When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2024 · Arizona · pick one to list those games
50% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 33% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 0% of games.
All 12 games
2024 · Arizona · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 14 |
ASU -7.5 | 52.5 | 14354256 | Q4 | ASU Q1 | 49–7 |
2024 · Week 13 |
TCU -10.5 | 60.5 | 21344877 | Q4 | TCU Q3 | 28–49 |
2024 · Week 12 |
ARIZ -1.5 | 46.5 | 7133030 | U | ARIZ Q1 | 3–27 |
2024 · Week 10 |
UCF -5.5 | 54.5 | 14416168 | Q3 | UCF Q1 | 12–56 |
2024 · Week 9 |
ARIZ -5.5 | 51.5 | 10243757 | Q4 | WVU Q1 Late over |
31–26 |
2024 · Week 8 |
ARIZ -2.5 | 56.5 | 21353841 | U | COLO Q1 | 34–7 |
2024 · Week 7 |
BYU -2.5 | 48.5 | 7213760 | Q4 | BYU Q2 Late over |
19–41 |
2024 · Week 6 |
ARIZ -5.5 | 62.5 | 10213450 | U | TTU Q1 Lead lost |
28–22 |
2024 · Week 5 |
UTAH -7.5 | 46.5 | 3131933 | U | ARIZ Q1 | 23–10 |
2024 · Week 3 |
KSU -9.5 | 61.5 | 14213538 | U | KSU Q3 | 7–31 |
 NAU @  ARIZ2024 · Week 2 |
ARIZ -36.5 | 63.5 | 3162332 | U | NAU Q1 | 10–22 |
2024 · Week 1 |
ARIZ -29 | 60.5 | 285179100 | Q3 | UNM Q1 | 39–61 |
ASU
TCU
HOU
UCF
WVU
COLO
BYU
TTU
UTAH
KSU
UNMWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 75% 9
Q2 8% 1
Q3 17% 2
Q4 0% 0
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 92% and covered 92% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 100% and covered 83% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 11–14 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 4 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.