Ocean Bank Convocation Center · at FIU · Conference game
Closing line
FIU -3.5✓ JXST covered by 7.5
FIU -3.5✓ JXST covered by 7.5Closing total148.5Over by 3.5
 JXST | This season | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-9 | Record | 7-10 |
| 5-11 | ATS | 11-6 |
| 9-7 | O/U | 9-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JXST 72–76 FIU · ✗ FIU (64%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JXST | 24 | 54 | 78 |
| FIU | 32 | 42 | 74 |
1st half: JXST 24, FIU 32 (FIU by 8). The model had FIU by 2.3 and a total of 69.2 (actual 56).
Team stats
| JXST | FIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-54 48% | Field goals | 26-59 44% |
| 4-18 22% | 3-pointers | 6-21 29% |
| 22-32 69% | Free throws | 16-22 73% |
| 34 6 off | Rebounds | 36 8 off |
| 14 | Assists | 8 |
| 11 | Steals | 9 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 21 | Fouls | 23 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| JXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Hill G | 37 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Mostapha El Moutaouakkil G | 35 | 31 | 5 | 4 | 10-18 | 1-2 |
| AC Bryant G | 23 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2-11 | 1-8 |
| Iaroslav Niagu F | 22 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Jamar Franklin G | 19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaye Nash G | 23 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Emondrek Erkins-Ford F | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Marcus Fitzgerald Jr. G | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Toby Nnadozie G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Thomas Tut F | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aidan Driggers, Jordan Vick, Connor Loy, Ben Vungo, Aitor Anabitarte
| FIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Dibami C | 33 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Corey Stephenson G | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 7-14 | 4-7 |
| Zawdie Jackson G | 28 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Ashton Williamson G | 23 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3-10 | 0-4 |
| Hamed Olayinka F | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Julian Mackey G | 23 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Brit Harris G | 17 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Thiago Sucatzky G | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Ibrahim Olajuwon C | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jorge Santos, Aydan Clinton, Gvidas Gicevicius, Mikey Kelvin II, Renato Ruiz, Kennedy Brown, Amarion Nimmers
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketFIU -3.5
ModelFIU -4.1
Model edgeFIU +0.6
L JXST covered
Total
Market148.5
Model147.7
Model edgeUnder 0.8
L Over
Projected score
JXST 71.8 · FIU 75.9
JXST 78 · FIU 74
Win probability
FIU 64%
1st half
Spread
FIU -2.3
FIU -8.0
Total
69.2
56 points
Projected score
JXST 33.4 · FIU 35.7
JXST 24 · FIU 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFIU -4.5
1 → JXST
CloseFIU -3.5
1 pt toward JXST
Total
Open148.5
no move
Close148.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
JXST +154 · FIU -185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FIU -4.5 · closed FIU -3.5 · moved 1 toward JXSTmodel FIU -4
model FIU -4
Opened 148.5 · unchangedmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JXST | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| FIU | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
JXST 7–1 FIUJXST leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · JXST has won the last 4 meetings · JXST 6-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025-26 | FIU 64 @ JXST 71 | JXST -1.5 | JXST W |
| Mar 12, 2024-25 | FIU 56 vs JXST 65 | JXST -7.5 | JXST W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | JXST 84 @ FIU 79 | FIU +3.5 | JXST W |
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | FIU 67 @ JXST 71 | JXST -6.5 | FIU W |
| Mar 12, 2023-24 | FIU 76 vs JXST 67 | JXST -4.5 | FIU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Jax State
16 games played
Straight up
7-9
44% wins
Against the spread
5-11
31% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14 | vs CCU | W 74-67 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs USA | L 65-71 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ ARST | L 63-74 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs NDSU | L 43-56 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 99 |
| Dec 1 | vs UNA | L 66-73 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 13 | @ GAST | L 73-77 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 17 | vs EKU | L 59-62 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 20 | @ ETSU | W 81-75 | +9.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 29 | vs WKU | W 78-67 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 2 | @ DEL | W 67-64 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 126.5 | O 131 |
