Delta Center · at Jazz · Conference game
LineNo line yet
Total—
 OKC | This season | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 1-5 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 1-5 |
| 1-5 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects OKC 117–109 · win probability OKC 71%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 226.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: OKC has more of the edges
OKC 4, UTAH 1 · 2026-27 so far
OKCBigUTAH offense vs OKC defense
Offense 20th of 30 against a defense 2nd, on the model’s ratings
OKCBigTurnovers
Turnover rate: OKC 14.5%, UTAH 17.0%. Forced: OKC 15.8%, UTAH 13.3%
OKCBigOKC offense vs UTAH defense
Offense 18th of 30 against a defense 27th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 103 possessions: OKC plays 101.1 a game (27th fastest), UTAH 104.0 (12th). Faster games mean more points
UTAHSmallHome court
UTAH at home. This season: UTAH 1-4 at home, OKC 1-2 away
OKCSmallShooting
Effective FG%: OKC 49.5 and allows 51.0; UTAH 51.0 and allows 53.9
Even
Recent form
Last 5: OKC 2-3 ATS, margin -3.0; UTAH 1-4 ATS, margin -8.2
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: OKC 21.8, UTAH 31.6. Allowed: OKC 23.4, UTAH 33.8
Even
Three-pointers
OKC hits 30.9% and allows 35.3%; UTAH hits 32.6% and allows 37.6%. Threes are 35.8% and 41.7% of their shots
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: OKC 28.5%, UTAH 25.7%. Defensive: OKC 71.4%, UTAH 77.1%
Context
Schedule so far
OKC has played the 5th-hardest schedule, UTAH the 4th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: OKC 100%, UTAH 100%. Transfers in: OKC 0, UTAH 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelOKC -7.8
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model226.7
Model edge—
Projected score
OKC 117.3 · UTAH 109.4
Win probability
OKC 71%
1st half
Spread
OKC -4.6
Total
113.6
Projected score
OKC 59.1 · UTAH 54.5
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OKClast 6 | 4-2 67% | 3-3 50% | 1-5 17% |
| UTAHlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 1-5 17% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 20 since 2021-22
OKC 14–6 UTAHOKC leads · 20 games since 2021-22 · OKC has won the last 9 meetings · OKC 14-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025-26 | UTAH 111 @ OKC 146 | OKC -24.5 | OKC W |
| Jan 7, 2025-26 | UTAH 125 @ OKC 129 | OKC -19.5 | UTAH W |
| Dec 7, 2025-26 | OKC 131 @ UTAH 101 | UTAH +11.5 | OKC W |
| Nov 21, 2025-26 | OKC 144 @ UTAH 112 | UTAH +16.5 | OKC W |
| Apr 11, 2024-25 | OKC 145 @ UTAH 111 | UTAH +8.5 | OKC W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Thunder
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg −6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-5
17% overs · avg −12.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
@
SA
SAW 116-104
+10.5
22
vs
DEN
DENW 96-84
+4.5
25
vs
LAC
LACW 108-101
−9.5
26
vs
PHX
PHXW 125-114
+2.5
28
@
DAL
DALL 96-120
−28.5
31
@
HOU
HOUL 98-119
−18.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
@SA
SAW 116-104
−9.5
22
vsDEN
DENW 96-84
−56.5
25
vsLAC
LACW 108-101
−14.5
26
vsPHX
PHXW 125-114
+17.5
28
@DAL
DALL 96-120
−11.5
31
@HOU
HOUL 98-119
−2.5
over 1under 5avg −12.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Jazz
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
1-5
17% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
MEM
MEML 103-123
−18.5
23
vs
NO
NOW 120-119
−0.5
25
vs
LAL
LALL 123-132
−2.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−3.5
28
vsSA
SAL 111-117
+7.5
31
vs
POR
PORL 90-112
−15.5
covered 1didn’t cover 5avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@MEM
MEML 103-123
−14.5
23
vsNO
NOW 120-119
+0.5
25
vsLAL
LALL 123-132
+17.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−22.5
28
vsSA
SAL 111-117
−4.5
31
vsPOR
PORL 90-112
−30.5
over 2under 4avg −9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Thunder has the better starters
