Little Caesars Arena · at Pistons · Conference game
LineNo line yet
Total—
 BKN | This season | DET |
|---|---|---|
| 1-5 | Record | 5-1 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 5-1 |
| 3-3 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects DET 118–101 · win probability DET 89%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 218.5
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: DET has more of the edges
BKN 0, DET 6 · 2026-27 so far
DETBigBKN offense vs DET defense
Offense 29th of 30 against a defense 1st, on the model’s ratings
DETBigShooting
Effective FG%: BKN 50.7 and allows 55.3; DET 53.1 and allows 48.8
Context
Tempo
About 103 possessions: BKN plays 105.1 a game (10th fastest), DET 100.9 (29th). Faster games mean more points
DETSmallTurnovers
Turnover rate: BKN 18.2%, DET 15.6%. Forced: BKN 15.9%, DET 17.1%
DETSmallThree-pointers
BKN hits 35.1% and allows 35.8%; DET hits 36.3% and allows 32.5%. Threes are 48.0% and 43.3% of their shots
DETSmallDET offense vs BKN defense
Offense 17th of 30 against a defense 22nd, on the model’s ratings
DETSmallHome court
DET at home. This season: DET 2-0 at home, BKN 1-2 away
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: BKN 25.4%, DET 27.2%. Defensive: BKN 77.8%, DET 72.8%
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: BKN 32.9, DET 28.9. Allowed: BKN 33.5, DET 28.1
Even
Recent form
Last 5: BKN 3-2 ATS, margin -8.0; DET 4-1 ATS, margin +8.0
Context
Schedule so far
BKN has played the 19th-hardest schedule, DET the 17th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: BKN 100%, DET 100%. Transfers in: BKN 0, DET 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelDET -17.1
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model218.5
Model edge—
Projected score
BKN 100.7 · DET 117.8
Win probability
DET 89%
1st half
Spread
DET -9.5
Total
109.8
Projected score
BKN 50.1 · DET 59.6
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BKNlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% |
| DETlast 6 | 5-1 83% | 5-1 83% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 19 since 2021-22
BKN 10–9 DETBKN leads · 19 games since 2021-22 · DET has won the last 2 meetings · BKN 5-14 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026-27 | DET 110 @ BKN 94 | BKN +8.5 | DET W |
| Mar 10, 2025-26 | DET 138 @ BKN 100 | BKN +15.5 | DET W |
| Mar 7, 2025-26 | BKN 107 @ DET 105 | DET -13.5 | BKN W |
| Feb 1, 2025-26 | BKN 77 @ DET 130 | DET -13.5 | DET W |
| Nov 7, 2025-26 | DET 125 @ BKN 107 | BKN +10.5 | DET W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Nets
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
CHA
CHAL 103-110
−5.5
24
@
CLE
CLEL 121-125
+7.5
25
vs
IND
INDL 109-136
−21.5
27
@
BOS
BOSL 124-125
+12.5
30
vsDET
DETL 94-110
−7.5
1
@IND
INDW 98-90
+11.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsCHA
CHAL 103-110
−7.5
24
@CLE
CLEL 121-125
+17.5
25
vsIND
INDL 109-136
+13.5
27
@BOS
BOSL 124-125
+25.5
30
vsDET
DETL 94-110
−18.5
1
@IND
INDW 98-90
−42.5
over 3under 3avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pistons
6 games played
Straight up
5-1
83% wins
Against the spread
5-1
83% covers · avg +5.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −11.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vsBOS
BOSW 121-113
+9.5
23
@
MIA
MIAW 128-111
+14.5
25
@
PHI
PHIW 106-93
+11.5
27
@
NY
NYL 97-111
−9.5
28
vsCHA
CHAW 97-89
+0.5
30
@BKN
BKNW 110-94
+7.5
covered 5didn’t cover 1avg +5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsBOS
BOSW 121-113
+13.5
23
@MIA
MIAW 128-111
+3.5
25
@PHI
PHIW 106-93
−29.5
27
@NY
NYL 97-111
−12.5
28
vsCHA
CHAW 97-89
−26.5
30
@BKN
BKNW 110-94
−18.5
over 2under 4avg −11.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Pistons has the better starters
