTW 66-61
−4.5
8
@NMSU
NMSUL 64-80
−13.5
10
@UTEP
UTEPW 68-56
+8.5
14
vsMOST
MOSTW 87-72
+8.5
17
vsKENN
KENNL 65-81
−23.5
21
vsLIB
LIBL 69-76
−5.5
24
@SHSU
SHSUL 58-73
−9.5
28
@KENN
KENNL 69-72
+1.5
31
@MTSU
MTSUW 65-60
+11.5
5
vsJXST
JXSTL 66-71
−9.5
7
vsFIU
FIUW 80-70
+5.5
covered 12didn’t cover 10avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 82-70
−1.5
10
@EKU
EKUW 87-79
+3.5
16
vsTNST
TNSTW 95-82
+9.5
26
vsVAN
VANL 78-83
−7.5
27
vsUSF
USFL 91-97
+20.5
28
vsWICH
WICHW 75-70
−10.5
6
vsEVAN
EVANW 80-79
+11.5
10
@MRSH
MRSHL 61-77
−21.5
19
vsTLSA
TLSAL 81-82
+4.5
29
@JXST
JXSTL 67-78
+2.5
2
vsSHSU
SHSUW 102-91
+24.5
4
vsLT
LTW 66-61
−18.5
8
@NMSU
NMSUL 64-80
−10.5
10
@UTEP
UTEPW 68-56
−20.5
14
vsMOST
MOSTW 87-72
+10.5
17
vsKENN
KENNL 65-81
−19.5
21
vsLIB
LIBL 69-76
−3.5
24
@SHSU
SHSUL 58-73
−25.5
28
@KENN
KENNL 69-72
−19.5
31
@MTSU
MTSUW 65-60
−15.5
5
vsJXST
JXSTL 66-71
−3.5
7
vsFIU
FIUW 80-70
−9.5
over 8under 14avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
MTSU
9-12 overall · 6-7 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Kennesaw St90–87
- L@ Delaware88–89
- Lvs FIU84–88
- Lvs Western KY60–65
- Lvs Liberty65–81
2 days since their last game.
Western KY
11-11 overall · 6-7 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs FIU80–70
- Lvs Jax State66–71
- W@ MTSU65–60
- L@ Kennesaw St69–72
- L@ Sam Houston58–73
A week or more of rest.