When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2024 · Florida International · pick one to list those games
67% went over. Of the 8 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 50% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 17% of games.
All 12 games
2024 · Florida International · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 14 |
FIU -9.5 | 50.5 | 14454559 | Q4 | FIU Q1 | 24–35 |
2024 · Week 13 |
FIU -8.5 | 41.5 | 3374353 | Q3 | KENN Q4 Lead lost |
26–27 |
2024 · Week 12 |
JXST -12.5 | 58.5 | 6374465 | Q4 | FIU Q1 | 31–34 |
2024 · Week 10 |
FIU -7.5 | 43.5 | 0132647 | Q4 | FIU Q3 Late over |
13–34 |
2024 · Week 9 |
SHSU -6.5 | 46.5 | 00717 | U | FIU Q4 | 10–7 |
2024 · Week 8 |
FIU -6.5 | 47.5 | 10314151 | Q4 | UTEP Q1 | 21–30 |
2024 · Week 7 |
LIB -15.5 | 55.5 | 627274855 | U | FIU Q1 | 24–31 |
2024 · Week 5 |
LT -2 | 49.5 | 772427 | U | FIU Q1 | 10–17 |
 MONM @  FIU2024 · Week 4 |
FIU -12.5 | 59.5 | 21497087 | Q3 | MONM Q1 | 45–42 |
2024 · Week 3 |
FAU -3.5 | 44.5 | 14315258 | Q3 | FAU Q2 | 20–38 |
2024 · Week 2 |
CMU -3.5 | 51.5 | 7365268 | Q3 | FIU Q1 | 16–52 |
2024 · Week 1 |
IU -25.5 | 51.5 | 14283138 | U | FIU Q1 | 7–31 |
MTSU
KENN
JXST
NMSU
SHSU
UTEP
LIB
LT
FAU
CMU
IUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 67% 8
Q2 8% 1
Q3 8% 1
Q4 17% 2
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 82% and covered 55% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 73% and covered 55% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 4 | 100% 4 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.