American Airlines Center · at Mavericks · Conference game
LineNo line yet
Total—
 PHX | This season | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 4-2 |
| 0-4 | ATS | 4-2 |
| 3-1 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects DAL 118–112 · win probability DAL 65%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 230.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: DAL has more of the edges
PHX 1, DAL 6 · 2026-27 so far
DALBigShooting
Effective FG%: PHX 54.4 and allows 58.7; DAL 56.9 and allows 51.3
DALBigThree-pointers
PHX hits 35.0% and allows 43.9%; DAL hits 35.1% and allows 29.7%. Threes are 45.1% and 42.1% of their shots
PHXBigTurnovers
Turnover rate: PHX 15.2%, DAL 16.8%. Forced: PHX 17.1%, DAL 14.5%
DALBigRecent form
Last 4: PHX 0-4 ATS, margin -12.5; DAL 4-1 ATS, margin +6.6
DALSmallDAL offense vs PHX defense
Offense 16th of 30 against a defense 21st, on the model’s ratings
DALSmallFree throws
Free throw rate: PHX 22.8, DAL 21.4. Allowed: PHX 31.1, DAL 27.2
DALSmallHome court
DAL at home. This season: DAL 2-1 at home, PHX 0-2 away
Context
Tempo
About 102 possessions: PHX plays 101.3 a game (26th fastest), DAL 102.8 (18th). Faster games mean more points
Even
PHX offense vs DAL defense
Offense 19th of 30 against a defense 16th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PHX 28.3%, DAL 27.8%. Defensive: PHX 65.1%, DAL 69.4%
Context
Schedule so far
PHX has played the 3rd-hardest schedule, DAL the 2nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PHX 100%, DAL 100%. Transfers in: PHX 0, DAL 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelDAL -5.6
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model230.2
Model edge—
Projected score
PHX 112.3 · DAL 117.9
Win probability
DAL 65%
1st half
Spread
DAL -3.0
Total
115.2
Projected score
PHX 56.1 · DAL 59.1
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHXlast 4 | 1-3 25% | 0-4 0% | 3-1 75% |
| DALlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 24 since 2021-22
PHX 15–9 DALPHX leads · 24 games since 2021-22 · PHX has won the last 4 meetings · PHX 11-13 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025-26 | DAL 107 @ PHX 112 | PHX -12.5 | DAL W |
| Feb 10, 2025-26 | DAL 111 @ PHX 120 | PHX -8.5 | PHX W |
| Nov 12, 2025-26 | PHX 123 @ DAL 114 | DAL +1.5 | PHX W |
| Mar 9, 2024-25 | PHX 125 @ DAL 116 | DAL +6.5 | PHX W |
| Dec 27, 2024-25 | DAL 98 @ PHX 89 | PHX -0.5 | DAL W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Suns
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
0-4
0% covers · avg −10.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +9.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
POR
PORL 83-124
−37.5
24
vs
GS
GSW 131-122
−0.5
26
@
OKC
OKCL 114-125
−2.5
30
vs
DEN
DENL 120-127
−2.5
covered 0didn’t cover 4avg −10.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@POR
PORL 83-124
−25.5
24
vsGS
GSW 131-122
+31.5
26
@OKC
OKCL 114-125
+17.5
30
vsDEN
DENL 120-127
+15.5
over 3under 1avg +9.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mavericks
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +10.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
HOU
HOUL 110-128
−8.5
23
@
IND
INDW 121-105
+23.5
24
vs
SA
SAL 106-122
−1.5
26
@
MIA
MIAW 113-109
+11.5
28
vsOKC
OKCW 120-96
+28.5
30
vsHOU
HOUW 116-111
+10.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +10.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@HOU
HOUL 110-128
+7.5
23
@IND
INDW 121-105
−15.5
24
vsSA
SAL 106-122
−1.5
26
@MIA
MIAW 113-109
−18.5
28
vsOKC
OKCW 120-96
−11.5
30
vsHOU
HOUW 116-111
+3.5
over 2under 4avg −6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mavericks has the better starters