Position by position: Nets 0, Pistons 4, even 1
NetsBetterPistons
G K. Ellis5 pts · 2 reb · 2.3 ast
Score 21
→DETSmall
G C. Cunningham22.2 pts · 5.5 reb · 7.2 ast
Score 47
G N. Traore10.5 pts · 1.8 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 1
→DETBig
G A. Thompson8.8 pts · 7.4 reb · 5 ast
Score 79
F J. Randle20.8 pts · 7.2 reb · 5.3 ast
Score 39
→DETBig
F D. Robinson16.8 pts · 2 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 77
F M. Porter21.2 pts · 7.3 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 91
=Even
F P. Reed13.8 pts · 7 reb · 2 ast
Score 97
C D. Sharpe8 pts · 7.7 reb · 1.7 ast
Score 6
→DETSmall
F J. Collins9.2 pts · 7.2 reb · 0.5 ast
Score 30
NetsBetterPistons
BKN offense29th of 30 · -5.5
→DETBig
DET defense1st of 30 · +7.1
BKN defense22nd of 30 · -1.7
→DETSmall
DET offense17th of 30 · -0.6
Backcourt-12.0 · 2 players
→DETBig
Backcourt+10.1 · 2 players
Frontcourt+7.8 · 3 players
→DETBig
Frontcourt+19.7 · 3 players
Bench-17.9 · 5 players
→DETBig
Bench+22.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestBKN betterDET betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
NetsGuards
K. Ellis24 minN. Traore21 minT. Mann24 minD. Powell21 minB. Saraf21 min
Forwards
J. Randle34 minM. Porter32 minC. Johnson22 minN. Clowney22 minD. Wolf21 minJ. Minott11 min
Centers
D. Sharpe23 minM. Wagner19 min
Out
M. BrownDay-To-DayE. DeminOut
PistonsGuards
C. Cunningham34 minA. Thompson26 minD. Jenkins25 minE. Harkless21 minK. Huerter21 minJ. Green19 min
Forwards
D. Robinson30 minP. Reed27 minJ. Collins27 minT. Prince24 minR. Holland16 minT. Smith8 min
Centers
I. Jones5 min
Out
I. JoeOutJ. DurenOut
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
BKN108.2 #25DET109.8 #21Points per possession
BKN1.03 #29DET1.09 #18Pace (possessions)
BKN105.1 #10DET100.9 #29Shooting
Effective FG%
BKN50.7 #26DET53.1 #173-point %
BKN35.1 #15DET36.3 #93-point attempt rate
BKN48.0 #3DET43.3 #13Free throw rate
BKN32.9 #6DET28.9 #14Possessions
Turnover rate
BKN18.2 #27DET15.6 #17Offensive rebound rate
BKN25.4 #23DET27.2 #17Assists per game
BKN22.8 #28DET26.7 #15Defense
Points allowed
BKN116.0 #21DET101.8 #1Points allowed per possession
BKN1.11 #18DET1.01 #1Opponent effective FG%
BKN55.3 #23DET48.8 #2Opponent 3-point %
BKN35.8 #19DET32.5 #10Turnovers forced
BKN15.9 #12DET17.1 #6Defensive rebound rate
BKN77.8 #2DET72.8 #15Steals per game
BKN9.0 #14DET9.0 #12Blocks per game
BKN4.7 #17DET6.7 #4| BKN | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 108.2 #25 | Points per game | 109.8 #21 |
| 1.03 #29 | Points per possession | 1.09 #18 |
| 105.1 #10 | Pace (possessions) | 100.9 #29 |
| Shooting | ||
| 50.7 #26 | Effective FG% | 53.1 #17 |
| 35.1 #15 | 3-point % | 36.3 #9 |
| 48.0 #3 | 3-point attempt rate | 43.3 #13 |
| 32.9 #6 | Free throw rate | 28.9 #14 |
| Possessions | ||
| 18.2 #27 | Turnover rate | 15.6 #17 |
| 25.4 #23 | Offensive rebound rate | 27.2 #17 |
| 22.8 #28 | Assists per game | 26.7 #15 |
| Defense | ||
| 116.0 #21 | Points allowed | 101.8 #1 |
| 1.11 #18 | Points allowed per possession | 1.01 #1 |
| 55.3 #23 | Opponent effective FG% | 48.8 #2 |
| 35.8 #19 | Opponent 3-point % | 32.5 #10 |
| 15.9 #12 | Turnovers forced | 17.1 #6 |
| 77.8 #2 | Defensive rebound rate | 72.8 #15 |
| 9.0 #14 | Steals per game | 9.0 #12 |
| 4.7 #17 | Blocks per game | 6.7 #4 |
Nets
1-5 overall · 1-5 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Pacers98–90
- Lvs Pistons94–110
- L@ Celtics124–125
- Lvs Pacers109–136
- L@ Cavaliers121–125
A week or more of rest.
Pistons
5-1 overall · 5-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Nets110–94
- Wvs Hornets97–89
- L@ Knicks97–111
- W@ 76ers106–93
- W@ Heat128–111
A week or more of rest.