When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2025 · San José State · pick one to list those games
58% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 14% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 8% of games.
All 12 games
2025 · San José State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Week 14 |
FRES -3 | 44.5 | 3283155 | Q4 | FRES Q2 | 41–14 |
2025 · Week 13 |
SDSU -9.5 | 51.5 | 11212128 | U | SDSU Q1 | 3–25 |
2025 · Week 12 |
SJSU -9.5 | 49.5 | 14314165 | Q4 | NEV Q1 Late over |
10–55 |
2025 · Week 11 |
SJSU -6.5 | 68.5 | 3192242 | U | AFA Q1 | 26–16 |
2025 · Week 10 |
SJSU -2.5 | 55.5 | 14456683 | Q3 | SJSU Q2 | 38–45 |
2025 · Week 8 |
USU -3.5 | 62.5 | 10194355 | U | USU Q3 Late cover flip |
25–30 |
2025 · Week 7 |
SJSU -1.5 | 49.5 | 21424263 | Q4 | WYO Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
28–35 |
2025 · Week 6 |
SJSU -2.5 | 58.5 | 7385263 | Q4 | SJSU Q1 | 28–35 |
2025 · Week 5 |
STAN -3.5 | 49.5 | 17343459 | Q4 | SJSU Q1 Lead lost |
29–30 |
 IDHO @  SJSU2025 · Week 4 |
SJSU -13.5 | 51.5 | 7284259 | Q4 | IDHO Q1 | 28–31 |
2025 · Week 2 |
TEX -36.5 | 52.5 | 14354545 | U | SJSU Q1 | 7–38 |
2025 · Week 1 |
SJSU -14.5 | 51.5 | 10202730 | U | CMU Q1 Lead lost |
16–14 |
FRES
SDSU
NEV
AFA
HAW
USU
WYO
UNM
STAN
TEX
CMUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 67% 8
Q2 17% 2
Q3 8% 1
Q4 8% 1
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 82% and covered 82% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 73% and covered 73% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 4 | 75% 3 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.