Delta Center · at Jazz
LineNo line yet
Total—
 MIL | This season | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| 1-5 | Record | 1-5 |
| 2-4 | ATS | 1-5 |
| 5-1 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects UTAH 119–116 · win probability UTAH 61%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 234.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it
MIL 2, UTAH 2 · 2026-27 so far
Context
Schedule so far
MIL has played the 23rd-hardest schedule, UTAH the 4th. A record against a soft schedule means less
UTAHSmallUTAH offense vs MIL defense
Offense 20th of 30 against a defense 28th, on the model’s ratings
MILSmallThree-pointers
MIL hits 33.9% and allows 34.9%; UTAH hits 32.6% and allows 37.6%. Threes are 45.9% and 41.7% of their shots
UTAHSmallHome court
UTAH at home. This season: UTAH 1-4 at home, MIL 0-2 away
Context
Tempo
About 105 possessions: MIL plays 106.2 a game (4th fastest), UTAH 104.0 (12th). Faster games mean more points
MILSmallRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: MIL 29.7%, UTAH 25.7%. Defensive: MIL 74.2%, UTAH 77.1%
Even
Recent form
Last 5: MIL 2-3 ATS, margin -13.4; UTAH 1-4 ATS, margin -8.2
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: MIL 15.8%, UTAH 17.0%. Forced: MIL 12.2%, UTAH 13.3%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: MIL 52.0 and allows 55.4; UTAH 51.0 and allows 53.9
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: MIL 23.9, UTAH 31.6. Allowed: MIL 29.7, UTAH 33.8
Even
MIL offense vs UTAH defense
Offense 26th of 30 against a defense 27th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: MIL 100%, UTAH 100%. Transfers in: MIL 0, UTAH 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelUTAH -3.9
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model234.8
Model edge—
Projected score
MIL 115.5 · UTAH 119.3
Win probability
UTAH 61%
1st half
Spread
UTAH -2.0
Total
117.4
Projected score
MIL 57.7 · UTAH 59.7
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MILlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 2-4 33% | 5-1 83% |
| UTAHlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 1-5 17% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
MIL 6–4 UTAHMIL leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · MIL 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2025-26 | MIL 96 @ UTAH 128 | UTAH +5.5 | UTAH W |
| Mar 7, 2025-26 | UTAH 99 @ MIL 113 | MIL -9.5 | MIL W |
| Jan 27, 2024-25 | MIL 125 @ UTAH 110 | UTAH +8.5 | MIL W |
| Nov 7, 2024-25 | UTAH 100 @ MIL 123 | MIL -9.5 | MIL W |
| Feb 4, 2023-24 | MIL 108 @ UTAH 123 | UTAH -2.5 | UTAH W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bucks
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −7.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-1
83% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
WSH
WSHL 116-128
−7.5
23
vs
CHI
CHIL 125-132
−8.5
24
@
PHI
PHIL 116-127
+1.5
26
vs
IND
INDW 110-102
+11.5
28
vs
HOU
HOUL 100-132
−23.5
31
vs
CLE
CLEL 111-136
−16.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −7.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@WSH
WSHL 116-128
+4.5
23
vsCHI
CHIL 125-132
+15.5
24
@PHI
PHIL 116-127
+8.5
26
vsIND
INDW 110-102
−27.5
28
vsHOU
HOUL 100-132
+5.5
31
vsCLE
CLEL 111-136
+12.5
over 5under 1avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Jazz
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
1-5
17% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
MEM
MEML 103-123
−18.5
23
vs
NO
NOW 120-119
−0.5
25
vs
LAL
LALL 123-132
−2.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−3.5
28
vs
SA
SAL 111-117
+7.5
31
vs
POR
PORL 90-112
−15.5
covered 1didn’t cover 5avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@MEM
MEML 103-123
−14.5
23
vsNO
NOW 120-119
+0.5
25
vsLAL
LALL 123-132
+17.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−22.5
28
vsSA
SAL 111-117
−4.5
31
vsPOR
PORL 90-112
−30.5
