When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2024 · Eastern Michigan · pick one to list those games
50% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 17% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 8% of games.
All 12 games
2024 · Eastern Michigan · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 14 |
WMU -6.5 | 56.5 | 0163844 | U | WMU Q2 | 18–26 |
2024 · Week 13 |
EMU -1.5 | 53.5 | 8173657 | Q4 | BUFF Q1 Late over |
37–20 |
2024 · Week 12 |
OHIO -10.5 | 51.5 | 0212845 | U | OHIO Q3 | 10–35 |
2024 · Week 10 |
TOL -10.5 | 54.5 | 7172657 | Q4 | EMU Q1 Late over |
29–28 |
2024 · Week 9 |
EMU -2.5 | 50.5 | 8183246 | U | AKR Q1 Late cover flip Lead lost |
21–25 |
2024 · Week 8 |
EMU -3.5 | 52.5 | 10304372 | Q4 | EMU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
34–38 |
2024 · Week 7 |
M-OH -2.5 | 46.5 | 14283552 | Q4 | M-OH Q2 Late over |
38–14 |
2024 · Week 5 |
EMU -13.5 | 44.5 | 14355985 | Q3 | EMU Q3 | 52–33 |
 SFPA @  EMU2024 · Week 4 |
EMU -25.5 | 45.5 | 10132936 | U | EMU Q3 | 0–36 |
2024 · Week 3 |
JXST -2.5 | 53.5 | 2148516271 | Q4 | EMU Q1 | 34–37 |
2024 · Week 2 |
WASH -25.5 | 49.5 | 3273639 | U | EMU Q1 | 9–30 |
2024 · Week 1 |
MASS -2.5 | 50.5 | 0142442 | U | EMU Q1 | 28–14 |
WMU
BUFF
OHIO
TOL
AKR
CMU
M-OH
KENT
JXST
WASH
MASSWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 6
Q2 17% 2
Q3 25% 3
Q4 8% 1
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 92% and covered 92% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 83% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 22+ | 3 | 33% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.