Spectrum Center · at Hornets
LineNo line yet
Total—
 UTAH | This season | CHA |
|---|---|---|
| 1-5 | Record | 3-4 |
| 1-5 | ATS | 3-4 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 1-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects CHA 114–108 · win probability CHA 68%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 221.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: CHA has more of the edges
UTAH 0, CHA 3 · 2026-27 so far
Context
Schedule so far
UTAH has played the 4th-hardest schedule, CHA the 22nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
CHABigUTAH offense vs CHA defense
Offense 20th of 30 against a defense 6th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 101 possessions: UTAH plays 104.0 a game (12th fastest), CHA 98.3 (30th). Faster games mean more points
CHASmallRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UTAH 25.7%, CHA 31.6%. Defensive: UTAH 77.1%, CHA 76.6%
CHASmallHome court
CHA at home. This season: CHA 2-2 at home, UTAH 0-1 away
Even
Recent form
Last 5: UTAH 1-4 ATS, margin -8.2; CHA 2-3 ATS, margin -3.4
Even
CHA offense vs UTAH defense
Offense 30th of 30 against a defense 27th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: UTAH 31.6, CHA 18.9. Allowed: UTAH 33.8, CHA 28.4
Even
Three-pointers
UTAH hits 32.6% and allows 37.6%; CHA hits 29.6% and allows 37.5%. Threes are 41.7% and 50.8% of their shots
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: UTAH 51.0 and allows 53.9; CHA 48.4 and allows 53.1
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UTAH 17.0%, CHA 18.8%. Forced: UTAH 13.3%, CHA 14.5%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UTAH 100%, CHA 100%. Transfers in: UTAH 0, CHA 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelCHA -6.6
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model221.9
Model edge—
Projected score
UTAH 107.6 · CHA 114.2
Win probability
CHA 68%
1st half
Spread
CHA -3.6
Total
111.3
Projected score
UTAH 53.9 · CHA 57.5
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTAHlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 1-5 17% | 2-4 33% |
| CHAlast 7 | 3-4 43% | 3-4 43% | 1-6 14% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UTAH 4–6 CHACHA leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · CHA has won the last 5 meetings · UTAH 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | CHA 150 @ UTAH 95 | UTAH +6.5 | CHA W |
| Nov 2, 2025-26 | UTAH 103 @ CHA 126 | CHA +1.5 | CHA W |
| Mar 31, 2024-25 | UTAH 106 @ CHA 110 | CHA -4.5 | UTAH W |
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | CHA 117 @ UTAH 112 | UTAH +5.5 | UTAH W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | CHA 115 @ UTAH 107 | UTAH -9.5 | CHA W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Jazz
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
1-5
17% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
MEM
MEML 103-123
−18.5
23
vs
NO
NOW 120-119
−0.5
25
vs
LAL
LALL 123-132
−2.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−3.5
28
vs
SA
SAL 111-117
+7.5
31
vs
POR
PORL 90-112
−15.5
covered 1didn’t cover 5avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@MEM
MEML 103-123
−14.5
23
vsNO
NOW 120-119
+0.5
25
vsLAL
LALL 123-132
+17.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−22.5
28
vsSA
SAL 111-117
−4.5
31
vsPOR
PORL 90-112
−30.5
over 2under 4avg −9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Hornets
7 games played
Straight up
3-4
43% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg −6.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-6
14% overs · avg −15.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | @ BKN | W 110-103 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 220.5 | U 213 |
| Oct 23 | vs ATL | L 81-128 | +2.5 | L −44.5 | 226.5 | U 209 |
| Oct 24 | vs MIA | W 115-110 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 227.5 | U 225 |
| Oct 26 | vs WSH | W 110-103 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 225.5 | U 213 |
| Oct 28 | @ DET | L 89-97 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 212.5 | U 186 |
| Oct 30 | @WSH | L 79-95 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 218.5 | U 174 |
| Oct 31 | vs PHI | L 104-109 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 211.5 | O 213 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@BKN
BKNW 110-103
