When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2023 · Kansas State · pick one to list those games
58% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 43% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.
All 12 games
2023 · Kansas State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 · Postseason |
KSU -3 | 49 | 7314047 | U | KSU Q4 Late cover flip |
19–28 |
2023 · Week 13 |
KSU -9.5 | 47 | 13345677 | Q3 | ISU Q1 | 42–35 |
2023 · Week 12 |
KSU -7 | 60.5 | 14365158 | U | KU Q1 | 31–27 |
2023 · Week 11 |
KSU -21 | 55 | 28487184 | Q3 | KSU Q2 | 25–59 |
2023 · Week 10 |
TEX -3 | 50 | 1024416063 | Q4 | Push | 30–33 |
2023 · Week 9 |
KSU -18 | 60.5 | 7283541 | U | KSU Q2 | 0–41 |
2023 · Week 8 |
KSU -5.5 | 60 | 24303744 | U | KSU Q1 | 3–41 |
2023 · Week 7 |
TTU -0.5 | 56.5 | 10315259 | Q4 | KSU Q1 Late over |
38–21 |
2023 · Week 4 |
KSU -6 | 53.5 | 17385575 | Q3 | KSU Q3 | 31–44 |
2023 · Week 3 |
KSU -3.5 | 48 | 17314157 | Q4 | MIZ Q4 | 27–30 |
2023 · Week 2 |
KSU -15 | 50 | 7313855 | Q4 | KSU Q3 Late over |
13–42 |
 SEMO @  KSU2023 · Week 1 |
KSU -28.5 | 56.5 | 7353845 | U | KSU Q2 | 0–45 |
NCSU
ISU
KU
BAY
TEX
HOU
TCU
TTU
UCF
MIZ
TROYWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 33% 4
Q2 25% 3
Q3 17% 2
Q4 17% 2
OT 0% 0
Push 8% 1
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 83% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 82% and covered 82% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 4 | 50% 2 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 2 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.