When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
11 games · 2024 · Arkansas State · pick one to list those games
55% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 67% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 0% of games.
All 11 games
2024 · Arkansas State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
BGSU -10.5 | 54.5 | 24455569 | Q3 | ARST Q1 | 38–31 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ODU -5.5 | 58.5 | 21356972 | Q3 | ODU Q1 | 40–32 |
2024 · Week 13 |
ARST -2.5 | 51.5 | 14213549 | U | ARST Q2 | 21–28 |
2024 · Week 12 |
GAST -2.5 | 58.5 | 14143147 | U | ARST Q1 | 27–20 |
2024 · Week 11 |
UL -14.5 | 59.5 | 10376074 | Q3 | UL Q2 | 19–55 |
2024 · Week 9 |
ARST -7.5 | 50.5 | 13265065 | Q4 | TROY Q3 Late over |
31–34 |
2024 · Week 8 |
ARST -7 | 56.5 | 28496272 | Q3 | ARST Q3 | 44–28 |
2024 · Week 7 |
TXST -13.5 | 66.5 | 17264050 | U | TXST Q3 | 9–41 |
2024 · Week 6 |
USA -2.5 | 62.5 | 391934 | U | ARST Q1 | 16–18 |
2024 · Week 4 |
ISU -18.5 | 52.5 | 14313859 | Q4 | ISU Q2 Late over |
7–52 |
2024 · Week 2 |
ARST -9.5 | 65.5 | 10245252 | U | TLSA Q1 | 24–28 |
ARST
BGSU
ODU
ULM
GAST
UL
TROY
USM
TXST
USA
ISU
TLSAWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 45% 5
Q2 27% 3
Q3 27% 3
Q4 0% 0
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 90% and covered 90% of 10 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 91% and covered 73% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 4 | 100% 4 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.