When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2023 · Northern Illinois · pick one to list those games
42% went over. Of the 5 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 20% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 0% of games.
All 12 games
2023 · Northern Illinois · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 · Postseason |
ARST -2.5 | 53.5 | 20343440 | U | NIU Q1 | 19–21 |
2023 · Week 13 |
NIU -20.5 | 45.5 | 10274464 | Q4 | KENT Q1 Lead lost |
37–27 |
2023 · Week 12 |
NIU -4.5 | 57 | 7142124 | U | NIU Q1 | 0–24 |
2023 · Week 11 |
NIU -9 | 44 | 7202037 | U | BALL Q1 Lead lost |
20–17 |
2023 · Week 10 |
NIU -6.5 | 48 | 10275468 | Q3 | CMU Q1 | 31–37 |
2023 · Week 8 |
NIU -11.5 | 43.5 | 14202333 | U | EMU Q1 | 13–20 |
2023 · Week 7 |
OHIO -5.5 | 45.5 | 10203036 | U | NIU Q3 | 13–23 |
2023 · Week 5 |
TOL -13.5 | 48 | 14214568 | Q4 | NIU Q1 | 33–35 |
2023 · Week 4 |
NIU -3.5 | 54.5 | 2162636 | U | TLSA Q1 | 22–14 |
2023 · Week 3 |
NEB -11.5 | 42.5 | 10172446 | Q4 | NEB Q3 Late over |
11–35 |
 SIU @  NIU2023 · Week 2 |
NIU -7.5 | 59 | 771725 | U | SIU Q1 | 14–11 |
2023 · Week 1 |
BC -8 | 50 | 07214251 | OT | NIU Q1 Late over |
27–24 |
ARST
KENT
WMU
BALL
CMU
EMU
OHIO
TOL
TLSA
NEB
BCWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 83% 10
Q2 0% 0
Q3 17% 2
Q4 0% 0
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 80% and covered 80% of 10 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 82% and covered 73% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 22+ | 5 | 20% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.