When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2025 · South Alabama · pick one to list those games
67% went over. Of the 8 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 0% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 8% of games.
All 12 games
2025 · South Alabama · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Week 14 |
TXST -9.5 | 62.5 | 17284275 | Q4 | TXST Q2 | 26–49 |
2025 · Week 13 |
USM -2.5 | 53.5 | 7284977 | Q4 | USA Q1 | 35–42 |
2025 · Week 12 |
USA -4.5 | 50.5 | 14213440 | U | USA Q3 | 26–14 |
2025 · Week 10 |
USA -3.5 | 52.5 | 10314553 | Q4 | UL Q1 | 31–22 |
2025 · Week 9 |
USA -5.5 | 54.5 | 35424569 | Q4 | USA Q1 Late cover flip |
38–31 |
2025 · Week 8 |
USA -8.5 | 57.5 | 7101729 | U | ARST Q4 Lead lost |
15–14 |
2025 · Week 6 |
USA -2.5 | 46.5 | 1421384855 | Q4 | TROY Q1 Late over |
24–31 |
2025 · Week 5 |
UNT -11.5 | 63.5 | 14214258 | U | UNT Q3 Late cover flip |
22–36 |
2025 · Week 4 |
USA -14.5 | 52.5 | 0213858 | Q4 | CCU Q1 Late over |
38–20 |
2025 · Week 3 |
AUB -26.5 | 55.5 | 10374646 | U | USA Q1 | 15–31 |
2025 · Week 2 |
TULN -13.5 | 51.5 | 28384164 | Q4 | USA Q1 | 33–31 |
 MORG @  USA2025 · Week 1 |
USA -28.5 | 50.5 | 14243859 | Q4 | MORG Q1 | 21–38 |
TXST
USM
ULM
UL
GAST
ARST
TROY
UNT
CCU
AUB
TULNWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 67% 8
Q2 8% 1
Q3 17% 2
Q4 8% 1
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 75% and covered 50% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 92% and covered 67% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 4 | 75% 3 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 22+ | 2 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.