Chase Center · at Warriors · Conference game
LineNo line yet
Total—
 UTAH | This season | GS |
|---|---|---|
| 1-5 | Record | 4-3 |
| 1-5 | ATS | 5-2 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 4-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects GS 123–112 · win probability GS 77%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 234.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: GS has more of the edges
UTAH 0, GS 8 · 2026-27 so far
GSBigGS offense vs UTAH defense
Offense 9th of 30 against a defense 27th, on the model’s ratings
GSBigThree-pointers
UTAH hits 32.6% and allows 37.6%; GS hits 40.0% and allows 35.2%. Threes are 41.7% and 47.1% of their shots
GSBigTurnovers
Turnover rate: UTAH 17.0%, GS 16.7%. Forced: UTAH 13.3%, GS 17.6%
GSBigRecent form
Last 5: UTAH 1-4 ATS, margin -8.2; GS 5-0 ATS, margin +9.0
GSSmallFree throws
Free throw rate: UTAH 31.6, GS 28.8. Allowed: UTAH 33.8, GS 27.3
Context
Tempo
About 103 possessions: UTAH plays 104.0 a game (12th fastest), GS 101.4 (25th). Faster games mean more points
GSSmallUTAH offense vs GS defense
Offense 20th of 30 against a defense 14th, on the model’s ratings
GSSmallShooting
Effective FG%: UTAH 51.0 and allows 53.9; GS 55.3 and allows 56.0
GSSmallHome court
GS at home. This season: GS 2-1 at home, UTAH 0-1 away
Context
Schedule so far
UTAH has played the 4th-hardest schedule, GS the 6th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UTAH 25.7%, GS 33.2%. Defensive: UTAH 77.1%, GS 70.4%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UTAH 100%, GS 100%. Transfers in: UTAH 0, GS 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelGS -10.1
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model234.8
Model edge—
Projected score
UTAH 112.3 · GS 122.5
Win probability
GS 77%
1st half
Spread
GS -5.6
Total
117.4
Projected score
UTAH 55.9 · GS 61.5
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTAHlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 1-5 17% | 2-4 33% |
| GSlast 7 | 4-3 57% | 5-2 71% | 4-3 57% |
Next 3 games
With how the last meeting with each opponent went
JazzNo more games listed yet.
WarriorsNo more games listed yet.
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 18 since 2021-22
UTAH 4–14 GSGS leads · 18 games since 2021-22 · UTAH 6-10-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025-26 | GS 116 @ UTAH 119 | UTAH +6.5 | UTAH W |
| Jan 28, 2025-26 | GS 140 @ UTAH 124 | UTAH +8.5 | GS W |
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | UTAH 114 @ GS 123 | GS -12.5 | UTAH W |
| Nov 24, 2025-26 | UTAH 117 @ GS 134 | — | — |
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | GS 128 @ UTAH 131 | UTAH +6.5 | UTAH W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Jazz
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
1-5
17% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
MEM
MEML 103-123
−18.5
23
vs
NO
NOW 120-119
−0.5
25
vs
LAL
LALL 123-132
−2.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−3.5
28
vs
SA
SAL 111-117
+7.5
31
vs
POR
PORL 90-112
−15.5
covered 1didn’t cover 5avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@MEM
MEML 103-123
−14.5
23
vsNO
NOW 120-119
+0.5
25
vsLAL
LALL 123-132
+17.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−22.5
28
vsSA
SAL 111-117
−4.5
31
vsPOR
PORL 90-112
−30.5
over 2under 4avg −9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Warriors
7 games played
Straight up
4-3
57% wins
Against the spread
5-2
71% covers · avg +6.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | @LAL | L 105-127 | +6.5 | L −15.5 | 233.5 | U 232 |
| Oct 23 | vsMEM | L 108-111 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 236.5 | U 219 |
| Oct 24 | @ PHX | L 122-131 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 221.5 | O 253 |
| Oct 26 | @ DEN | W 134-114 | +6.5 | W +26.5 | 236.5 | O 248 |
| Oct 28 | @ MIN | W 119-114 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 227.5 | O 233 |
| Oct 30 | vsLAL | W 112-95 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 234.5 | U 207 |
| Nov 1 | vs LAC | W 124-112 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 220.5 | O 236 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@LAL
LALL 105-127
−15.5
23
vsMEM
MEML 108-111
−7.5
24
@PHX
PHXL 122-131
+0.5
26
@DEN
DENW 134-114
+26.5
28
@MIN
