When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

When did they go over?

12 games · 2025 · UTEP · pick one to list those games
58% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 43% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 25% of games.

All 12 games

2025 · UTEP · newest first
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2025 · Week 14
DEL -4.5 55.5 14517292 Q3 DEL Q2 31–61
2025 · Week 13
UTEP -4.5 45.5 21424865 Q3 NMSU Q2 34–31
2025 · Week 12
MOST -7.5 48.5 10314862 Q4 MOST Q4
Late cover flip
24–38
2025 · Week 11
JXST -1.5 46.5 17334057 Q4 JXST Q4 30–27
2025 · Week 10
KENN -12.5 53.5 14264353 U KENN Q4
Late cover flip
20–33
2025 · Week 8
UTEP -3.5 47.5 14243852 Q4 UTEP Q2 35–17
2025 · Week 7
LIB -1.5 47.5 7131927 U LIB Q1 19–8
2025 · Week 5
LT -3.5 47.5 771041 U LT Q1 30–11
2025 · Week 4
UTEP -5.5 46.5 21314156 Q4 ULM Q1 31–25
2025 · Week 3
TEX -40.5 52.5 7172337 U UTEP Q1 10–27
UTM @ UTEP
2025 · Week 2
UTEP -7.5 49.5 7355259 Q3 UTEP Q2 17–42
2025 · Week 1
USU -4.5 58.5 17303844 U USU Q2 16–28

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 33% 4
Q2 42% 5
Q3 0% 0
Q4 25% 3
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 100% and covered 91% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 100% and covered 89% of 9 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over3100% 3
1–31100% 1
4–72100% 2
8–101100% 1
11–1410% 0
18–2110% 0
22+30% 0
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.