| Jan 4 | @ LIB | L 69-78 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 7 | vsFIU | W 71-64 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 10 | @ KENN | L 82-88 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 14 | vs SHSU | L 62-77 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 17 | vs LT | W 64-60 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 23 | vs MTSU | W 75-58 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
14
vsCCU
CCUW 74-67
−0.5
19
vsUSA
USAL 65-71
−8.5
24
@ARST
ARSTL 63-74
−6.5
26
vsNDSU
NDSUL 43-56
−9.5
1
vsUNA
UNAL 66-73
−13.5
13
@GAST
GASTL 73-77
−7.5
17
vsEKU
EKUL 59-62
−5.5
20
@ETSU
ETSUW 81-75
+15.5
29
vsWKU
WKUW 78-67
+13.5
2
@DEL
DELW 67-64
−1.5
4
@LIB
LIBL 69-78
+0.5
7
vsFIU
FIUW 71-64
+5.5
10
@KENN
KENNL 82-88
−0.5
14
vsSHSU
SHSUL 62-77
−16.5
17
vsLT
LTW 64-60
−0.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUW 75-58
+18.5
covered 5didn’t cover 11avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
14
vsCCU
CCUW 74-67
+1.5
19
vsUSA
USAL 65-71
+0.5
24
@ARST
ARSTL 63-74
−18.5
26
vsNDSU
NDSUL 43-56
−43.5
1
vsUNA
UNAL 66-73
+4.5
13
@GAST
GASTL 73-77
+10.5
17
vsEKU
EKUL 59-62
−21.5
20
@ETSU
ETSUW 81-75
+21.5
29
vsWKU
WKUW 78-67
+2.5
2
@DEL
DELW 67-64
+4.5
4
@LIB
LIBL 69-78
+12.5
7
vsFIU
FIUW 71-64
−15.5
10
@KENN
KENNL 82-88
+20.5
14
vsSHSU
SHSUL 62-77
−11.5
17
vsLT
LTW 64-60
−3.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUW 75-58
−0.5
over 9under 7avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
FIU
17 games played
Straight up
7-10
41% wins
Against the spread
11-6
65% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NEB | L 66-96 | +21.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 13 | @ LSU | L 81-98 | +21.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 24 | vs JMU | L 72-80 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 26 | vs OMA | W 74-61 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 3 | vs FGCU | W 89-83 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 6 | vs JAX | W 88-65 | -5.5 | W +17.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 16 | @ MIA | L 81-98 | +22.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 20 | vs LIU | W 86-79 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 161.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 28 | vsLIB | L 94-97 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 2 | vs NMSU | W 89-74 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 4 | vs UTEP | W 76-64 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 7 | @JXST | L 64-71 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 10 | @ MOST | L 71-79 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 14 | @KENN | L 86-89 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 175.5 | U 175 |
| Jan 17 | vsSHSU | L 63-76 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 168.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 22 | @UTEP | L 77-83 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 24 | @NMSU | W 81-78 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NEB
NEBL 66-96
−8.5
13
@LSU
LSUL 81-98
+4.5
24
vsJMU
JMUL 72-80
−10.5
26
vsOMA
OMAW 74-61
+8.5
3
vsFGCU
FGCUW 89-83
+7.5
6
vsJAX
JAXW 88-65
+17.5
16
@MIA
MIAL 81-98
+5.5
20
vsLIU
LIUW 86-79
+0.5
28
vsLIB
LIBL 94-97
+1.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-74
+16.5
4
vsUTEP
UTEPW 76-64
+5.5
7
@JXST
JXSTL 64-71
−5.5
10
@MOST
MOSTL 71-79
−5.5
14
@KENN
KENNL 86-89
+2.5
17
vsSHSU
SHSUL 63-76
−15.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 77-83
−7.5
24
@NMSU
NMSUW 81-78
+10.5
covered 11didn’t cover 6avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NEB
NEBL 66-96
+5.5
13
@LSU
LSUL 81-98
+20.5
24
vsJMU
JMUL 72-80
−3.5
26
vsOMA
OMAW 74-61
−22.5
3
vsFGCU
FGCUW 89-83
+17.5
6
vsJAX
JAXW 88-65
+7.5
16
@MIA
MIAL 81-98
+17.5
20
vsLIU
LIUW 86-79
+3.5
28
vsLIB
LIBL 94-97
+38.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-74
+5.5
4
vsUTEP
UTEPW 76-64
−12.5
7
@JXST
JXSTL 64-71
−15.5
10
@MOST
MOSTL 71-79
−3.5
14
@KENN
KENNL 86-89
−0.5
17
vsSHSU
SHSUL 63-76
−29.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 77-83
+8.5
24
@NMSU
NMSUW 81-78
−0.5
over 9under 8avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Jax State
7-9 overall · 5-3 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs MTSU75–58
- Wvs Louisiana Tech64–60
- Lvs Sam Houston62–77
- L@ Kennesaw St82–88
- Wvs FIU71–64
5 days since their last game.
FIU
7-10 overall · 3-6 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ New Mexico St81–78
- L@ UTEP77–83
- Lvs Sam Houston63–76
- L@ Kennesaw St86–89
- L@ Missouri St71–79
4 days since their last game.