Xfinity Mobile Arena · at 76ers
LineNo line yet
Total—
 POR | This season | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 6-1 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 4-3 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 2-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects POR 113–110 · win probability POR 58%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 222.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: POR has more of the edges
POR 5, PHI 2 · 2026-27 so far
PORBigRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: POR 27.6%, PHI 19.9%. Defensive: POR 77.3%, PHI 70.8%
PORBigPHI offense vs POR defense
Offense 22nd of 30 against a defense 11th, on the model’s ratings
PHIBigTurnovers
Turnover rate: POR 14.6%, PHI 12.3%. Forced: POR 14.8%, PHI 17.0%
PORSmallShooting
Effective FG%: POR 56.2 and allows 51.3; PHI 50.8 and allows 49.8
PORSmallFree throws
Free throw rate: POR 35.9, PHI 28.7. Allowed: POR 27.8, PHI 28.5
Context
Schedule so far
POR has played the 27th-hardest schedule, PHI the 20th. A record against a soft schedule means less
PORSmallThree-pointers
POR hits 35.3% and allows 32.1%; PHI hits 34.0% and allows 32.1%. Threes are 51.5% and 39.5% of their shots
PHISmallHome court
PHI at home. This season: PHI 3-1 at home, POR 3-0 away
Even
Recent form
Last 5: POR 3-2 ATS, margin +11.4; PHI 2-3 ATS, margin +2.6
Context
Tempo
About 103 possessions: POR plays 103.5 a game (14th fastest), PHI 102.4 (19th). Faster games mean more points
Even
POR offense vs PHI defense
Offense 10th of 30 against a defense 10th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: POR 100%, PHI 100%. Transfers in: POR 0, PHI 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelPOR -2.7
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model222.7
Model edge—
Projected score
POR 112.7 · PHI 110
Win probability
POR 58%
1st half
Spread
POR -1.7
Total
111.8
Projected score
POR 56.7 · PHI 55
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORlast 5 | 4-1 80% | 3-2 60% | 2-3 40% |
| PHIlast 7 | 6-1 86% | 4-3 57% | 2-5 29% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
POR 4–6 PHIPHI leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · POR 4-5-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025-26 | POR 103 @ PHI 109 | PHI +8.5 | PHI W |
| Feb 9, 2025-26 | PHI 118 @ POR 135 | POR -3.5 | POR W |
| Mar 3, 2024-25 | POR 119 @ PHI 102 | PHI +1.5 | POR W |
| Dec 30, 2024-25 | PHI 125 @ POR 103 | POR +6.5 | PHI W |
| Jan 29, 2023-24 | PHI 104 @ POR 130 | POR +5.5 | POR W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Trail Blazers
5 games played
Straight up
4-1
80% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +6.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
PHX
PHXW 124-83
+37.5
23
@
SAC
SACW 128-120
−1.5
27
@
LAL
LALW 136-129
+8.5
29
vs
MEM
MEML 103-124
−28.5
31
@
UTAH
UTAHW 112-90
+15.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsPHX
PHXW 124-83
−25.5
23
@SAC
SACW 128-120
+16.5
27
@LAL
LALW 136-129
+30.5
29
vsMEM
MEML 103-124
−6.5
31
@UTAH
UTAHW 112-90
−30.5
over 2under 3avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
76ers
7 games played
Straight up
6-1
86% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −15.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | @ NY | W 106-100 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 231.5 | U 206 |
| Oct 22 | vs CLE | W 114-106 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 237.5 | U 220 |
| Oct 24 | vs MIL | W 127-116 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 234.5 | O 243 |
| Oct 25 | vs DET | L 93-106 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 228.5 | U 199 |
| Oct 28 | @ IND | W 114-109 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 234.5 | U 223 |
| Oct 30 | vsNY | W 98-93 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 224.5 | U 191 |
| Oct 31 | @ CHA | W 109-104 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 211.5 | O 213 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
@NY
NYW 106-100
+10.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 114-106
+5.5
24
vsMIL
MILW 127-116
−1.5
25
vsDET
DETL 93-106
−11.5
28
@IND
INDW 114-109
−2.5
30
vsNY
