Delta Center · at Jazz · Conference game
LineNo line yet
Total—
 POR | This season | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 1-5 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 1-5 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects POR 121–111 · win probability POR 75%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 231.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: POR has more of the edges
POR 8, UTAH 1 · 2026-27 so far
Context
Schedule so far
POR has played the 27th-hardest schedule, UTAH the 4th. A record against a soft schedule means less
PORBigPOR offense vs UTAH defense
Offense 10th of 30 against a defense 27th, on the model’s ratings
PORBigShooting
Effective FG%: POR 56.2 and allows 51.3; UTAH 51.0 and allows 53.9
PORBigThree-pointers
POR hits 35.3% and allows 32.1%; UTAH hits 32.6% and allows 37.6%. Threes are 51.5% and 41.7% of their shots
PORBigTurnovers
Turnover rate: POR 14.6%, UTAH 17.0%. Forced: POR 14.8%, UTAH 13.3%
PORBigFree throws
Free throw rate: POR 35.9, UTAH 31.6. Allowed: POR 27.8, UTAH 33.8
PORBigUTAH offense vs POR defense
Offense 20th of 30 against a defense 11th, on the model’s ratings
PORSmallRecent form
Last 5: POR 3-2 ATS, margin +11.4; UTAH 1-4 ATS, margin -8.2
PORSmallRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: POR 27.6%, UTAH 25.7%. Defensive: POR 77.3%, UTAH 77.1%
UTAHSmallHome court
UTAH at home. This season: UTAH 1-4 at home, POR 3-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 104 possessions: POR plays 103.5 a game (14th fastest), UTAH 104.0 (12th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: POR 100%, UTAH 100%. Transfers in: POR 0, UTAH 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelPOR -9.4
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model231.8
Model edge—
Projected score
POR 120.6 · UTAH 111.2
Win probability
POR 75%
1st half
Spread
POR -5.5
Total
116.0
Projected score
POR 60.7 · UTAH 55.2
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORlast 5 | 4-1 80% | 3-2 60% | 2-3 40% |
| UTAHlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 1-5 17% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 21 since 2021-22
POR 11–10 UTAHPOR leads · 21 games since 2021-22 · POR has won the last 5 meetings · POR 7-14 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026-27 | POR 112 @ UTAH 90 | UTAH +6.5 | POR W |
| Mar 13, 2025-26 | UTAH 114 @ POR 124 | POR -15.5 | UTAH W |
| Feb 12, 2025-26 | POR 135 @ UTAH 119 | UTAH +6.5 | POR W |
| Jan 5, 2025-26 | UTAH 117 @ POR 137 | POR -5.5 | POR W |
| Oct 29, 2025-26 | POR 136 @ UTAH 134 | UTAH +3.5 | UTAH W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Trail Blazers
5 games played
Straight up
4-1
80% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +6.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
PHX
PHXW 124-83
+37.5
23
@
SAC
SACW 128-120
−1.5
27
@
LAL
LALW 136-129
+8.5
29
vs
MEM
MEML 103-124
−28.5
31
@UTAH
UTAHW 112-90
+15.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsPHX
PHXW 124-83
−25.5
23
@SAC
SACW 128-120
+16.5
27
@LAL
LALW 136-129
+30.5
29
vsMEM
MEML 103-124
−6.5
31
@UTAH
UTAHW 112-90
−30.5
over 2under 3avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Jazz
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
1-5
17% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@MEM
MEML 103-123
−18.5
23
vs
NO
NOW 120-119
−0.5
25
vsLAL
LALL 123-132
−2.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−3.5
28
vs
SA
SAL 111-117
+7.5
31
vsPOR
PORL 90-112
−15.5
covered 1didn’t cover 5avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@MEM
MEML 103-123
−14.5
23
vsNO
NOW 120-119
+0.5
25
vsLAL
LALL 123-132
+17.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−22.5
28
vsSA
SAL 111-117
−4.5
31
vsPOR
PORL 90-112
−30.5
over 2under 4avg −9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Trail Blazers has the better starters
