When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2025 · Florida State · pick one to list those games
50% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 33% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 0% of games.
All 12 games
2025 · Florida State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Week 14 |
FSU -1.5 | 49.5 | 10314561 | Q4 | FLA Q1 Late over |
21–40 |
2025 · Week 13 |
FSU -6.5 | 59.5 | 7101732 | U | NCSU Q1 | 11–21 |
2025 · Week 12 |
FSU -13.5 | 53.5 | 0173148 | U | FSU Q3 | 14–34 |
2025 · Week 11 |
CLEM -1.5 | 57.5 | 8252834 | U | CLEM Q1 | 10–24 |
2025 · Week 10 |
FSU -12.5 | 50.5 | 0142849 | U | FSU Q2 | 7–42 |
2025 · Week 8 |
FSU -17.5 | 55.5 | 3233033 | U | STAN Q1 | 13–20 |
2025 · Week 7 |
FSU -11.5 | 57.5 | 14354565 | Q4 | PITT Q1 Late over |
34–31 |
2025 · Week 6 |
MIA -2.5 | 54.5 | 10173150 | U | MIA Q1 | 28–22 |
2025 · Week 5 |
FSU -6.5 | 60.5 | 742567084 | Q4 | UVA Q1 | 38–46 |
2025 · Week 4 |
FSU -45.5 | 56.5 | 42526676 | Q3 | FSU Q3 | 10–66 |
 ETAM @  FSU2025 · Week 2 |
FSU -43.5 | 56.5 | 21497080 | Q3 | FSU Q2 | 3–77 |
2025 · Week 1 |
ALA -13.5 | 46.5 | 14243448 | Q4 | FSU Q1 | 17–31 |
FLA
NCSU
VT
CLEM
WAKE
STAN
PITT
MIA
UVA
KENT
ALAWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 67% 8
Q2 17% 2
Q3 17% 2
Q4 0% 0
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 91% and covered 91% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 91% and covered 91% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 22+ | 6 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.