When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
11 games · 2024 · San Diego State · pick one to list those games
55% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 17% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.
All 11 games
2024 · San Diego State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 14 |
AFA -6.5 | 43.5 | 21314551 | Q3 | AFA Q3 | 31–20 |
2024 · Week 13 |
USU -4.5 | 59.5 | 3273461 | Q4 | USU Q3 Late over |
20–41 |
2024 · Week 12 |
UNLV -19.5 | 54.5 | 7345161 | Q4 | UNLV Q2 | 20–41 |
2024 · Week 11 |
SDSU -1.5 | 65.5 | 17273037 | U | UNM Q4 | 21–16 |
2024 · Week 10 |
BOIS -24.5 | 57.5 | 21455280 | Q4 | BOIS Q2 | 24–56 |
2024 · Week 9 |
WSU -17.5 | 56.5 | 13263355 | U | SDSU Q1 | 29–26 |
2024 · Week 7 |
WYO -1.5 | 41.5 | 17313451 | Q4 | SDSU Q1 | 27–24 |
2024 · Week 6 |
SDSU -1.5 | 48.5 | 6273751 | Q4 | SDSU Q2 | 24–27 |
2024 · Week 5 |
CMU -2.5 | 48.5 | 17344043 | U | SDSU Q2 Lead lost |
21–22 |
2024 · Week 3 |
CAL -18.5 | 48.5 | 10102441 | U | CAL Q4 | 10–31 |
2024 · Week 2 |
ORST -5.5 | 54.5 | 77721 | U | ORST Q1 | 21–0 |
AFA
SDSU
USU
UNLV
UNM
BOIS
WSU
WYO
HAW
CMU
CAL
ORSTWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 27% 3
Q2 36% 4
Q3 18% 2
Q4 18% 2
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 91% and covered 91% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 70% and covered 90% of 10 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 8–10 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 22+ | 5 | 20% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.