When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2024 · UTSA · pick one to list those games
75% went over. Of the 9 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 22% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 42% of games.
All 12 games
2024 · UTSA · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
UTSA -13.5 | 56.5 | 0212759 | Q4 | UTSA Q2 Late over |
44–15 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ARMY -6.5 | 53.5 | 14233353 | U | UTSA Q1 | 24–29 |
2024 · Week 13 |
UTSA -17.5 | 55.5 | 10456278 | Q3 | UTSA Q4 Late cover flip |
27–51 |
2024 · Week 12 |
UTSA -1.5 | 71.5 | 14345075 | Q4 | UTSA Q1 Late over |
27–48 |
2024 · Week 10 |
MEM -7.5 | 61.5 | 24485880 | Q4 | UTSA Q1 | 36–44 |
2024 · Week 9 |
UTSA -9.5 | 52.5 | 14426691 | Q3 | TLSA Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
45–46 |
2024 · Week 8 |
UTSA -4.5 | 51.5 | 10344862 | Q4 | UTSA Q4 | 24–38 |
2024 · Week 7 |
UTSA -3.5 | 51.5 | 0193656 | Q4 | RICE Q1 Late over |
27–29 |
2024 · Week 5 |
ECU -1.5 | 52.5 | 13233750 | U | ECU Q3 | 20–30 |
 HCU @  UTSA2024 · Week 4 |
UTSA -36.5 | 55.5 | 10384552 | U | UTSA Q4 | 7–45 |
2024 · Week 3 |
TEX -36.5 | 56.5 | 14354963 | Q4 | TEX Q4 Late over |
7–56 |
2024 · Week 2 |
TXST -2.5 | 58.5 | 17385259 | Q4 | TXST Q1 | 10–49 |
CCU
ARMY
TEM
UNT
MEM
TLSA
FAU
RICE
ECU
TEX
TXSTWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 42% 5
Q2 8% 1
Q3 8% 1
Q4 42% 5
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 70% and covered 60% of 10 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 82% and covered 91% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 2 | 100% 2 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.