FedExForum · at Grizzlies · Conference game
LineNo line yet
Total—
 GS | This season | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| 4-3 | Record | 6-0 |
| 5-2 | ATS | 6-0 |
| 4-3 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects MEM 117–117 · win probability MEM 50%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 233.4
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: MEM has more of the edges
GS 2, MEM 4 · 2026-27 so far
Context
Schedule so far
GS has played the 6th-hardest schedule, MEM the 30th. A record against a soft schedule means less
MEMBigShooting
Effective FG%: GS 55.3 and allows 56.0; MEM 55.9 and allows 49.2
GSBigFree throws
Free throw rate: GS 28.8, MEM 25.3. Allowed: GS 27.3, MEM 31.4
MEMSmallThree-pointers
GS hits 40.0% and allows 35.2%; MEM hits 41.7% and allows 30.0%. Threes are 47.1% and 42.1% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 102 possessions: GS plays 101.4 a game (25th fastest), MEM 103.6 (13th). Faster games mean more points
MEMSmallRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: GS 33.2%, MEM 30.6%. Defensive: GS 70.4%, MEM 75.0%
MEMSmallHome court
MEM at home. This season: MEM 2-0 at home, GS 2-2 away
GSSmallGS offense vs MEM defense
Offense 9th of 30 against a defense 13th, on the model’s ratings
Even
MEM offense vs GS defense
Offense 11th of 30 against a defense 14th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: GS 16.7%, MEM 15.4%. Forced: GS 17.6%, MEM 15.7%
Even
Recent form
Last 5: GS 5-0 ATS, margin +9.0; MEM 5-0 ATS, margin +14.2
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: GS 100%, MEM 100%. Transfers in: GS 0, MEM 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelGS -0.1
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model233.4
Model edge—
Projected score
GS 116.8 · MEM 116.7
Win probability
MEM 50%
1st half
Spread
GS -0.2
Total
116.7
Projected score
GS 58.5 · MEM 58.3
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GSlast 7 | 4-3 57% | 5-2 71% | 4-3 57% |
| MEMlast 6 | 6-0 100% | 6-0 100% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 26 since 2021-22
GS 16–10 MEMGS leads · 26 games since 2021-22 · GS 10-16 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026-27 | MEM 111 @ GS 108 | GS -4.5 | MEM W |
| Feb 25, 2025-26 | GS 133 @ MEM 112 | MEM +3.5 | GS W |
| Feb 9, 2025-26 | MEM 113 @ GS 114 | GS -9.5 | MEM W |
| Oct 27, 2025-26 | MEM 118 @ GS 131 | GS -8.5 | GS W |
| Apr 15, 2024-25 | MEM 116 @ GS 121 | GS -6.5 | MEM W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Warriors
7 games played
Straight up
4-3
57% wins
Against the spread
5-2
71% covers · avg +6.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | @ LAL | L 105-127 | +6.5 | L −15.5 | 233.5 | U 232 |
| Oct 23 | vsMEM | L 108-111 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 236.5 | U 219 |
| Oct 24 | @ PHX | L 122-131 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 221.5 | O 253 |
| Oct 26 | @ DEN | W 134-114 | +6.5 | W +26.5 | 236.5 | O 248 |
| Oct 28 | @ MIN | W 119-114 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 227.5 | O 233 |
| Oct 30 | vsLAL | W 112-95 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 234.5 | U 207 |
| Nov 1 | vs LAC | W 124-112 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 220.5 | O 236 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@LAL
LALL 105-127
−15.5
23
vsMEM
MEML 108-111
−7.5
24
@PHX
PHXL 122-131
+0.5
26
@DEN
DENW 134-114
+26.5
28
@MIN
MINW 119-114
+8.5
30
vsLAL
LALW 112-95
+19.5
1
vsLAC
LACW 124-112
+10.5
covered 5didn’t cover 2avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@LAL
LALL 105-127
−1.5
23
vsMEM
MEML 108-111
−17.5
24
@PHX
PHXL 122-131
+31.5
26
@DEN
DENW 134-114
+11.5
28
@MIN
MINW 119-114
+5.5
30
vsLAL
LALW 112-95
−27.5
1
vsLAC
LACW 124-112
+15.5
over 4under 3avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Grizzlies
6 games played
Straight up
6-0
100% wins
Against the spread
6-0
100% covers · avg +14.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −8.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
UTAH
UTAHW 123-103
+18.5
23
@GS
GSW 111-108
+7.5
25
@
SAC
SACW 123-112
+7.5
26