Position by position: Thunder 3, Jazz 1, even 1
ThunderBetterJazz
G S. Gilgeous-Alexander26 pts · 4.5 reb · 3.3 ast
Score 88
←OKCBig
G K. George21.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 6.3 ast
Score 8
G A. Mitchell16.5 pts · 3.3 reb · 3.8 ast
Score 99
←OKCBig
G A. Bailey13.3 pts · 7.8 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 11
G J. McCain10.8 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 8
=Even
G D. Peterson13.3 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.8 ast
Score 17
G K. Williams5 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.7 ast
Score 40
→UTAHBig
F L. Markkanen15.4 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.6 ast
Score 94
C I. Hartenstein9.5 pts · 9.2 reb · 2 ast
Score 88
←OKCBig
C J. Hayes8 pts · 6.6 reb · 2.4 ast
Score 36
ThunderBetterJazz
OKC offense18th of 30 · -1.1
←OKCSmall
UTAH defense27th of 30 · -6.0
OKC defense2nd of 30 · +6.2
←OKCBig
UTAH offense20th of 30 · -1.2
Backcourt+24.2 · 4 players
←OKCBig
Backcourt-20.5 · 3 players
Frontcourt+12.0 · 1 player
→UTAHSmall
Frontcourt+15.0 · 2 players
Bench-4.1 · 5 players
→UTAHBig
Bench+2.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestOKC betterUTAH betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
ThunderGuards
S. Gilgeous-Alexander33 minA. Mitchell26 minJ. McCain25 minK. Williams14 minJ. Dix18 minB. Stirtz16 min
Forwards
J. Williams18 minB. Barnhizer9 min
Centers
I. Hartenstein24 minA. Mara18 min
Out
A. CarusoOutC. HolmgrenOutJ. WilliamsOutC. WallaceOut
JazzGuards
K. George32 minA. Bailey31 minD. Peterson30 minI. Collier19 minS. Mykhailiuk17 minJ. Okogie16 min
Forwards
L. Markkanen29 minB. Hinson20 minB. Sensabaugh16 minK. Filipowski8 minH. Ingram4 min
Centers
J. Hayes26 minM. Bamba19 minT. Bradley11 min
Out
J. JacksonOut
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
OKC106.5 #29UTAH108.7 #24Points per possession
OKC1.05 #23UTAH1.05 #25Pace (possessions)
OKC101.1 #27UTAH104.0 #12Shooting
Effective FG%
OKC49.5 #28UTAH51.0 #243-point %
OKC30.9 #26UTAH32.6 #233-point attempt rate
OKC35.8 #29UTAH41.7 #21Free throw rate
OKC21.8 #28UTAH31.6 #10Possessions
Turnover rate
OKC14.5 #7UTAH17.0 #25Offensive rebound rate
OKC28.5 #10UTAH25.7 #22Assists per game
OKC21.7 #29UTAH26.2 #19Defense
Points allowed
OKC107.0 #5UTAH118.8 #25Points allowed per possession
OKC1.06 #7UTAH1.14 #25Opponent effective FG%
OKC51.0 #6UTAH53.9 #18Opponent 3-point %
OKC35.3 #17UTAH37.6 #25Turnovers forced
OKC15.8 #13UTAH13.3 #28Defensive rebound rate
OKC71.4 #18UTAH77.1 #4Steals per game
OKC8.3 #20UTAH6.2 #29Blocks per game
OKC6.3 #7UTAH6.5 #5| OKC | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 106.5 #29 | Points per game | 108.7 #24 |
| 1.05 #23 | Points per possession | 1.05 #25 |
| 101.1 #27 | Pace (possessions) | 104.0 #12 |
| Shooting | ||
| 49.5 #28 | Effective FG% | 51.0 #24 |
| 30.9 #26 | 3-point % | 32.6 #23 |
| 35.8 #29 | 3-point attempt rate | 41.7 #21 |
| 21.8 #28 | Free throw rate | 31.6 #10 |
| Possessions | ||
| 14.5 #7 | Turnover rate | 17.0 #25 |
| 28.5 #10 | Offensive rebound rate | 25.7 #22 |
| 21.7 #29 | Assists per game | 26.2 #19 |
| Defense | ||
| 107.0 #5 | Points allowed | 118.8 #25 |
| 1.06 #7 | Points allowed per possession | 1.14 #25 |
| 51.0 #6 | Opponent effective FG% | 53.9 #18 |
| 35.3 #17 | Opponent 3-point % | 37.6 #25 |
| 15.8 #13 | Turnovers forced | 13.3 #28 |
| 71.4 #18 | Defensive rebound rate | 77.1 #4 |
| 8.3 #20 | Steals per game | 6.2 #29 |
| 6.3 #7 | Blocks per game | 6.5 #5 |
Thunder
4-2 overall · 4-2 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Rockets98–119
- L@ Mavericks96–120
- Wvs Suns125–114
- Wvs Clippers108–101
- Wvs Nuggets96–84
A week or more of rest.
Jazz
1-5 overall · 1-5 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Trail Blazers90–112
- Lvs Spurs111–117
- Lvs Grizzlies105–110
- Lvs Lakers123–132
- Wvs Pelicans120–119
A week or more of rest.