When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2023 · Eastern Michigan · pick one to list those games
58% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 29% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 0% of games.
All 12 games
2023 · Eastern Michigan · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 · Postseason |
EMU -17.5 | 42.5 | 17416269 | Q3 | USA Q1 | 10–59 |
2023 · Week 13 |
BUFF -5.5 | 37.5 | 7243235 | U | EMU Q1 | 24–11 |
2023 · Week 12 |
EMU -3 | 39.5 | 028283457 | OT | Push Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–30 |
2023 · Week 11 |
TOL -20 | 45 | 21385172 | Q3 | TOL Q1 | 23–49 |
2023 · Week 9 |
WMU -3 | 50 | 14283866 | Q4 | WMU Q1 | 45–21 |
2023 · Week 8 |
NIU -11.5 | 43.5 | 14202333 | U | EMU Q1 | 13–20 |
2023 · Week 7 |
EMU -7.5 | 39.5 | 7142842 | Q4 | EMU Q2 | 14–28 |
2023 · Week 5 |
CMU -10 | 44.5 | 14244249 | Q4 | EMU Q1 | 23–26 |
2023 · Week 4 |
JXST -6.5 | 51 | 7142121 | U | JXST Q1 | 0–21 |
2023 · Week 3 |
EMU -9 | 50 | 3132036 | U | MASS Q1 | 17–19 |
2023 · Week 2 |
MINN -19.5 | 48 | 0162631 | U | EMU Q1 | 6–25 |
 HOW @  EMU2023 · Week 1 |
EMU -20 | 55.5 | 16395356 | Q4 | HOW Q3 Late over |
23–33 |
USA
BUFF
AKR
TOL
WMU
NIU
KENT
CMU
JXST
MASS
MINNWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 75% 9
Q2 8% 1
Q3 8% 1
Q4 0% 0
OT 0% 0
Push 8% 1
The team leading at halftime won 100% and covered 60% of 10 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 80% and covered 80% of 10 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 1–3 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 11–14 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.