over 2under 4avg −9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bucks has the better starters
Position by position: Bucks 2, Jazz 1, even 2
BucksBetterJazz
G T. Herro22 pts · 4.8 reb · 4.2 ast
Score 6
=Even
G K. George21.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 6.3 ast
Score 8
G R. Rollins11.2 pts · 4.3 reb · 4.7 ast
Score 2
=Even
G A. Bailey13.3 pts · 7.8 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 11
F J. Jaquez16.2 pts · 7.2 reb · 3 ast
Score 51
←MILSmall
G D. Peterson13.3 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.8 ast
Score 17
F K. Kuzma11.3 pts · 7.2 reb · 2.8 ast
Score 31
→UTAHBig
F L. Markkanen15.4 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.6 ast
Score 94
C M. Turner7.2 pts · 5.2 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 56
←MILSmall
C J. Hayes8 pts · 6.6 reb · 2.4 ast
Score 36
BucksBetterJazz
MIL offense26th of 30 · -2.9
=Even
UTAH defense27th of 30 · -6.0
MIL defense28th of 30 · -6.0
→UTAHSmall
UTAH offense20th of 30 · -1.2
Backcourt-20.2 · 2 players
=Even
Backcourt-20.5 · 3 players
Frontcourt+5.0 · 3 players
→UTAHBig
Frontcourt+15.0 · 2 players
Bench-0.7 · 5 players
→UTAHSmall
Bench+2.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestMIL betterUTAH betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
BucksGuards
T. Herro30 minR. Rollins26 minK. Porter33 minK. Jakucionis23 minG. Trent21 minA. Green19 min
Forwards
J. Jaquez28 minK. Kuzma27 minN. Ament16 minO. Dieng12 minB. Markovic5 min
Centers
M. Turner26 minJ. Sims20 minK. Ware20 min
JazzGuards
K. George32 minA. Bailey31 minD. Peterson30 minI. Collier19 minS. Mykhailiuk17 minJ. Okogie16 min
Forwards
L. Markkanen29 minB. Hinson20 minB. Sensabaugh16 minK. Filipowski8 minH. Ingram4 min
Centers
J. Hayes26 minM. Bamba19 minT. Bradley11 min
Out
J. JacksonOut
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
MIL113.0 #17UTAH108.7 #24Points per possession
MIL1.07 #20UTAH1.05 #25Pace (possessions)
MIL106.2 #4UTAH104.0 #12Shooting
Effective FG%
MIL52.0 #21UTAH51.0 #243-point %
MIL33.9 #21UTAH32.6 #233-point attempt rate
MIL45.9 #8UTAH41.7 #21Free throw rate
MIL23.9 #25UTAH31.6 #10Possessions
Turnover rate
MIL15.8 #18UTAH17.0 #25Offensive rebound rate
MIL29.7 #8UTAH25.7 #22Assists per game
MIL26.0 #20UTAH26.2 #19Defense
Points allowed
MIL126.2 #28UTAH118.8 #25Points allowed per possession
MIL1.18 #28UTAH1.14 #25Opponent effective FG%
MIL55.4 #24UTAH53.9 #18Opponent 3-point %
MIL34.9 #14UTAH37.6 #25Turnovers forced
MIL12.2 #30UTAH13.3 #28Defensive rebound rate
MIL74.2 #10UTAH77.1 #4Steals per game
MIL5.7 #30UTAH6.2 #29Blocks per game
MIL4.0 #27UTAH6.5 #5| MIL | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 113.0 #17 | Points per game | 108.7 #24 |
| 1.07 #20 | Points per possession | 1.05 #25 |
| 106.2 #4 | Pace (possessions) | 104.0 #12 |
| Shooting | ||
| 52.0 #21 | Effective FG% | 51.0 #24 |
| 33.9 #21 | 3-point % | 32.6 #23 |
| 45.9 #8 | 3-point attempt rate | 41.7 #21 |
| 23.9 #25 | Free throw rate | 31.6 #10 |
| Possessions | ||
| 15.8 #18 | Turnover rate | 17.0 #25 |
| 29.7 #8 | Offensive rebound rate | 25.7 #22 |
| 26.0 #20 | Assists per game | 26.2 #19 |
| Defense | ||
| 126.2 #28 | Points allowed | 118.8 #25 |
| 1.18 #28 | Points allowed per possession | 1.14 #25 |
| 55.4 #24 | Opponent effective FG% | 53.9 #18 |
| 34.9 #14 | Opponent 3-point % | 37.6 #25 |
| 12.2 #30 | Turnovers forced | 13.3 #28 |
| 74.2 #10 | Defensive rebound rate | 77.1 #4 |
| 5.7 #30 | Steals per game | 6.2 #29 |
| 4.0 #27 | Blocks per game | 6.5 #5 |
Bucks
1-5 overall · 1-4 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Cavaliers111–136
- Lvs Rockets100–132
- Wvs Pacers110–102
- L@ 76ers116–127
- Lvs Bulls125–132
A week or more of rest.
Jazz
1-5 overall · 1-5 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Trail Blazers90–112
- Lvs Spurs111–117
- Lvs Grizzlies105–110
- Lvs Lakers123–132
- Wvs Pelicans120–119
A week or more of rest.