When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2025 · Marshall · pick one to list those games
58% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 43% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 25% of games.
All 12 games
2025 · Marshall · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Week 14 |
MRSH -10.5 | 62.5 | 17203643 | U | GASO Q1 | 24–19 |
2025 · Week 13 |
MRSH -3.5 | 57.5 | 10374750 | U | APP Q3 Lead lost |
24–26 |
2025 · Week 12 |
MRSH -9.5 | 59.5 | 14313948 | U | MRSH Q4 | 30–18 |
2025 · Week 11 |
JMU -13.5 | 52.5 | 7334858 | Q4 | MRSH Q1 Late over |
35–23 |
2025 · Week 10 |
MRSH -7.5 | 55.5 | 13376471 | Q3 | CCU Q1 | 27–44 |
2025 · Week 8 |
TXST -2.5 | 65.5 | 1430335477 | OT | MRSH Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
37–40 |
2025 · Week 7 |
ODU -14.5 | 57.5 | 14345172 | Q4 | MRSH Q1 | 24–48 |
2025 · Week 5 |
MRSH -1.5 | 48.5 | 6345482105 | Q3 | UL Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
51–54 |
2025 · Week 4 |
MRSH -2.5 | 45.5 | 35414970 | Q3 | MRSH Q4 | 42–28 |
 EKU @  MRSH2025 · Week 3 |
MRSH -17.5 | 51.5 | 17314545 | U | MRSH Q2 | 7–38 |
2025 · Week 2 |
MRSH -7.5 | 53.5 | 0243441 | U | MOST Q3 Lead lost |
21–20 |
2025 · Week 1 |
UGA -38.5 | 51.5 | 14243852 | Q4 | MRSH Q1 | 7–45 |
GASO
APP
GAST
JMU
CCU
TXST
ODU
UL
MTSU
MOST
UGAWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 42% 5
Q2 8% 1
Q3 25% 3
Q4 25% 3
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 64% and covered 45% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 58% and covered 42% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 4–7 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 2 | 50% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.