When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2024 · New Mexico · pick one to list those games
75% went over. Of the 9 overs, 11% had cashed by halftime and 33% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 33% of games.
All 12 games
2024 · New Mexico · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 14 |
UNM -6.5 | 61.5 | 7304768 | Q4 | HAW Q1 Late over |
30–38 |
2024 · Week 12 |
WSU -11.5 | 71.5 | 21425673 | Q4 | UNM Q3 Late over |
35–38 |
2024 · Week 11 |
SDSU -1.5 | 65.5 | 17273037 | U | UNM Q4 | 21–16 |
2024 · Week 10 |
UNM -7.5 | 60.5 | 27708094 | Q2 | WYO Q4 Lead lost |
49–45 |
2024 · Week 9 |
CSU -3.5 | 61.5 | 0202323 | U | CSU Q2 | 6–17 |
2024 · Week 8 |
UNM -0.5 | 77.5 | 14396795 | Q4 | UNM Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
50–45 |
2024 · Week 7 |
UNM -6.5 | 54.5 | 10456289 | Q3 | UNM Q2 | 37–52 |
2024 · Week 5 |
UNM -8.5 | 53.5 | 14314790 | Q4 | UNM Q2 | 50–40 |
2024 · Week 4 |
FRES -11.5 | 62.5 | 11353859 | U | FRES Q2 | 38–21 |
2024 · Week 3 |
AUB -25.5 | 58.5 | 24304464 | Q4 | AUB Q4 | 19–45 |
2024 · Week 1 |
ARIZ -29 | 60.5 | 285179100 | Q3 | UNM Q1 | 39–61 |
 MTST @  UNM2024 · Week 1 |
MTST -13.5 | 54.5 | 10384566 | Q4 | UNM Q1 Late over Lead lost |
35–31 |
HAW
WSU
SDSU
WYO
CSU
USU
AFA
NMSU
FRES
AUB
ARIZWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 25% 3
Q2 33% 4
Q3 8% 1
Q4 33% 4
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 73% and covered 73% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 64% and covered 64% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.