When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2025 · Memphis · pick one to list those games
46% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 17% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 31% of games.
All 13 games
2025 · Memphis · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
NCSU -3.5 | 56.5 | 14383838 | U | NCSU Q1 | 7–31 |
2025 · Week 14 |
MEM -4 | 57.5 | 3313845 | U | NAVY Q1 | 28–17 |
2025 · Week 12 |
ECU -2.5 | 57.5 | 7274858 | Q4 | ECU Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
27–31 |
2025 · Week 11 |
MEM -3.5 | 53.5 | 21525570 | Q3 | TULN Q1 | 38–32 |
2025 · Week 10 |
MEM -13.5 | 48.5 | 14384552 | Q4 | MEM Q1 Late over |
38–14 |
2025 · Week 9 |
USF -3.5 | 58.5 | 21384865 | Q4 | MEM Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
31–34 |
2025 · Week 8 |
MEM -23.5 | 59.5 | 14314155 | U | UAB Q1 | 24–31 |
2025 · Week 6 |
MEM -21.5 | 52.5 | 7354552 | U | MEM Q3 | 7–45 |
2025 · Week 5 |
MEM -13.5 | 62.5 | 17334381 | Q4 | MEM Q4 Late cover flip |
55–26 |
2025 · Week 4 |
ARK -7.5 | 59.5 | 17455763 | Q4 | MEM Q3 Late over Lead lost |
31–32 |
2025 · Week 3 |
MEM -4.5 | 51.5 | 7282835 | U | MEM Q1 | 28–7 |
2025 · Week 2 |
MEM -15.5 | 57.5 | 16334754 | U | MEM Q4 Late cover flip |
38–16 |
 UTC @  MEM2025 · Week 1 |
MEM -30.5 | 55.5 | 14314155 | U | MEM Q3 Late cover flip |
10–45 |
NCSU
NAVY
ECU
TULN
RICE
USF
UAB
TLSA
FAU
ARK
TROY
GASTWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 46% 6
Q2 0% 0
Q3 23% 3
Q4 31% 4
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 69% and covered 69% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 83% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 4 | 25% 1 |
| 22+ | 1 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.