When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2024 · Texas Tech · pick one to list those games
67% went over. Of the 8 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 63% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 8% of games.
All 12 games
2024 · Texas Tech · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
TTU -3.5 | 52.5 | 24435365 | Q3 | ARK Q1 | 26–39 |
2024 · Week 14 |
TTU -2.5 | 61.5 | 9385167 | Q4 | TTU Q1 Late over |
15–52 |
2024 · Week 13 |
TTU -4.5 | 62.5 | 213563104 | Q3 | TTU Q1 | 56–48 |
2024 · Week 11 |
COLO -4.5 | 62.5 | 13235168 | Q4 | COLO Q3 Late over |
41–27 |
2024 · Week 10 |
ISU -14.5 | 55.5 | 13233045 | U | TTU Q1 | 23–22 |
2024 · Week 9 |
TCU -4.5 | 65.5 | 17315269 | Q4 | TTU Q2 | 34–35 |
2024 · Week 8 |
TTU -4.5 | 55.5 | 14385994 | Q3 | BAY Q1 | 59–35 |
2024 · Week 6 |
ARIZ -5.5 | 62.5 | 10213450 | U | TTU Q1 Lead lost |
28–22 |
2024 · Week 5 |
TTU -3.5 | 59.5 | 24486185 | Q3 | CIN Q4 Late cover flip |
41–44 |
2024 · Week 4 |
TTU -4.5 | 57.5 | 14274052 | U | TTU Q1 | 22–30 |
2024 · Week 2 |
TTU -2.5 | 64.5 | 10374453 | U | WSU Q1 | 16–37 |
 ACU @  TTU2024 · Week 1 |
TTU -34.5 | 58.5 | 29536790103 | Q3 | ACU Q1 | 51–52 |
ARK
WVU
OKST
COLO
ISU
TCU
BAY
ARIZ
CIN
ASU
WSUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 75% 9
Q2 8% 1
Q3 8% 1
Q4 8% 1
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 73% and covered 73% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 92% and covered 83% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 5 | 100% 5 |
| 11–14 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 2 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.