@UTAH
UTAHW 110-105
+3.5
29
@
POR
PORW 124-103
+28.5
31
vsSAC
SACW 136-105
+23.5
covered 6didn’t cover 0avg +14.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsUTAH
UTAHW 123-103
−14.5
23
@GS
GSW 111-108
−17.5
25
@SAC
SACW 123-112
+0.5
26
@UTAH
UTAHW 110-105
−22.5
29
@POR
PORW 124-103
−6.5
31
vsSAC
SACW 136-105
+11.5
over 2under 4avg −8.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Grizzlies has the better starters
Position by position: Warriors 0, Grizzlies 4, even 1
WarriorsBetterGrizzlies
G B. Podziemski16.4 pts · 5.4 reb · 5.6 ast
Score 72
→MEMSmall
G T. Jerome25.8 pts · 3.2 reb · 5.6 ast
Score 97
G D. Melton11.9 pts · 4.1 reb · 2.3 ast
Score 62
→MEMSmall
F C. Boozer17.7 pts · 10.5 reb · 5.7 ast
Score 87
G B. Williams11.6 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.4 ast
Score 5
→MEMSmall
F C. Coward13 pts · 8.6 reb · 2.6 ast
Score 33
F Y. Lendeborg22.3 pts · 7.3 reb · 3.7 ast
Score 78
=Even
F J. Wells12.2 pts · 3.3 reb · 1 ast
Score 85
F G. Niang6.4 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 72
→MEMSmall
C Z. Edey7 pts · 7 reb · 1 ast
Score 92
WarriorsBetterGrizzlies
GS offense9th of 30 · +1.9
=Even
MEM defense13th of 30 · +1.1
GS defense14th of 30 · +0.3
=Even
MEM offense11th of 30 · +1.3
Backcourt+5.3 · 3 players
→MEMBig
Backcourt+16.5 · 1 player
Frontcourt+12.0 · 2 players
→MEMBig
Frontcourt+29.5 · 4 players
Bench+5.4 · 5 players
←GSBig
Bench-18.8 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestGS betterMEM betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
WarriorsGuards
B. Podziemski34 minD. Melton22 minB. Williams17 minW. Richard16 minL. Cryer16 minG. Payton13 min
Forwards
Y. Lendeborg32 minG. Niang20 minG. Ike12 minM. Leons11 min
Centers
A. Horford19 minC. Bassey9 min
Out
S. CurryDay-To-DayG. SantosOutD. GreenDay-To-Day
GrizzliesGuards
T. Jerome30 minJ. Mashack22 minJ. Small21 minC. Spencer19 minW. Clayton11 min
Forwards
C. Boozer31 minC. Coward28 minJ. Wells27 minJ. Grant24 minT. Hendricks19 minO. Prosper19 min
Centers
Z. Edey20 minI. Stewart18 minC. Cooper3 min
Out
S. PippenDay-To-DayQ. PostDay-To-Day
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
GS117.7 #11MEM121.2 #1Points per possession
GS1.17 #3MEM1.16 #4Pace (possessions)
GS101.4 #25MEM103.6 #13Shooting
Effective FG%
GS55.3 #8MEM55.9 #53-point %
GS40.0 #2MEM41.7 #13-point attempt rate
GS47.1 #5MEM42.1 #19Free throw rate
GS28.8 #15MEM25.3 #22Possessions
Turnover rate
GS16.7 #22MEM15.4 #16Offensive rebound rate
GS33.2 #1MEM30.6 #5Assists per game
GS27.4 #10MEM27.0 #13Defense
Points allowed
GS114.9 #16MEM106.0 #3Points allowed per possession
GS1.13 #21MEM1.03 #2Opponent effective FG%
GS56.0 #25MEM49.2 #3Opponent 3-point %
GS35.2 #16MEM30.0 #3Turnovers forced
GS17.6 #5MEM15.7 #15Defensive rebound rate
GS70.4 #23MEM75.0 #9Steals per game
GS9.1 #11MEM6.3 #28Blocks per game
GS4.1 #24MEM5.2 #11| GS | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 117.7 #11 | Points per game | 121.2 #1 |
| 1.17 #3 | Points per possession | 1.16 #4 |
| 101.4 #25 | Pace (possessions) | 103.6 #13 |
| Shooting | ||
| 55.3 #8 | Effective FG% | 55.9 #5 |
| 40.0 #2 | 3-point % | 41.7 #1 |
| 47.1 #5 | 3-point attempt rate | 42.1 #19 |
| 28.8 #15 | Free throw rate | 25.3 #22 |
| Possessions | ||
| 16.7 #22 | Turnover rate | 15.4 #16 |
| 33.2 #1 | Offensive rebound rate | 30.6 #5 |
| 27.4 #10 | Assists per game | 27.0 #13 |
| Defense | ||
| 114.9 #16 | Points allowed | 106.0 #3 |
| 1.13 #21 | Points allowed per possession | 1.03 #2 |
| 56.0 #25 | Opponent effective FG% | 49.2 #3 |
| 35.2 #16 | Opponent 3-point % | 30.0 #3 |
| 17.6 #5 | Turnovers forced | 15.7 #15 |
| 70.4 #23 | Defensive rebound rate | 75.0 #9 |
| 9.1 #11 | Steals per game | 6.3 #28 |
| 4.1 #24 | Blocks per game | 5.2 #11 |
Warriors
4-3 overall · 4-3 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Clippers124–112
- Wvs Lakers112–95
- W@ Timberwolves119–114
- W@ Nuggets134–114
- L@ Suns122–131
A week or more of rest.
Grizzlies
6-0 overall · 6-0 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Kings136–105
- W@ Trail Blazers124–103
- W@ Jazz110–105
- W@ Kings123–112
- W@ Warriors111–108
A week or more of rest.