When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
11 games · 2025 · Kent State · pick one to list those games
55% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 17% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 9% of games.
All 11 games
2025 · Kent State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Week 14 |
NIU -4.5 | 44.5 | 10384166 | Q4 | KENT Q1 Lead lost |
35–31 |
2025 · Week 13 |
CMU -7.5 | 50.5 | 7171744 | U | CMU Q2 Late cover flip |
28–16 |
2025 · Week 12 |
AKR -7.5 | 49.5 | 1031457077 | Q4 | KENT Q1 | 42–35 |
2025 · Week 11 |
BALL -3.5 | 48.5 | 3132030 | U | BALL Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
13–17 |
2025 · Week 9 |
BGSU -7.5 | 46.5 | 7173845 | U | KENT Q3 Lead lost |
21–24 |
2025 · Week 8 |
TOL -25.5 | 48.5 | 17274855 | Q4 | TOL Q3 | 10–45 |
2025 · Week 7 |
KENT -1.5 | 49.5 | 14274848 | U | KENT Q1 | 6–42 |
2025 · Week 6 |
OU -46.5 | 53.5 | 10234444 | U | KENT Q1 | 0–44 |
2025 · Week 4 |
FSU -45.5 | 56.5 | 42526676 | Q3 | FSU Q3 | 10–66 |
2025 · Week 3 |
BUFF -24.5 | 47.5 | 7244559 | Q4 | KENT Q1 Late over |
31–28 |
2025 · Week 2 |
TTU -47.5 | 59.5 | 21485576 | Q4 | TTU Q2 | 14–62 |
KENT
NIU
CMU
AKR
BALL
BGSU
TOL
MASS
OU
FSU
BUFF
TTUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 45% 5
Q2 18% 2
Q3 27% 3
Q4 9% 1
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 64% and covered 64% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 80% and covered 60% of 10 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 1–3 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 4–7 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 8–10 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 2 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.