Delta Center · at Jazz · Conference game
LineNo line yet
Total—
 NO | This season | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 1-5 |
| 4-2 | ATS | 1-5 |
| 4-2 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects NO 120–118 · win probability NO 57%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 237.4
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: NO has more of the edges
NO 6, UTAH 2 · 2026-27 so far
Context
Schedule so far
NO has played the 28th-hardest schedule, UTAH the 4th. A record against a soft schedule means less
NOBigNO offense vs UTAH defense
Offense 13th of 30 against a defense 27th, on the model’s ratings
NOBigRecent form
Last 5: NO 4-1 ATS, margin +2.8; UTAH 1-4 ATS, margin -8.2
NOBigThree-pointers
NO hits 31.2% and allows 30.5%; UTAH hits 32.6% and allows 37.6%. Threes are 32.8% and 41.7% of their shots
NOSmallTurnovers
Turnover rate: NO 17.4%, UTAH 17.0%. Forced: NO 16.3%, UTAH 13.3%
NOSmallFree throws
Free throw rate: NO 35.3, UTAH 31.6. Allowed: NO 30.6, UTAH 33.8
NOSmallShooting
Effective FG%: NO 55.1 and allows 54.2; UTAH 51.0 and allows 53.9
Context
Tempo
About 106 possessions: NO plays 108.0 a game (2nd fastest), UTAH 104.0 (12th). Faster games mean more points
UTAHSmallHome court
UTAH at home. This season: UTAH 1-4 at home, NO 0-2 away
UTAHSmallUTAH offense vs NO defense
Offense 20th of 30 against a defense 24th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NO 24.3%, UTAH 25.7%. Defensive: NO 76.4%, UTAH 77.1%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NO 100%, UTAH 100%. Transfers in: NO 0, UTAH 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelNO -2.4
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model237.4
Model edge—
Projected score
NO 119.9 · UTAH 117.5
Win probability
NO 57%
1st half
Spread
NO -1.5
Total
118.6
Projected score
NO 60 · UTAH 58.5
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOlast 6 | 2-4 33% | 4-2 67% | 4-2 67% |
| UTAHlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 1-5 17% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 18 since 2021-22
NO 10–8 UTAHNO leads · 18 games since 2021-22 · NO 8-10 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026-27 | NO 119 @ UTAH 120 | UTAH -1.5 | NO W |
| Apr 7, 2025-26 | UTAH 137 @ NO 156 | NO -6.5 | NO W |
| Feb 28, 2025-26 | NO 115 @ UTAH 105 | UTAH +5.5 | NO W |
| Feb 26, 2025-26 | NO 129 @ UTAH 118 | UTAH +6.5 | NO W |
| Mar 2, 2024-25 | NO 128 @ UTAH 121 | UTAH +7.5 | UTAH W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pelicans
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-2
67% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
IND
INDL 120-123
−0.5
23
@UTAH
UTAHL 119-120
+0.5
24
@
DEN
DENL 135-141
+5.5
28
vsDEN
DENL 91-104
−8.5
29
vs
SAC
SACW 132-120
+5.5
31
vs
ATL
ATLW 121-99
+27.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsIND
INDL 120-123
+4.5
23
@UTAH
UTAHL 119-120
+0.5
24
@DEN
DENL 135-141
+36.5
28
vsDEN
DENL 91-104
−46.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 132-120
+17.5
31
vsATL
ATLW 121-99
−19.5
over 4under 2avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Jazz
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
1-5
17% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
MEM
MEML 103-123
−18.5
23
vsNO
NOW 120-119
−0.5
25
vs
LAL
LALL 123-132
−2.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−3.5
28
vs
SA
SAL 111-117
+7.5
31
vs
POR
PORL 90-112
−15.5
covered 1didn’t cover 5avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@MEM
MEML 103-123
−14.5
23
vsNO
NOW 120-119
+0.5
25
vsLAL
LALL 123-132
+17.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−22.5
28
vsSA
SAL 111-117
−4.5
31
vsPOR
PORL 90-112
−30.5
over 2under 4avg −9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Pelicans has the better starters
Position by position: Pelicans 3, Jazz 1, even 1