NYW 98-93
+2.5
31
@CHA
CHAW 109-104
+3.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
@NY
NYW 106-100
−25.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 114-106
−17.5
24
vsMIL
MILW 127-116
+8.5
25
vsDET
DETL 93-106
−29.5
28
@IND
INDW 114-109
−11.5
30
vsNY
NYW 98-93
−33.5
31
@CHA
CHAW 109-104
+1.5
over 2under 5avg −15.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
The starting fives are even
Position by position: Trail Blazers 1, 76ers 1, even 3
Trail BlazersBetter76ers
G D. Lillard19.2 pts · 4 reb · 3.6 ast
Score 89
←PORSmall
G T. Maxey29.6 pts · 4.1 reb · 4.4 ast
Score 67
G S. Henderson8.8 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 34
=Even
G J. Brown19.8 pts · 6.2 reb · 4.2 ast
Score 35
F D. Avdija23 pts · 6.8 reb · 5.6 ast
Score 82
=Even
G V. Edgecombe11.3 pts · 7.8 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 96
F T. Camara15.2 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 44
=Even
F L. James16.4 pts · 7 reb · 7 ast
Score 54
C D. Clingan8.6 pts · 8.8 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 74
→PHISmall
F D. Wade3.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.6 ast
Score 90
Trail BlazersBetter76ers
POR offense10th of 30 · +1.4
=Even
PHI defense10th of 30 · +3.0
POR defense11th of 30 · +1.8
←PORBig
PHI offense22nd of 30 · -1.7
Backcourt+11.6 · 2 players
→PHIBig
Backcourt+25.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt+16.7 · 3 players
←PORSmall
Frontcourt+14.0 · 2 players
Bench+15.6 · 5 players
←PORBig
Bench-19.8 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestPOR betterPHI betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Trail BlazersGuards
D. Lillard29 minS. Henderson21 minJ. Holiday25 minS. Cissoko22 minV. Krejci11 minC. Youngblood6 min
Forwards
D. Avdija31 minT. Camara26 minJ. Tonje8 min
Centers
D. Clingan22 minM. Potter19 minR. Williams17 minB. Carlson12 minY. Hansen10 min
Out
J. MorantOut
76ersGuards
T. Maxey38 minJ. Brown37 minV. Edgecombe33 minA. Simons25 minK. Caldwell-Pope24 minC. Love21 min
Forwards
L. James33 minD. Wade28 minJ. Edwards15 minJ. Walker10 min
Centers
A. Bona14 minT. FallNew
Out
J. EmbiidDay-To-Day
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
POR120.6 #4PHI108.7 #23Points per possession
POR1.16 #5PHI1.06 #22Pace (possessions)
POR103.5 #14PHI102.4 #19Shooting
Effective FG%
POR56.2 #4PHI50.8 #253-point %
POR35.3 #12PHI34.0 #203-point attempt rate
POR51.5 #1PHI39.5 #23Free throw rate
POR35.9 #3PHI28.7 #16Possessions
Turnover rate
POR14.6 #9PHI12.3 #1Offensive rebound rate
POR27.6 #14PHI19.9 #30Assists per game
POR26.2 #17PHI25.1 #22Defense
Points allowed
POR109.2 #10PHI104.9 #2Points allowed per possession
POR1.06 #10PHI1.03 #3Opponent effective FG%
POR51.3 #8PHI49.8 #4Opponent 3-point %
POR32.1 #8PHI32.1 #9Turnovers forced
POR14.8 #20PHI17.0 #9Defensive rebound rate
POR77.3 #3PHI70.8 #21Steals per game
POR8.6 #18PHI9.6 #7Blocks per game
POR4.2 #21PHI5.0 #14| POR | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 120.6 #4 | Points per game | 108.7 #23 |
| 1.16 #5 | Points per possession | 1.06 #22 |
| 103.5 #14 | Pace (possessions) | 102.4 #19 |
| Shooting | ||
| 56.2 #4 | Effective FG% | 50.8 #25 |
| 35.3 #12 | 3-point % | 34.0 #20 |
| 51.5 #1 | 3-point attempt rate | 39.5 #23 |
| 35.9 #3 | Free throw rate | 28.7 #16 |
| Possessions | ||
| 14.6 #9 | Turnover rate | 12.3 #1 |
| 27.6 #14 | Offensive rebound rate | 19.9 #30 |
| 26.2 #17 | Assists per game | 25.1 #22 |
| Defense | ||
| 109.2 #10 | Points allowed | 104.9 #2 |
| 1.06 #10 | Points allowed per possession | 1.03 #3 |
| 51.3 #8 | Opponent effective FG% | 49.8 #4 |
| 32.1 #8 | Opponent 3-point % | 32.1 #9 |
| 14.8 #20 | Turnovers forced | 17.0 #9 |
| 77.3 #3 | Defensive rebound rate | 70.8 #21 |
| 8.6 #18 | Steals per game | 9.6 #7 |
| 4.2 #21 | Blocks per game | 5.0 #14 |
Trail Blazers
4-1 overall · 4-1 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Jazz112–90
- Lvs Grizzlies103–124
- W@ Lakers136–129
- W@ Kings128–120
- Wvs Suns124–83
A week or more of rest.
76ers
6-1 overall · 6-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Hornets109–104
- Wvs Knicks98–93
- W@ Pacers114–109
- Lvs Pistons93–106
- Wvs Bucks127–116
A week or more of rest.