When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2024 · James Madison · pick one to list those games
33% went over. Of the 4 overs, 25% had cashed by halftime and 75% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 8% of games.
All 12 games
2024 · James Madison · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
JMU -7.5 | 50.5 | 7213144 | U | JMU Q4 Late cover flip |
17–27 |
2024 · Week 14 |
JMU -2.5 | 52.5 | 1417344868 | OT | MRSH Q3 Late over |
35–33 |
2024 · Week 13 |
JMU -6.5 | 56.5 | 7415154 | U | APP Q2 | 20–34 |
2024 · Week 12 |
JMU -1.5 | 50.5 | 14455267 | Q3 | JMU Q3 | 35–32 |
2024 · Week 11 |
JMU -15.5 | 54.5 | 14354545 | U | JMU Q2 | 7–38 |
2024 · Week 9 |
JMU -27.5 | 54.5 | 3264047 | U | USM Q1 | 15–32 |
2024 · Week 8 |
JMU -8.5 | 57.5 | 7213542 | U | GASO Q1 | 14–28 |
2024 · Week 7 |
JMU -6.5 | 58.5 | 14364346 | U | JMU Q2 | 7–39 |
2024 · Week 6 |
JMU -16.5 | 47.5 | 10272740 | U | ULM Q1 | 19–21 |
2024 · Week 5 |
JMU -20.5 | 54.5 | 29365670 | Q3 | JMU Q2 | 7–63 |
2024 · Week 4 |
UNC -11.5 | 48.5 | 397498120 | Q2 | JMU Q1 | 70–50 |
 GWEB @  JMU2024 · Week 2 |
JMU -35.5 | 50.5 | 031619 | U | GWEB Q1 | 6–13 |
WKU
MRSH
APP
ODU
GAST
USM
GASO
CCU
ULM
BALL
UNCWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 42% 5
Q2 33% 4
Q3 17% 2
Q4 8% 1
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 67% and covered 67% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 100% and covered 82% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 22+ | 2 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.