PelicansBetterJazz
G D. Murray17.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 6 ast
Score 45
←NOBig
G K. George21.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 6.3 ast
Score 8
G J. Fears13 pts · 4.3 reb · 4.5 ast
Score 19
=Even
G A. Bailey13.3 pts · 7.8 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 11
F Z. Williamson20.7 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.5 ast
Score 81
←NOBig
G D. Peterson13.3 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.8 ast
Score 17
F H. Jones6.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.7 ast
Score 75
→UTAHSmall
F L. Markkanen15.4 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.6 ast
Score 94
C D. Jordan6 pts · 6.5 reb · 1 ast
Score 52
←NOSmall
C J. Hayes8 pts · 6.6 reb · 2.4 ast
Score 36
PelicansBetterJazz
NO offense13th of 30 · +1.1
←NOBig
UTAH defense27th of 30 · -6.0
NO defense24th of 30 · -3.7
=Even
UTAH offense20th of 30 · -1.2
Backcourt-1.6 · 2 players
←NOBig
Backcourt-20.5 · 3 players
Frontcourt+15.7 · 3 players
=Even
Frontcourt+15.0 · 2 players
Bench-16.0 · 5 players
→UTAHBig
Bench+2.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestNO betterUTAH betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
PelicansGuards
D. Murray32 minJ. Fears25 minS. Bey25 minB. McGowens21 minB. Mathurin18 minA. Johnson10 min
Forwards
Z. Williamson32 minH. Jones21 minJ. Reese31 minT. Watford18 minK. Matkovic16 min
Centers
D. Jordan17 minD. Queen24 min
Out
J. PooleOutT. MurphyDay-To-DayY. MissiOut
JazzGuards
K. George32 minA. Bailey31 minD. Peterson30 minI. Collier19 minS. Mykhailiuk17 minJ. Okogie16 min
Forwards
L. Markkanen29 minB. Hinson20 minB. Sensabaugh16 minK. Filipowski8 minH. Ingram4 min
Centers
J. Hayes26 minM. Bamba19 minT. Bradley11 min
Out
J. JacksonOut
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
NO119.7 #7UTAH108.7 #24Points per possession
NO1.10 #15UTAH1.05 #25Pace (possessions)
NO108.0 #2UTAH104.0 #12Shooting
Effective FG%
NO55.1 #9UTAH51.0 #243-point %
NO31.2 #25UTAH32.6 #233-point attempt rate
NO32.8 #30UTAH41.7 #21Free throw rate
NO35.3 #4UTAH31.6 #10Possessions
Turnover rate
NO17.4 #26UTAH17.0 #25Offensive rebound rate
NO24.3 #25UTAH25.7 #22Assists per game
NO25.5 #21UTAH26.2 #19Defense
Points allowed
NO117.8 #24UTAH118.8 #25Points allowed per possession
NO1.09 #16UTAH1.14 #25Opponent effective FG%
NO54.2 #21UTAH53.9 #18Opponent 3-point %
NO30.5 #5UTAH37.6 #25Turnovers forced
NO16.3 #10UTAH13.3 #28Defensive rebound rate
NO76.4 #6UTAH77.1 #4Steals per game
NO13.7 #1UTAH6.2 #29Blocks per game
NO4.8 #16UTAH6.5 #5| NO | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 119.7 #7 | Points per game | 108.7 #24 |
| 1.10 #15 | Points per possession | 1.05 #25 |
| 108.0 #2 | Pace (possessions) | 104.0 #12 |
| Shooting | ||
| 55.1 #9 | Effective FG% | 51.0 #24 |
| 31.2 #25 | 3-point % | 32.6 #23 |
| 32.8 #30 | 3-point attempt rate | 41.7 #21 |
| 35.3 #4 | Free throw rate | 31.6 #10 |
| Possessions | ||
| 17.4 #26 | Turnover rate | 17.0 #25 |
| 24.3 #25 | Offensive rebound rate | 25.7 #22 |
| 25.5 #21 | Assists per game | 26.2 #19 |
| Defense | ||
| 117.8 #24 | Points allowed | 118.8 #25 |
| 1.09 #16 | Points allowed per possession | 1.14 #25 |
| 54.2 #21 | Opponent effective FG% | 53.9 #18 |
| 30.5 #5 | Opponent 3-point % | 37.6 #25 |
| 16.3 #10 | Turnovers forced | 13.3 #28 |
| 76.4 #6 | Defensive rebound rate | 77.1 #4 |
| 13.7 #1 | Steals per game | 6.2 #29 |
| 4.8 #16 | Blocks per game | 6.5 #5 |
Pelicans
2-4 overall · 1-3 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Hawks121–99
- Wvs Kings132–120
- Lvs Nuggets91–104
- L@ Nuggets135–141
- L@ Jazz119–120
A week or more of rest.
Jazz
1-5 overall · 1-5 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Trail Blazers90–112
- Lvs Spurs111–117
- Lvs Grizzlies105–110
- Lvs Lakers123–132
- Wvs Pelicans120–119
A week or more of rest.