When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2024 · Oklahoma State · pick one to list those games
58% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 14% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 8% of games.
All 12 games
2024 · Oklahoma State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 14 |
COLO -14.5 | 66.5 | 21213852 | U | COLO Q1 | 0–52 |
2024 · Week 13 |
TTU -4.5 | 62.5 | 213563104 | Q3 | TTU Q1 | 56–48 |
2024 · Week 11 |
TCU -10.5 | 69.5 | 10243751 | U | TCU Q2 | 13–38 |
2024 · Week 10 |
ASU -4.5 | 56.5 | 7354263 | Q4 | ASU Q1 Late over |
42–21 |
2024 · Week 9 |
BAY -6.5 | 63.5 | 6344466 | Q4 | BAY Q4 Late over |
28–38 |
2024 · Week 8 |
BYU -7.5 | 52.5 | 14354973 | Q4 | OKST Q1 | 35–38 |
2024 · Week 6 |
OKST -2.5 | 64.5 | 10383852 | U | WVU Q1 | 38–14 |
2024 · Week 5 |
KSU -5.5 | 58.5 | 10344862 | Q4 | KSU Q2 Late over |
20–42 |
2024 · Week 4 |
UTAH -0.5 | 53.5 | 3131641 | U | UTAH Q2 | 22–19 |
2024 · Week 3 |
OKST -17.5 | 62.5 | 7283855 | U | OKST Q2 | 45–10 |
2024 · Week 2 |
OKST -10.5 | 60.5 | 1428346270 | Q4 | ARK Q1 Late over |
31–39 |
 SDST @  OKST2024 · Week 1 |
OKST -12.5 | 55.5 | 10235164 | Q4 | OKST Q3 | 20–44 |
COLO
TTU
TCU
ASU
BAY
BYU
WVU
KSU
UTAH
TLSA
ARKWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 6
Q2 33% 4
Q3 8% 1
Q4 8% 1
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 82% and covered 100% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 92% and covered 92% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 22+ | 6 | 17% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.