Position by position: Trail Blazers 4, Jazz 1, even 0
Trail BlazersBetterJazz
G D. Lillard19.2 pts · 4 reb · 3.6 ast
Score 89
←PORBig
G K. George21.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 6.3 ast
Score 8
G S. Henderson8.8 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 34
←PORSmall
G A. Bailey13.3 pts · 7.8 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 11
F D. Avdija23 pts · 6.8 reb · 5.6 ast
Score 82
←PORBig
G D. Peterson13.3 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.8 ast
Score 17
F T. Camara15.2 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 44
→UTAHBig
F L. Markkanen15.4 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.6 ast
Score 94
C D. Clingan8.6 pts · 8.8 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 74
←PORBig
C J. Hayes8 pts · 6.6 reb · 2.4 ast
Score 36
Trail BlazersBetterJazz
POR offense10th of 30 · +1.4
←PORBig
UTAH defense27th of 30 · -6.0
POR defense11th of 30 · +1.8
←PORSmall
UTAH offense20th of 30 · -1.2
Backcourt+11.6 · 2 players
←PORBig
Backcourt-20.5 · 3 players
Frontcourt+16.7 · 3 players
←PORSmall
Frontcourt+15.0 · 2 players
Bench+15.6 · 5 players
←PORBig
Bench+2.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestPOR betterUTAH betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Trail BlazersGuards
D. Lillard29 minS. Henderson21 minJ. Holiday25 minS. Cissoko22 minV. Krejci11 minC. Youngblood6 min
Forwards
D. Avdija31 minT. Camara26 minJ. Tonje8 min
Centers
D. Clingan22 minM. Potter19 minR. Williams17 minB. Carlson12 minY. Hansen10 min
Out
J. MorantOut
JazzGuards
K. George32 minA. Bailey31 minD. Peterson30 minI. Collier19 minS. Mykhailiuk17 minJ. Okogie16 min
Forwards
L. Markkanen29 minB. Hinson20 minB. Sensabaugh16 minK. Filipowski8 minH. Ingram4 min
Centers
J. Hayes26 minM. Bamba19 minT. Bradley11 min
Out
J. JacksonOut
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
POR120.6 #4UTAH108.7 #24Points per possession
POR1.16 #5UTAH1.05 #25Pace (possessions)
POR103.5 #14UTAH104.0 #12Shooting
Effective FG%
POR56.2 #4UTAH51.0 #243-point %
POR35.3 #12UTAH32.6 #233-point attempt rate
POR51.5 #1UTAH41.7 #21Free throw rate
POR35.9 #3UTAH31.6 #10Possessions
Turnover rate
POR14.6 #9UTAH17.0 #25Offensive rebound rate
POR27.6 #14UTAH25.7 #22Assists per game
POR26.2 #17UTAH26.2 #19Defense
Points allowed
POR109.2 #10UTAH118.8 #25Points allowed per possession
POR1.06 #10UTAH1.14 #25Opponent effective FG%
POR51.3 #8UTAH53.9 #18Opponent 3-point %
POR32.1 #8UTAH37.6 #25Turnovers forced
POR14.8 #20UTAH13.3 #28Defensive rebound rate
POR77.3 #3UTAH77.1 #4Steals per game
POR8.6 #18UTAH6.2 #29Blocks per game
POR4.2 #21UTAH6.5 #5| POR | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 120.6 #4 | Points per game | 108.7 #24 |
| 1.16 #5 | Points per possession | 1.05 #25 |
| 103.5 #14 | Pace (possessions) | 104.0 #12 |
| Shooting | ||
| 56.2 #4 | Effective FG% | 51.0 #24 |
| 35.3 #12 | 3-point % | 32.6 #23 |
| 51.5 #1 | 3-point attempt rate | 41.7 #21 |
| 35.9 #3 | Free throw rate | 31.6 #10 |
| Possessions | ||
| 14.6 #9 | Turnover rate | 17.0 #25 |
| 27.6 #14 | Offensive rebound rate | 25.7 #22 |
| 26.2 #17 | Assists per game | 26.2 #19 |
| Defense | ||
| 109.2 #10 | Points allowed | 118.8 #25 |
| 1.06 #10 | Points allowed per possession | 1.14 #25 |
| 51.3 #8 | Opponent effective FG% | 53.9 #18 |
| 32.1 #8 | Opponent 3-point % | 37.6 #25 |
| 14.8 #20 | Turnovers forced | 13.3 #28 |
| 77.3 #3 | Defensive rebound rate | 77.1 #4 |
| 8.6 #18 | Steals per game | 6.2 #29 |
| 4.2 #21 | Blocks per game | 6.5 #5 |
Trail Blazers
4-1 overall · 4-1 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Jazz112–90
- Lvs Grizzlies103–124
- W@ Lakers136–129
- W@ Kings128–120
- Wvs Suns124–83
A week or more of rest.
Jazz
1-5 overall · 1-5 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Trail Blazers90–112
- Lvs Spurs111–117
- Lvs Grizzlies105–110
- Lvs Lakers123–132
- Wvs Pelicans120–119
A week or more of rest.