+5.5
23
vsATL
ATLL 81-128
−44.5
24
vsMIA
MIAW 115-110
+9.5
26
vsWSH
WSHW 110-103
+4.5
28
@DET
DETL 89-97
−0.5
30
@WSH
WSHL 79-95
−14.5
31
vsPHI
PHIL 104-109
−3.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg −6.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@BKN
BKNW 110-103
−7.5
23
vsATL
ATLL 81-128
−17.5
24
vsMIA
MIAW 115-110
−2.5
26
vsWSH
WSHW 110-103
−12.5
28
@DET
DETL 89-97
−26.5
30
@WSH
WSHL 79-95
−44.5
31
vsPHI
PHIL 104-109
+1.5
over 1under 6avg −15.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
The starting fives are even
Position by position: Jazz 2, Hornets 2, even 1
JazzBetterHornets
G K. George21.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 6.3 ast
Score 8
=Even
G D. Schroder11.7 pts · 3.6 reb · 5.4 ast
Score 21
G A. Bailey13.3 pts · 7.8 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 11
→CHABig
G S. James3.7 pts · 3 reb · 3 ast
Score 63
G D. Peterson13.3 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.8 ast
Score 17
→CHABig
F B. Miller24.4 pts · 6 reb · 2.3 ast
Score 70
F L. Markkanen15.4 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.6 ast
Score 94
←UTAHSmall
F M. Diabate9.4 pts · 9.6 reb · 2.1 ast
Score 66
C J. Hayes8 pts · 6.6 reb · 2.4 ast
Score 36
←UTAHSmall
C N. Reid15.9 pts · 8.6 reb · 1.9 ast
Score 14
JazzBetterHornets
UTAH offense20th of 30 · -1.2
→CHABig
CHA defense6th of 30 · +4.4
UTAH defense27th of 30 · -6.0
=Even
CHA offense30th of 30 · -7.4
Backcourt-20.5 · 3 players
→CHABig
Backcourt+0.0 · 2 players
Frontcourt+15.0 · 2 players
←UTAHBig
Frontcourt+7.7 · 3 players
Bench+2.1 · 5 players
←UTAHBig
Bench-5.0 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestUTAH betterCHA betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
JazzGuards
K. George32 minA. Bailey31 minD. Peterson30 minI. Collier19 minS. Mykhailiuk17 minJ. Okogie16 min
Forwards
L. Markkanen29 minB. Hinson20 minB. Sensabaugh16 minK. Filipowski8 minH. Ingram4 min
Centers
J. Hayes26 minM. Bamba19 minT. Bradley11 min
Out
J. JacksonOut
HornetsGuards
D. Schroder32 minS. James25 minG. Allen27 minL. McNeeley12 minC. Anderson11 minM. AjayiNew
Forwards
B. Miller34 minM. Diabate29 minR. O'Neale18 minT. Salaun14 minH. Steinbach7 min
Centers
N. Reid29 minR. Kalkbrenner17 minP. Hall13 min
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
UTAH108.7 #24CHA98.3 #30Points per possession
UTAH1.05 #25CHA0.99 #30Pace (possessions)
UTAH104.0 #12CHA98.3 #30Shooting
Effective FG%
UTAH51.0 #24CHA48.4 #293-point %
UTAH32.6 #23CHA29.6 #283-point attempt rate
UTAH41.7 #21CHA50.8 #2Free throw rate
UTAH31.6 #10CHA18.9 #30Possessions
Turnover rate
UTAH17.0 #25CHA18.8 #29Offensive rebound rate
UTAH25.7 #22CHA31.6 #4Assists per game
UTAH26.2 #19CHA21.6 #30Defense
Points allowed
UTAH118.8 #25CHA106.4 #4Points allowed per possession
UTAH1.14 #25CHA1.09 #15Opponent effective FG%
UTAH53.9 #18CHA53.1 #15Opponent 3-point %
UTAH37.6 #25CHA37.5 #24Turnovers forced
UTAH13.3 #28CHA14.5 #23Defensive rebound rate
UTAH77.1 #4CHA76.6 #5Steals per game
UTAH6.2 #29CHA7.1 #25Blocks per game
UTAH6.5 #5CHA5.0 #15| UTAH | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 108.7 #24 | Points per game | 98.3 #30 |
| 1.05 #25 | Points per possession | 0.99 #30 |
| 104.0 #12 | Pace (possessions) | 98.3 #30 |
| Shooting | ||
| 51.0 #24 | Effective FG% | 48.4 #29 |
| 32.6 #23 | 3-point % | 29.6 #28 |
| 41.7 #21 | 3-point attempt rate | 50.8 #2 |
| 31.6 #10 | Free throw rate | 18.9 #30 |
| Possessions | ||
| 17.0 #25 | Turnover rate | 18.8 #29 |
| 25.7 #22 | Offensive rebound rate | 31.6 #4 |
| 26.2 #19 | Assists per game | 21.6 #30 |
| Defense | ||
| 118.8 #25 | Points allowed | 106.4 #4 |
| 1.14 #25 | Points allowed per possession | 1.09 #15 |
| 53.9 #18 | Opponent effective FG% | 53.1 #15 |
| 37.6 #25 | Opponent 3-point % | 37.5 #24 |
| 13.3 #28 | Turnovers forced | 14.5 #23 |
| 77.1 #4 | Defensive rebound rate | 76.6 #5 |
| 6.2 #29 | Steals per game | 7.1 #25 |
| 6.5 #5 | Blocks per game | 5.0 #15 |
Jazz
1-5 overall · 1-5 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Trail Blazers90–112
- Lvs Spurs111–117
- Lvs Grizzlies105–110
- Lvs Lakers123–132
- Wvs Pelicans120–119
A week or more of rest.
Hornets
3-4 overall · 3-4 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs 76ers104–109
- L@ Wizards79–95
- L@ Pistons89–97
- Wvs Wizards110–103
- Wvs Heat115–110
A week or more of rest.