State Farm Arena · at Hawks
LineNo line yet
Total—
 UTAH | This season | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| 1-5 | Record | 3-4 |
| 1-5 | ATS | 3-4 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 4-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects ATL 123–112 · win probability ATL 77%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 234.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: ATL has more of the edges
UTAH 2, ATL 4 · 2026-27 so far
ATLBigTurnovers
Turnover rate: UTAH 17.0%, ATL 13.8%. Forced: UTAH 13.3%, ATL 18.3%
ATLBigATL offense vs UTAH defense
Offense 7th of 30 against a defense 27th, on the model’s ratings
ATLBigThree-pointers
UTAH hits 32.6% and allows 37.6%; ATL hits 32.8% and allows 31.9%. Threes are 41.7% and 44.7% of their shots
UTAHSmallFree throws
Free throw rate: UTAH 31.6, ATL 23.4. Allowed: UTAH 33.8, ATL 32.1
UTAHSmallRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UTAH 25.7%, ATL 27.1%. Defensive: UTAH 77.1%, ATL 70.9%
Context
Schedule so far
UTAH has played the 4th-hardest schedule, ATL the 9th. A record against a soft schedule means less
ATLSmallHome court
ATL at home. This season: ATL 1-2 at home, UTAH 0-1 away
Context
Tempo
About 105 possessions: UTAH plays 104.0 a game (12th fastest), ATL 105.6 (7th). Faster games mean more points
Even
UTAH offense vs ATL defense
Offense 20th of 30 against a defense 18th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: UTAH 51.0 and allows 53.9; ATL 52.6 and allows 54.5
Even
Recent form
Last 5: UTAH 1-4 ATS, margin -8.2; ATL 1-4 ATS, margin -9.6
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UTAH 100%, ATL 100%. Transfers in: UTAH 0, ATL 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelATL -10.3
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model234.7
Model edge—
Projected score
UTAH 112.2 · ATL 122.5
Win probability
ATL 77%
1st half
Spread
ATL -5.7
Total
117.3
Projected score
UTAH 55.8 · ATL 61.5
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTAHlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 1-5 17% | 2-4 33% |
| ATLlast 7 | 3-4 43% | 3-4 43% | 4-3 57% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UTAH 4–6 ATLATL leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · ATL has won the last 4 meetings · UTAH 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025-26 | UTAH 119 @ ATL 121 | ATL -8.5 | UTAH W |
| Nov 13, 2025-26 | ATL 132 @ UTAH 122 | UTAH +1.5 | ATL W |
| Apr 6, 2024-25 | UTAH 134 @ ATL 147 | ATL -13.5 | UTAH W |
| Jan 7, 2024-25 | ATL 124 @ UTAH 121 | UTAH +5.5 | UTAH W |
| Mar 15, 2023-24 | ATL 122 @ UTAH 124 | UTAH +1.5 | UTAH W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Jazz
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
1-5
17% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
MEM
MEML 103-123
−18.5
23
vs
NO
NOW 120-119
−0.5
25
vs
LAL
LALL 123-132
−2.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−3.5
28
vs
SA
SAL 111-117
+7.5
31
vs
POR
PORL 90-112
−15.5
covered 1didn’t cover 5avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@MEM
MEML 103-123
−14.5
23
vsNO
NOW 120-119
+0.5
25
vsLAL
LALL 123-132
+17.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−22.5
28
vsSA
SAL 111-117
−4.5
31
vsPOR
PORL 90-112
−30.5
over 2under 4avg −9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Hawks
7 games played
Straight up
3-4
43% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | @ ORL | W 132-125 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 233.5 | O 257 |
| Oct 23 | @ CHA | W 128-81 | -2.5 | W +44.5 | 226.5 | U 209 |
| Oct 24 | vs HOU | L 114-121 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 227.5 | O 235 |
| Oct 26 | @HOU | L 110-120 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 228.5 | O 230 |
| Oct 28 | vs MIA | L 117-129 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 243.5 | O 246 |
| Oct 29 | vs CLE | W 114-111 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 237.5 | U 225 |
| Oct 31 | @NO | L 99-121 | -5.5 | L −27.5 | 239.5 | U 220 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@ORL
ORLW 132-125
+9.5
23
@CHA
CHAW 128-81
+44.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 114-121
−5.5
26
@HOU
HOUL 110-120
−5.5
28
vsMIA
MIAL 117-129
−14.5
29
vsCLE
CLEW 114-111
