When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2025 · Iowa State · pick one to list those games
33% went over. Of the 4 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 75% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 0% of games.
All 12 games
2025 · Iowa State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Week 14 |
ISU -14 | 47.5 | 3172733 | U | OKST Q1 | 20–13 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ISU -3.5 | 55.5 | 7174552 | U | ISU Q1 | 14–38 |
2025 · Week 11 |
TCU -7.5 | 58.5 | 691637 | U | ISU Q1 | 20–17 |
2025 · Week 10 |
ISU -8.5 | 48.5 | 6334343 | U | ASU Q1 | 24–19 |
2025 · Week 9 |
ISU -2.5 | 49.5 | 24415468 | Q3 | BYU Q3 | 41–27 |
2025 · Week 7 |
ISU -2.5 | 52.5 | 7173841 | U | COLO Q3 | 17–24 |
2025 · Week 6 |
CIN -1.5 | 55.5 | 17465368 | Q4 | CIN Q1 | 30–38 |
2025 · Week 5 |
ISU -4.5 | 48.5 | 8295053 | Q3 | ISU Q1 | 14–39 |
2025 · Week 3 |
ISU -20.5 | 55.5 | 9273040 | U | ARST Q1 | 24–16 |
2025 · Week 2 |
ISU -3.5 | 43.5 | 6232629 | U | IOWA Q2 | 13–16 |
 SDAK @  ISU2025 · Week 1 |
ISU -13.5 | 47.5 | 21344862 | Q3 | ISU Q2 | 7–55 |
2025 · Week 1 |
KSU -2.5 | 51.5 | 7142145 | U | ISU Q1 | 24–21 |
OKST
KU
TCU
ASU
BYU
COLO
CIN
ARIZ
ARST
IOWA
KSUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 67% 8
Q2 17% 2
Q3 17% 2
Q4 0% 0
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 82% and covered 55% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 90% and covered 70% of 10 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.