MINW 119-114
+8.5
30
vsLAL
LALW 112-95
+19.5
1
vsLAC
LACW 124-112
+10.5
covered 5didn’t cover 2avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@LAL
LALL 105-127
−1.5
23
vsMEM
MEML 108-111
−17.5
24
@PHX
PHXL 122-131
+31.5
26
@DEN
DENW 134-114
+11.5
28
@MIN
MINW 119-114
+5.5
30
vsLAL
LALW 112-95
−27.5
1
vsLAC
LACW 124-112
+15.5
over 4under 3avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Warriors has the better starters
Position by position: Jazz 1, Warriors 3, even 1
JazzBetterWarriors
G K. George21.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 6.3 ast
Score 8
→GSBig
G B. Podziemski16.4 pts · 5.4 reb · 5.6 ast
Score 72
G A. Bailey13.3 pts · 7.8 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 11
→GSBig
G D. Melton11.9 pts · 4.1 reb · 2.3 ast
Score 62
G D. Peterson13.3 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.8 ast
Score 17
=Even
G B. Williams11.6 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.4 ast
Score 5
F L. Markkanen15.4 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.6 ast
Score 94
←UTAHSmall
F Y. Lendeborg22.3 pts · 7.3 reb · 3.7 ast
Score 78
C J. Hayes8 pts · 6.6 reb · 2.4 ast
Score 36
→GSBig
F G. Niang6.4 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 72
JazzBetterWarriors
UTAH offense20th of 30 · -1.2
→GSSmall
GS defense14th of 30 · +0.3
UTAH defense27th of 30 · -6.0
→GSBig
GS offense9th of 30 · +1.9
Backcourt-20.5 · 3 players
→GSBig
Backcourt+5.3 · 3 players
Frontcourt+15.0 · 2 players
←UTAHSmall
Frontcourt+12.0 · 2 players
Bench+2.1 · 5 players
→GSBig
Bench+5.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestUTAH betterGS betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
JazzGuards
K. George32 minA. Bailey31 minD. Peterson30 minI. Collier19 minS. Mykhailiuk17 minJ. Okogie16 min
Forwards
L. Markkanen29 minB. Hinson20 minB. Sensabaugh16 minK. Filipowski8 minH. Ingram4 min
Centers
J. Hayes26 minM. Bamba19 minT. Bradley11 min
Out
J. JacksonOut
WarriorsGuards
B. Podziemski34 minD. Melton22 minB. Williams17 minW. Richard16 minL. Cryer16 minG. Payton13 min
Forwards
Y. Lendeborg32 minG. Niang20 minG. Ike12 minM. Leons11 min
Centers
A. Horford19 minC. Bassey9 min
Out
S. CurryDay-To-DayG. SantosOutD. GreenDay-To-Day
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
UTAH108.7 #24GS117.7 #11Points per possession
UTAH1.05 #25GS1.17 #3Pace (possessions)
UTAH104.0 #12GS101.4 #25Shooting
Effective FG%
UTAH51.0 #24GS55.3 #83-point %
UTAH32.6 #23GS40.0 #23-point attempt rate
UTAH41.7 #21GS47.1 #5Free throw rate
UTAH31.6 #10GS28.8 #15Possessions
Turnover rate
UTAH17.0 #25GS16.7 #22Offensive rebound rate
UTAH25.7 #22GS33.2 #1Assists per game
UTAH26.2 #19GS27.4 #10Defense
Points allowed
UTAH118.8 #25GS114.9 #16Points allowed per possession
UTAH1.14 #25GS1.13 #21Opponent effective FG%
UTAH53.9 #18GS56.0 #25Opponent 3-point %
UTAH37.6 #25GS35.2 #16Turnovers forced
UTAH13.3 #28GS17.6 #5Defensive rebound rate
UTAH77.1 #4GS70.4 #23Steals per game
UTAH6.2 #29GS9.1 #11Blocks per game
UTAH6.5 #5GS4.1 #24| UTAH | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 108.7 #24 | Points per game | 117.7 #11 |
| 1.05 #25 | Points per possession | 1.17 #3 |
| 104.0 #12 | Pace (possessions) | 101.4 #25 |
| Shooting | ||
| 51.0 #24 | Effective FG% | 55.3 #8 |
| 32.6 #23 | 3-point % | 40.0 #2 |
| 41.7 #21 | 3-point attempt rate | 47.1 #5 |
| 31.6 #10 | Free throw rate | 28.8 #15 |
| Possessions | ||
| 17.0 #25 | Turnover rate | 16.7 #22 |
| 25.7 #22 | Offensive rebound rate | 33.2 #1 |
| 26.2 #19 | Assists per game | 27.4 #10 |
| Defense | ||
| 118.8 #25 | Points allowed | 114.9 #16 |
| 1.14 #25 | Points allowed per possession | 1.13 #21 |
| 53.9 #18 | Opponent effective FG% | 56.0 #25 |
| 37.6 #25 | Opponent 3-point % | 35.2 #16 |
| 13.3 #28 | Turnovers forced | 17.6 #5 |
| 77.1 #4 | Defensive rebound rate | 70.4 #23 |
| 6.2 #29 | Steals per game | 9.1 #11 |
| 6.5 #5 | Blocks per game | 4.1 #24 |
Jazz
1-5 overall · 1-5 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Trail Blazers90–112
- Lvs Spurs111–117
- Lvs Grizzlies105–110
- Lvs Lakers123–132
- Wvs Pelicans120–119
A week or more of rest.
Warriors
4-3 overall · 4-3 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Clippers124–112
- Wvs Lakers112–95
- W@ Timberwolves119–114
- W@ Nuggets134–114
- L@ Suns122–131
A week or more of rest.