+1.5
31
@NO
NOL 99-121
−27.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@ORL
ORLW 132-125
+23.5
23
@CHA
CHAW 128-81
−17.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 114-121
+7.5
26
@HOU
HOUL 110-120
+1.5
28
vsMIA
MIAL 117-129
+2.5
29
vsCLE
CLEW 114-111
−12.5
31
@NO
NOL 99-121
−19.5
over 4under 3avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Hawks has the better starters
Position by position: Jazz 1, Hawks 3, even 1
JazzBetterHawks
G K. George21.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 6.3 ast
Score 8
→ATLBig
G N. Alexander-Walker19.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 2.6 ast
Score 67
G A. Bailey13.3 pts · 7.8 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 11
→ATLBig
G D. Daniels10.3 pts · 5 reb · 4.1 ast
Score 87
G D. Peterson13.3 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.8 ast
Score 17
→ATLBig
G C. McCollum14.4 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.9 ast
Score 59
F L. Markkanen15.4 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.6 ast
Score 94
←UTAHSmall
G A. Wiggins14.7 pts · 3.7 reb · 1.9 ast
Score 78
C J. Hayes8 pts · 6.6 reb · 2.4 ast
Score 36
=Even
F O. Okongwu11.9 pts · 7.1 reb · 2.6 ast
Score 30
JazzBetterHawks
UTAH offense20th of 30 · -1.2
=Even
ATL defense18th of 30 · -0.6
UTAH defense27th of 30 · -6.0
→ATLBig
ATL offense7th of 30 · +2.5
Backcourt-20.5 · 3 players
→ATLBig
Backcourt+27.7 · 4 players
Frontcourt+15.0 · 2 players
←UTAHBig
Frontcourt-1.3 · 1 player
Bench+2.1 · 5 players
←UTAHBig
Bench-4.0 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestUTAH betterATL betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
JazzGuards
K. George32 minA. Bailey31 minD. Peterson30 minI. Collier19 minS. Mykhailiuk17 minJ. Okogie16 min
Forwards
L. Markkanen29 minB. Hinson20 minB. Sensabaugh16 minK. Filipowski8 minH. Ingram4 min
Centers
J. Hayes26 minM. Bamba19 minT. Bradley11 min
Out
J. JacksonOut
HawksGuards
N. Alexander-Walker30 minD. Daniels29 minC. McCollum26 minA. Wiggins26 minL. Dort24 min
Forwards
O. Okongwu28 minC. Kispert18 minD. Finney-Smith16 minA. Newell11 minZ. Ejiofor5 min
Out
J. LandaleOutJ. JohnsonDay-To-DayK. FlemingsSuspension
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
UTAH108.7 #24ATL116.3 #13Points per possession
UTAH1.05 #25ATL1.10 #16Pace (possessions)
UTAH104.0 #12ATL105.6 #7Shooting
Effective FG%
UTAH51.0 #24ATL52.6 #193-point %
UTAH32.6 #23ATL32.8 #223-point attempt rate
UTAH41.7 #21ATL44.7 #11Free throw rate
UTAH31.6 #10ATL23.4 #26Possessions
Turnover rate
UTAH17.0 #25ATL13.8 #4Offensive rebound rate
UTAH25.7 #22ATL27.1 #18Assists per game
UTAH26.2 #19ATL30.7 #1Defense
Points allowed
UTAH118.8 #25ATL115.4 #19Points allowed per possession
UTAH1.14 #25ATL1.10 #17Opponent effective FG%
UTAH53.9 #18ATL54.5 #22Opponent 3-point %
UTAH37.6 #25ATL31.9 #7Turnovers forced
UTAH13.3 #28ATL18.3 #2Defensive rebound rate
UTAH77.1 #4ATL70.9 #19Steals per game
UTAH6.2 #29ATL9.4 #8Blocks per game
UTAH6.5 #5ATL3.7 #29| UTAH | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 108.7 #24 | Points per game | 116.3 #13 |
| 1.05 #25 | Points per possession | 1.10 #16 |
| 104.0 #12 | Pace (possessions) | 105.6 #7 |
| Shooting | ||
| 51.0 #24 | Effective FG% | 52.6 #19 |
| 32.6 #23 | 3-point % | 32.8 #22 |
| 41.7 #21 | 3-point attempt rate | 44.7 #11 |
| 31.6 #10 | Free throw rate | 23.4 #26 |
| Possessions | ||
| 17.0 #25 | Turnover rate | 13.8 #4 |
| 25.7 #22 | Offensive rebound rate | 27.1 #18 |
| 26.2 #19 | Assists per game | 30.7 #1 |
| Defense | ||
| 118.8 #25 | Points allowed | 115.4 #19 |
| 1.14 #25 | Points allowed per possession | 1.10 #17 |
| 53.9 #18 | Opponent effective FG% | 54.5 #22 |
| 37.6 #25 | Opponent 3-point % | 31.9 #7 |
| 13.3 #28 | Turnovers forced | 18.3 #2 |
| 77.1 #4 | Defensive rebound rate | 70.9 #19 |
| 6.2 #29 | Steals per game | 9.4 #8 |
| 6.5 #5 | Blocks per game | 3.7 #29 |
Jazz
1-5 overall · 1-5 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Trail Blazers90–112
- Lvs Spurs111–117
- Lvs Grizzlies105–110
- Lvs Lakers123–132
- Wvs Pelicans120–119
A week or more of rest.
Hawks
3-4 overall · 3-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Pelicans99–121
- Wvs Cavaliers114–111
- Lvs Heat117–129
- L@ Rockets110–120
- Lvs Rockets114–121
A week or more of rest.