When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2025 · App State · pick one to list those games
50% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 17% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 8% of games.
All 12 games
2025 · App State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
GASO -10 | 58.5 | 7203639 | U | GASO Q3 | 29–10 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ARST -1.5 | 54.5 | 6324659 | Q4 | APP Q1 Late over Lead lost |
30–29 |
2025 · Week 13 |
MRSH -3.5 | 57.5 | 10374750 | U | APP Q3 Lead lost |
24–26 |
2025 · Week 12 |
JMU -19.5 | 54.5 | 7273768 | Q4 | JMU Q2 Late over |
10–58 |
2025 · Week 11 |
APP -4.5 | 61.5 | 9223148 | U | GASO Q1 | 25–23 |
2025 · Week 9 |
ODU -12.5 | 60.5 | 7173145 | U | APP Q4 | 21–24 |
2025 · Week 8 |
APP -10.5 | 47.5 | 24416582 | Q3 | CCU Q1 Lead lost |
45–37 |
2025 · Week 7 |
APP -2.5 | 55.5 | 7175261 | Q4 | APP Q1 | 41–20 |
2025 · Week 6 |
APP -2.5 | 54.5 | 17314850 | U | APP Q1 | 23–27 |
2025 · Week 5 |
BOIS -17.5 | 59.5 | 14314761 | Q4 | BOIS Q3 | 14–47 |
2025 · Week 3 |
APP -2.5 | 56.5 | 14243860 | Q4 | USM Q1 Late over |
22–38 |
 LIN @  APP2025 · Week 2 |
APP -29.5 | 54.5 | 14202333 | U | LIN Q1 | 13–20 |
GASO
ARST
MRSH
JMU
ODU
CCU
GAST
ORST
BOIS
USMWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 58% 7
Q2 8% 1
Q3 25% 3
Q4 8% 1
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 82% and covered 64% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 82% and covered 64% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 22+ | 4 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.