When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2025 · Arkansas · pick one to list those games
67% went over. Of the 8 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 50% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 33% of games.
All 12 games
2025 · Arkansas · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Week 14 |
MIZ -4.5 | 54.5 | 14313748 | U | MIZ Q4 | 31–17 |
2025 · Week 13 |
TEX -10.5 | 57.5 | 20446889 | Q3 | TEX Q3 | 37–52 |
2025 · Week 12 |
LSU -4.5 | 58.5 | 14303845 | U | ARK Q1 | 22–23 |
2025 · Week 10 |
ARK -5.5 | 66.5 | 7204973 | Q4 | MSST Q4 Late over Lead lost |
38–35 |
2025 · Week 9 |
ARK -2.5 | 55.5 | 7314057 | Q4 | AUB Q4 Late over |
33–24 |
2025 · Week 8 |
TA&M -8.5 | 57.5 | 10416587 | Q3 | ARK Q4 Late cover flip |
45–42 |
2025 · Week 7 |
TENN -10.5 | 68.5 | 17344465 | U | ARK Q1 | 31–34 |
2025 · Week 5 |
ND -5.5 | 62.5 | 17556269 | Q4 | ND Q1 | 56–13 |
2025 · Week 4 |
ARK -7.5 | 59.5 | 17455763 | Q4 | MEM Q3 Late over Lead lost |
31–32 |
2025 · Week 3 |
MISS -4.5 | 60.5 | 14596676 | Q3 | MISS Q3 | 35–41 |
2025 · Week 2 |
ARK -24.5 | 61.5 | 35496370 | Q3 | ARK Q3 | 14–56 |
 AAMU @  ARK2025 · Week 1 |
ARK -45.5 | 62.5 | 17385259 | U | AAMU Q1 | 7–52 |
MIZ
TEX
LSU
MSST
AUB
TA&M
TENN
ND
MEM
MISS
ARSTWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 33% 4
Q2 0% 0
Q3 33% 4
Q4 33% 4
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 64% and covered 36% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 67% and covered 50% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 4 | 100% 4 |
| 1–3 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 22+ | 1 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.