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College game flow: when games go over and when the cover is settled

When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

Boston College ✕

When did they go over?

12 games · 2025 · Boston College · pick one to list those games
Went overAll games12100%By halftime00%In Q3217%In Q4650%In OT00%Stayed under433%
Last 5 minutesCover changed hands00%Over cashed217%Leader lost the game18%
67% went over. Of the 8 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 25% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 0% of games.

All 12 games

2025 · Boston College · newest first
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2025 · Week 14
 BC -2.5 54.5 3122646 U BC Q3 34–12
2025 · Week 12
 GT -16.5 61.5 7284570 Q4 BC Q1
Late over
 36–34
2025 · Week 11
 SMU -10.5 54.5 10233758 Q4 SMU Q2 45–13
2025 · Week 10
 ND -30.5 55.5 0192835 U BC Q1 25–10
2025 · Week 9
 LOU -25.5 54.5 10314562 Q4 BC Q1 24–38
2025 · Week 8
 CONN -2.5 58.5 13375161 Q4 CONN Q3 38–23
2025 · Week 7
 CLEM -13.5 54.5 13444451 U CLEM Q2 41–10
2025 · Week 6
 PITT -6.5 54.5 10314555 Q4 PITT Q1
Late over
 7–48
2025 · Week 5
 BC -6.5 54.5 21313152 U CAL Q2
Lead lost
 28–24
2025 · Week 3
 BC -13.5 46.5 6404750 Q3 STAN Q1 20–30
2025 · Week 2
 MSU -3.5 45.5 735485482 Q3 BC Q2 40–42
FOR @ BC
2025 · Week 1
 BC -34.5 52.5 17244876 Q4 BC Q3 10–66
Final score is away–home. Points by quarter are combined points at the end of each quarter; the highlighted one is when the over cashed.

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 42% 5
Q2 33% 4
Q3 25% 3
Q4 0% 0
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 67% and covered 56% of 9 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 82% and covered 73% of 11 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over2100% 2
4–71100% 1
8–103100% 3
11–1410% 0
15–171100% 1
18–211100% 1
22+30% 0
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.