When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2024 · Florida State · pick one to list those games
25% went over. Of the 3 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 0% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 33% of games.
All 12 games
2024 · Florida State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 14 |
FLA -17.5 | 45.5 | 7142042 | U | FLA Q4 | 31–11 |
 CHSO @  FSU2024 · Week 13 |
FSU -33.5 | 44.5 | 0173148 | Q4 | FSU Q4 Late over |
7–41 |
2024 · Week 11 |
ND -25.5 | 44.5 | 10243455 | Q4 | ND Q3 Late over |
3–52 |
2024 · Week 10 |
UNC -2.5 | 50.5 | 3173946 | U | UNC Q2 | 35–11 |
2024 · Week 9 |
MIA -21.5 | 53.5 | 7243050 | U | MIA Q4 Late cover flip |
14–36 |
2024 · Week 8 |
DUKE -2.5 | 41.5 | 10233339 | U | DUKE Q1 | 16–23 |
2024 · Week 6 |
CLEM -16.5 | 46.5 | 17303042 | U | FSU Q2 | 29–13 |
2024 · Week 5 |
SMU -5.5 | 46.5 | 14234458 | Q4 | SMU Q3 | 16–42 |
2024 · Week 4 |
FSU -2.5 | 44.5 | 7131623 | U | FSU Q4 | 9–14 |
2024 · Week 3 |
FSU -6.5 | 54.5 | 3162932 | U | MEM Q1 | 20–12 |
2024 · Week 1 |
FSU -16.5 | 51.5 | 0204141 | U | BC Q1 | 28–13 |
2024 · Week 1 |
FSU -10.5 | 54.5 | 15282845 | U | GT Q1 | 21–24 |
FLA
ND
UNC
MIA
DUKE
CLEM
SMU
CAL
MEM
BC
GTWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 33% 4
Q2 17% 2
Q3 17% 2
Q4 33% 4
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 100% and covered 91% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 91% and covered 82% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 11–14 | 4 | 50% 2 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 5 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.