When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2023 · Coastal Carolina · pick one to list those games
33% went over. Of the 4 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 50% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 17% of games.
All 12 games
2023 · Coastal Carolina · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 · Postseason |
SJSU -7.5 | 48 | 771438 | U | CCU Q1 | 24–14 |
2023 · Week 13 |
JMU -4 | 51.5 | 7284970 | Q4 | JMU Q1 | 56–14 |
2023 · Week 12 |
CCU -1 | 40.5 | 14354249 | Q3 | ARMY Q1 | 21–28 |
2023 · Week 11 |
TXST -2.5 | 55 | 17313854 | U | CCU Q2 | 23–31 |
2023 · Week 10 |
ODU -1 | 51.5 | 7133452 | Q4 | CCU Q4 Late over |
28–24 |
2023 · Week 9 |
MRSH -3.5 | 47 | 10333340 | U | CCU Q1 | 6–34 |
2023 · Week 8 |
CCU -8.5 | 59 | 3202744 | U | CCU Q4 | 27–17 |
2023 · Week 7 |
APP -4.5 | 59 | 14274151 | U | CCU Q1 | 27–24 |
2023 · Week 5 |
GASO -6 | 67.5 | 7355966 | U | GASO Q2 | 28–38 |
2023 · Week 4 |
CCU -4.5 | 62.5 | 10203047 | U | GAST Q1 | 30–17 |
 DUQ @  CCU2023 · Week 3 |
CCU -35 | 55.5 | 21457373 | Q3 | CCU Q2 | 7–66 |
2023 · Week 2 |
CCU -13.5 | 61 | 13193246 | U | CCU Q3 | 16–30 |
SJSU
JMU
ARMY
TXST
ODU
MRSH
ARST
APP
GASO
GAST
JXSTWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 6
Q2 25% 3
Q3 8% 1
Q4 17% 2
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 92% and covered 92% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 92% and covered 92% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 22+ | 4 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.