When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2024 · East Carolina · pick one to list those games
50% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 33% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 17% of games.
All 12 games
2024 · East Carolina · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
NCSU -7.5 | 60.5 | 7202747 | U | ECU Q1 Lead lost |
26–21 |
2024 · Week 13 |
UNT -2.5 | 73.5 | 14285968 | U | ECU Q3 | 40–28 |
2024 · Week 12 |
ECU -16.5 | 63.5 | 10344869 | Q4 | TLSA Q1 Late over Lead lost |
38–31 |
2024 · Week 11 |
ECU -5.5 | 58.5 | 21424963 | Q4 | ECU Q1 Late over |
14–49 |
2024 · Week 9 |
ECU -7.5 | 48.5 | 27488490 | Q3 | ECU Q3 | 34–56 |
2024 · Week 8 |
ARMY -18.5 | 54.5 | 7244573 | Q4 | ECU Q4 | 28–45 |
2024 · Week 6 |
ECU -8.5 | 47.5 | 17415179 | Q3 | CLT Q1 | 24–55 |
2024 · Week 5 |
ECU -1.5 | 52.5 | 13233750 | U | ECU Q3 | 20–30 |
2024 · Week 4 |
LIB -7.5 | 54.5 | 14244559 | Q4 | LIB Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
24–35 |
2024 · Week 3 |
ECU -0.5 | 56.5 | 16303740 | U | APP Q3 | 21–19 |
2024 · Week 2 |
ODU -1.5 | 53.5 | 6133134 | U | ECU Q1 | 20–14 |
 NORF @  ECU2024 · Week 1 |
ECU -31.5 | 51.5 | 17313845 | U | ECU Q3 | 3–42 |
NCSU
UNT
TLSA
FAU
TEM
ARMY
CLT
UTSA
LIB
APP
ODUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 42% 5
Q2 0% 0
Q3 42% 5
Q4 17% 2
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 55% and covered 45% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 91% and covered 82% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 8–10 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 2 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.