Position by position: Suns 1, Mavericks 3, even 1
SunsBetterMavericks
G D. Booker22.3 pts · 3.8 reb · 5.3 ast
Score 92
←PHXBig
G M. Christie8.3 pts · 3.8 reb · 2 ast
Score 9
G J. Green11 pts · 2.5 reb · 2.5 ast
Score 11
→DALBig
F P. Washington13.8 pts · 8.2 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 78
F M. Bridges16.3 pts · 7.3 reb · 2.3 ast
Score 14
→DALBig
F C. Flagg26.8 pts · 6 reb · 6.6 ast
Score 49
F D. Brooks16.5 pts · 3 reb · 3 ast
Score 59
=Even
F Z. Risacher9.5 pts · 6 reb · 1.7 ast
Score 65
C K. Maluach8 pts · 7 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 16
→DALSmall
F D. Gafford8.5 pts · 7 reb · 2.5 ast
Score 46
SunsBetterMavericks
PHX offense19th of 30 · -1.2
=Even
DAL defense16th of 30 · -0.1
PHX defense21st of 30 · -1.3
→DALSmall
DAL offense16th of 30 · +0.6
Backcourt+10.4 · 2 players
←PHXBig
Backcourt-6.6 · 1 player
Frontcourt-4.6 · 3 players
→DALBig
Frontcourt+16.0 · 4 players
Bench+1.4 · 5 players
→DALSmall
Bench+2.7 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestPHX betterDAL betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
SunsGuards
D. Booker35 minJ. Green27 minC. Gillespie26 minJ. Goodwin21 minP. Spencer18 minL. Kennard15 min
Forwards
M. Bridges33 minD. Brooks29 minO. Ighodaro18 minR. Dunn13 minR. Fleming12 minC. Huntley10 min
Centers
K. Maluach22 minD. Reath8 min
MavericksGuards
M. Christie27 minM. Sasser19 minJ. Howard12 min
Forwards
P. Washington34 minC. Flagg32 minZ. Risacher30 minD. Gafford24 minN. Marshall28 minC. Martin20 min
Centers
M. Cisse14 min
Out
S. de LarreaOutK. IrvingDay-To-Day
Matchup stats
2026-27, 4 games in · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
PHX112.0 #19DAL114.3 #14Points per possession
PHX1.12 #12DAL1.12 #11Pace (possessions)
PHX101.3 #26DAL102.8 #18Shooting
Effective FG%
PHX54.4 #13DAL56.9 #23-point %
PHX35.0 #16DAL35.1 #143-point attempt rate
PHX45.1 #10DAL42.1 #18Free throw rate
PHX22.8 #27DAL21.4 #29Possessions
Turnover rate
PHX15.2 #15DAL16.8 #23Offensive rebound rate
PHX28.3 #11DAL27.8 #13Assists per game
PHX27.5 #8DAL27.0 #12Defense
Points allowed
PHX124.5 #27DAL111.8 #14Points allowed per possession
PHX1.21 #30DAL1.08 #13Opponent effective FG%
PHX58.7 #29DAL51.3 #9Opponent 3-point %
PHX43.9 #30DAL29.7 #2Turnovers forced
PHX17.1 #7DAL14.5 #24Defensive rebound rate
PHX65.1 #30DAL69.4 #25Steals per game
PHX9.0 #15DAL8.8 #16Blocks per game
PHX5.3 #10DAL6.8 #2| PHX | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 112.0 #19 | Points per game | 114.3 #14 |
| 1.12 #12 | Points per possession | 1.12 #11 |
| 101.3 #26 | Pace (possessions) | 102.8 #18 |
| Shooting | ||
| 54.4 #13 | Effective FG% | 56.9 #2 |
| 35.0 #16 | 3-point % | 35.1 #14 |
| 45.1 #10 | 3-point attempt rate | 42.1 #18 |
| 22.8 #27 | Free throw rate | 21.4 #29 |
| Possessions | ||
| 15.2 #15 | Turnover rate | 16.8 #23 |
| 28.3 #11 | Offensive rebound rate | 27.8 #13 |
| 27.5 #8 | Assists per game | 27.0 #12 |
| Defense | ||
| 124.5 #27 | Points allowed | 111.8 #14 |
| 1.21 #30 | Points allowed per possession | 1.08 #13 |
| 58.7 #29 | Opponent effective FG% | 51.3 #9 |
| 43.9 #30 | Opponent 3-point % | 29.7 #2 |
| 17.1 #7 | Turnovers forced | 14.5 #24 |
| 65.1 #30 | Defensive rebound rate | 69.4 #25 |
| 9.0 #15 | Steals per game | 8.8 #16 |
| 5.3 #10 | Blocks per game | 6.8 #2 |
Suns
1-3 overall · 1-3 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Nuggets120–127
- L@ Thunder114–125
- Wvs Warriors131–122
- L@ Trail Blazers83–124
A week or more of rest.
Mavericks
4-2 overall · 2-2 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Rockets116–111
- Wvs Thunder120–96
- W@ Heat113–109
- Lvs Spurs106–122
- W@ Pacers121–105
A week or more of rest.