When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2023 · Colorado State · pick one to list those games
50% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 0% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 17% of games.
All 12 games
2023 · Colorado State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 · Week 13 |
CSU -5.5 | 53.5 | 14243151 | U | HAW Q1 | 24–27 |
2023 · Week 12 |
CSU -12 | 45 | 17334350 | Q4 | NEV Q1 | 20–30 |
2023 · Week 11 |
CSU -3.5 | 47 | 5152841 | U | SDSU Q4 Late cover flip |
19–22 |
2023 · Week 10 |
WYO -6 | 44 | 3173139 | U | WYO Q3 | 15–24 |
2023 · Week 9 |
AFA -14.5 | 47 | 7263643 | U | AFA Q4 | 30–13 |
2023 · Week 8 |
UNLV -6.5 | 60 | 0162948 | U | CSU Q1 | 23–25 |
2023 · Week 7 |
BOIS -7.5 | 59.5 | 7172761 | Q4 | CSU Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
30–31 |
2023 · Week 6 |
CSU -3 | 62 | 20344868 | Q4 | USU Q2 Late over |
24–44 |
 UTU @  CSU2023 · Week 5 |
CSU -31.5 | 65.5 | 17384761 | U | UTU Q1 | 20–41 |
2023 · Week 4 |
MTSU -3.5 | 50 | 20273454 | Q4 | CSU Q3 | 31–23 |
2023 · Week 3 |
COLO -23 | 63 | 2835355678 | OT | CSU Q1 Late over Lead lost |
35–43 |
2023 · Week 1 |
WSU -9.5 | 54 | 10203274 | Q4 | WSU Q2 | 50–24 |
HAW
NEV
SDSU
WYO
AFA
UNLV
BOIS
USU
MTSU
COLO
WSUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 42% 5
Q2 17% 2
Q3 25% 3
Q4 17% 2
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 60% and covered 50% of 10 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 82% and covered 55% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 5 | 60% 3 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.