When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2023 · Pittsburgh · pick one to list those games
67% went over. Of the 8 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 38% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 0% of games.
All 12 games
2023 · Pittsburgh · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 · Week 13 |
DUKE -4.5 | 41.5 | 6203349 | Q4 | DUKE Q3 | 19–30 |
2023 · Week 12 |
PITT -2.5 | 46.5 | 6163040 | U | PITT Q2 Late cover flip |
16–24 |
2023 · Week 11 |
PITT -3.5 | 38 | 10203441 | Q4 | SYR Q3 | 13–28 |
2023 · Week 10 |
FSU -20.5 | 49.5 | 0173131 | U | PITT Q1 | 24–7 |
2023 · Week 9 |
ND -21 | 45.5 | 7174465 | Q4 | ND Q3 | 7–58 |
2023 · Week 8 |
PITT -3 | 45 | 7141438 | U | WAKE Q2 Late cover flip Lead lost |
17–21 |
2023 · Week 7 |
LOU -7.5 | 46.5 | 14355259 | Q3 | PITT Q1 | 21–38 |
2023 · Week 5 |
PITT -3 | 40 | 14285659 | Q3 | VT Q1 | 21–38 |
2023 · Week 4 |
UNC -7 | 49.5 | 14456565 | Q3 | UNC Q2 | 41–24 |
2023 · Week 3 |
WVU -2.5 | 48 | 3132323 | U | WVU Q3 | 6–17 |
2023 · Week 2 |
PITT -6.5 | 44.5 | 17273448 | Q4 | CIN Q1 | 27–21 |
 WOF @  PITT2023 · Week 1 |
PITT -37.5 | 49.5 | 7283852 | Q4 | PITT Q3 Late over |
7–45 |
DUKE
BC
SYR
FSU
ND
WAKE
LOU
VT
UNC
WVU
CINWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 33% 4
Q2 25% 3
Q3 42% 5
Q4 0% 0
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 80% and covered 70% of 10 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 100% and covered 91% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 2 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.